With the rainfall deficit continuing to increase across North Texas, drought conditions quickly began to worsen. Both Robertson and Leon County were classified as Severe Drought (D2) by the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
With the rainfall deficit continuing to increase across North Texas, drought conditions quickly began to worsen. Both Robertson and Leon County were classified as Severe Drought (D2) by the end of the month. However, a total of 16 counties had burn bans in effect this month, and most of these counties were located west of Interstate 35. Agricultural impacts due to the drought were limited to stress on wheat crops and very low stock water tanks in some areas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 19, 11:27 PM CST, 33 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1127 PM CST FRI NOV 19 2010 .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOST COMMON FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOW CLOUD FORMATION IS ALREADY EVIDENT ON SATELLITE SOUTH OF THE REGION AND IS SPREADING NORTH SO WILL INCLUDE IFR CIGS IN ACT TAF FOR EARLY MORNING. OTHER ISSUE IS LOW LEVEL JET. GETTING 40-50KT SOUTH WINDS AT 010-020 AND WILL PROBABLY INCLUDE LLWS IN AREA TAFS THROUGH 14Z. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PUMP IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE DAY SATURDAY AND MORE WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. 30 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 305 PM CST FRI NOV 19 2010/ THE SOUTH WINDS TODAY ARE RESULTING IN SUNNY AND WARMER WEATHER BUT WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR INCREASING MOISTURE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AS A RESULT...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME RATHER DAMP WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION STRONG ENOUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FOR AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND ADVECTION FOG. MOISTURE ADVECTION BEGINS LATE TONIGHT WITH LOW CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE AROUND SUNRISE...PRIMARILY AFFECTING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE TOO STRONG BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT FOR ANY RADIATION FOG TONIGHT...BUT SOME ADVECTION FOG MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE GULF MOISTURE RETURN. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MUCH WARMER BY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHTS AS DEWPOINTS INCREASE INTO THE 60S. GENERALLY MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED BELOW A STRENGTHENING INVERSION FROM SOUTHWEST FLOW AT 850 MB. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE BENEATH THE CAP...BUT OVERALL CHANCE OF RAIN IS LIMITED DUE TO WEAK FORCING AND LOW INSTABILITY. BUT BY TUESDAY WILL HAVE POPS OF 20-30 PERCENT AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LIFTS THE INVERSION TO ABOUT 800 MB AND LOW TOPPED CONVECTION BECOMES A LITTLE MORE PROBABLE. ALL MODELS ALSO BRING A DRY LINE OR WEAK PACIFIC FRONT INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY WITH THE SHORTWAVE WHICH MAY ALSO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY. THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE CONCERNS THE STRONG MIDWEEK COLD FRONT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS THIS MORNING DEPICTS THE POLAR VORTEX OVER THE CANADIAN ARCTIC ARCHIPELAGO WITH STRONG RIDGING ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE POLAR VORTEX WILL LUMBER SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND REACH ALBERTA SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE HEADING EAST. IN RESPONSE TO THE DYNAMICS ALOFT...THE SURFACE AIR MASS OVER WESTERN CANADA WILL UNDERGO ANTICYCLOGENESIS WITH A SURFACE HIGH BUILDING TO NEAR 1040MB AND TEMPERATURES COOLING WELL BELOW 0. THIS DENSE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL INITIALLY BE HELD AT BAY ACROSS THE NW US...BUT AS A PIECE OF THE UPPER TROUGH EJECTS EASTWARD BY MIDWEEK...THE FLOOD GATES WILL OPEN AND COLD AIR WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY. GFS FRONTAL TIMING IS THE FASTEST OF THE MODELS AND IS FAVORED. SINCE MODEL AGREEMENT IS GOOD AND THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED FOR STRONG COLD FRONTS IN OUR AREA...WILL NOT BE SHY ABOUT PUTTING FORECAST TEMPS WELL BELOW THE MEX MOS AND CLOSE TO RAW OUTPUT FROM THE GFS/ECMWF. THIS MEANS TEMPS SHOULD FALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THE 30S AREA WIDE. TEMPS ON THANKSGIVING WILL STRUGGLE TO WARM APPRECIABLY WITH COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING AND HIGHS REMAINING IN THE 40S. 12Z GFS/ECMWF/GFES ARE SHOWING THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS HANGING BACK AND NOT CLEARING THE AREA UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING. THIS MAY RESULT IN CLOUD COVER WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT NEAR AND ABOVE 700 MB THURSDAY WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY COLDER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. HOWEVER...CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE 20S AND LOW 30S AREA WIDE. SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES SOMEWHAT PROGRESSIVE...THE VERY COLD AIR WILL NOT HANG AROUND TOO LONG AND EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND NEXT WEEKEND. TR.92 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 46 72 60 73 62 / 0 0 10 10 10 WACO, TX 46 72 60 73 61 / 0 0 10 10 10 PARIS, TX 43 69 54 70 59 / 0 5 10 10 10 DENTON, TX 43 71 58 73 60 / 0 0 10 10 10 MCKINNEY, TX 41 70 56 71 61 / 0 0 10 10 10 DALLAS, TX 48 71 60 73 62 / 0 0 10 10 10 TERRELL, TX 45 70 58 73 62 / 0 5 10 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 47 71 60 74 62 / 0 5 10 10 10 TEMPLE, TX 45 72 60 74 62 / 0 0 10 10 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 44 75 58 75 57 / 0 0 10 10 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 607 PM CST FRI NOV 19 2010 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-210015- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 607 PM CST FRI NOV 19 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
According to the U.S Drought Monitor, Severe Drought was observed across the southern half of the county.
According to the U.S Drought Monitor, Severe Drought was observed across the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 265201, 265200.