Puerto Rico, 2010

Flash Flood in Puerto Rico, June 26, 2010

June 26, 2010 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

combined with deep tropical moisture to enhance convection across north central Puerto Rico, which led heavy rains across the River Cibuco basin.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

A tropical wave interacting with an upper level trough...combined with deep tropical moisture to enhance convection across north central Puerto Rico, which led heavy rains across the River Cibuco basin.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 26, 3:14 PM AST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 3:14 PM AST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
314 PM AST SAT JUN 26 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A CUT-OFF LOW CURRENTLY DRIFTING AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FROM
EAST TO WEST WILL PASS ABOUT 220 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO ON
SUNDAY. A NORTH-SOUTH RIDGE OVER THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL
SLIDE WEST AS ANOTHER CUT-OFF LOW LOOPS OUT OF THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK AND MOVES TOWARD THE LOCAL AREA
EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES FROM THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA
ATLANTIC WATERS TO THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC INTERRUPTED BY A
WEAK LOW JUST NORTH OF THE MONA CHANNEL. THIS LOW WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE MID-
LATITUDE ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. BY THE END OF THE
WEEK HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRETCH FROM THE BAHAMA ISLANDS TO THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
THROUGH SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING
PUERTO RICO WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...BUT HAS BEEN GREATLY AFFECTED BY THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
NORTH OF THE AREA. PATCHES OF MOISTURE IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW
AROUND THE HIGH WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE FIRST FOUR DAYS OF
NEXT WEEK WITH A WEAK TROUGH PASSING WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UNDER INTENSE INSOLATION STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPED WITH COPIOUS LIGHTING. HEAVY RAINS COVERED MUCH OF
WESTERN PUERTO RICO. AS OF 3 PM THE NORTH AND SOUTH COASTAL PLAINS
AND THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN WERE DRY.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SWEPT INTO THE AREA TODAY WITH SUBSIDENCE AND
SLOWED AND DEFORMED THE TROPICAL WAVE ON ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA
FROM THE EAST. IN ADDITION LOW PRESSURE STILL APPEARS TO BE
ATTEMPTING TO FORM AT THE APEX OF THIS WAVE NEAR 21 NORTH 61 WEST.
BETWEEN THE UPPER LOW AND THE TENTATIVE CYCLOGENESIS THE WAVE HAS
FOUND IT DIFFICULT TO PROGRESS INTO THE AREA. AT THE PRESENT TIME
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE STRETCHES FROM 16 NORTH 68
WEST TO 18 NORTH 62 WEST AND WAS DIFFICULT TO TRACK AS IT MAY BE
NEARLY STATIONARY AND CONVERGING INTO THE FORMING LOW. THE GFS
SHOWS THIS AREA OF MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS PUERTO RICO SUNDAY
MORNING...BUT ALSO SHOWS SOME SPLITTING AROUND THE ISLAND MAKING
FORECASTS OF RAIN QUANTITIES DIFFICULT. EXPECT MORE CLOUDINESS
TOMORROW AND SOME SHIFT IN THE RAIN PATTERN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OF PUERTO RICO. THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD REMAIN IN A
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY SUNDAY.
MOISTURE MOVES OUT DURING THE DAY MONDAY...BUT STILL EXPECT SOME
VIGOROUS SHOWER ACTIVITY IN NORTHWEST PUERTO RICO DUE TO LOCAL
EFFECTS AND CONVERGENCE THERE. OTHERWISE THE NORMAL SUMMER PATTERN
FOR RAIN SHOULD PREVAIL MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE UNTIL AT LEAST 26/23Z ACROSS TJMZ...TIST AND TISX IN TSRA.
ONLY BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE REST OF THE TAF SITES IN A QUICK PASSING SHRA OR VCSH. TJSJ
26/12Z SOUNDING INDICATED A LIGHT EASTERLY WIND FLOW FROM THE SURFACE
TO AROUND 15K FEET...BECOMING WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY AND
STRONGER ALOFT.

&&

.MARINE...IN THE ATLANTIC...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS. IN THE CARIBBEAN...WINDS AND SEAS
ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THROUGH MONDAY. DUE TO INCREASING
GRADIENTS...OUTER CARIBBEAN WATERS MAY SEE SEAS CLOSE TO 7 FEET BY
THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  78  88  78  91 /  30  60  40  30
STT  80  87  78  88 /  50  50  40  20

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

72/12
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 26, 6:16 AM AST, 11 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
616 AM AST SAT JUN 26 2010

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-271030-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
616 AM AST SAT JUN 26 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND THEN AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN LOCATED JUST NORTH THROUGH NORTHWEST
OF THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THESE
TWO FEATURES...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND LOCAL
EFFECTS...WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING WOULD BE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-271030-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
616 AM AST SAT JUN 26 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND THEN AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN LOCATED JUST NORTH THROUGH NORTHWEST
OF THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THESE
TWO FEATURES...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND LOCAL
EFFECTS...WILL RESULT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND SOME URBAN AND GUT FLOODING ARE EXPECTED IN A FEW
LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING WOULD BE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 54 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:39 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Ciales

When
June 26, 5:41 PM AST to 11:41 PM AST
Where
Ciales County, 7.8 mi N of Ciales to 4.47 mi NNE of Ciales
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
18.392, -66.502

USGS sensor at Rio Grande Manati in Ciales rose to 12 feet. Flood stage is 10 feet.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, June 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 247665.