Winter Weather, Rabun
- When
- December 15, 9:00 PM EST to December 16, 9:00 AM EST
- Where
- Rabun forecast zone
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 34.882, -83.402 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Light precipitation fell across the mountains during the evening, and continued for much of the overnight. Precipitation mainly fell as freezing rain, although some areas saw a period of light accumulating snow at the onset.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
Light precipitation fell across the mountains during the evening, and continued for much of the overnight. Precipitation mainly fell as freezing rain, although some areas saw a period of light accumulating snow at the onset. By late morning, most areas had received at least a trace of ice accretion, resulting in very slippery roads.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 15, 6:51 PM EST, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
651 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
WHILE A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE CAROLINAS ON
THURSDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN DEVELOP TO OUR
SOUTH AND MOVE UP THE SOUTHEAST COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK OVER THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
PRECIPITATION ON KFFC RADAR HAS REACHED ATLANTA IN THE WARM
ADVECTION FLOW OVER THE APPROACHING WARM FRONT. THIS AREA OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL RIDE NORTHEAST OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION LIKELY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA
AND INCREASING TOWARD DAYBREAK AS UPPER JET DIVERGENCE IMPROVES.
PROFILES ARE VERY DRY ACROSS THE REGION...AND WET BULBS SUGGEST THAT
LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET MAY BE SLIGHTLY MORE PROLONGED EARLY IN THE
EVENT THAN IN PREVIOUS FORECASTS. STILL...A STRONG WARM NOSE SHOULD
RIDE INTO THE AREA ON STOUT 850 MB FLOW TO ALLOW A GRADUAL
TRANSITION OVER TO FREEZING RAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY.
QPF STILL APPEARS A BIT LIMITED...BUT IS NOW MORE AGGRESSIVE ON THE
LATEST GFS/SREF. WILL POST A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN
NC MOUNTAINS FOR IMPACT WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT COULD
BE TOPPED WITH A LAYER OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THURSDAY MORNING
DURING PEAK COMMUTE TIME. AREAS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST WILL
SEE A FASTER TRANSITION...AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE
MAINLY DUE TO LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ON TOP OF VERY LIGHT
SLEET/SNOW ACCUMS. WILL LEAVE THE SRN PIEDMONT OUT FOR NOW...BUT
THIS COULD NEED TO BE ADDED LATER DEPENDING ON HOW THE RADAR ECHOES
EVOLVE.
850 MB TEMPS SHOULD WARM RAPIDLY TO BETWEEN 4 AND 6 DEG C DURING THE
DAY ON THU...ALLOWING A COMPLETE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. THE SW TIER OF
WINTER HAZARDS WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM...WITH THE NRN TIER EXPIRING AT
NOON. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SFC WET BULB ZERO VALUES TO REMAIN
NEAR FREEZING UNTIL THE EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE NW NC PIEDMONT...BUT
THE ADVISORY CAN BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IF NEEDED THERE EARLY THU. THE
WINTER PRODUCTS WILL PLAY UP MAINLY TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT DURING THE THU MORNING DRIVE TIME.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 215 PM WEDNESDAY...THE GFS HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT OVER THE
PAST FEW RUNS OF A PROGRESSIVE SURFACE CYCLONE/STRONGER HIGH
PRESSURE RESULTING IN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAKING ITS WAY TO THE
COAST BY EARLY FRIDAY. THE NAM IS FINALLY CATCHING ON TO THIS
TREND...SO THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL FEATURE DRIER WEATHER
WITH LESS CLOUD COVER FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
WE WILL HOLD INTO SOME SMALL POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES...AND
ACROSS THE WESTERN MTNS (FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG WESTERLY FLOW)
THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING. OTHERWISE...TEMPS FRI MORNING THROUGH SAT
MORNING SHOULD BE VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL.
MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE SATURDAY MORNING. WHILE THE NAM AND
THE GFS HAVE THE SAME IDEA OF INITIATING AN EASTERN GULF COAST
SURFACE WAVE ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY EARLY SATURDAY...THE MORE
AMPLIFIED NAM RESULTS IN A MUCH SLOWER ONSET OF PRECIP ACROSS THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS. EXAMINATION OF NON-OPERATIONAL MODELS SUGGESTS
THE NAM IS A STRONG OUTLIER. IF ANYTHING...THE CANADIAN GEM AND
ECMWF SUGGEST EVEN THE GFS IS NOT PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH. FRANKLY...THE
NAM HAS UNDERPERFORMED ALL SEASON WITH SYNOPTIC SCALE SYSTEMS IN THE
48-84 HOUR TIME FRAME...SO WE WILL RELY HEAVILY ON THE GFS FOR THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
EXAMINATION OF PARTIAL THICKNESSES/FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM THE GFS
SUGGEST PROFILES WILL BE A BIT TOO WARM TO SUPPORT WINTRY PRECIP
SOUTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR ONCE THE EVENT BEGINS SATURDAY MORNING
(ALTHOUGH THERE WILL PROBABLY BE AN INITIAL MIX OF RAIN/SLEET.)
ALTHOUGH THE THERMAL ENVIRONMENT WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST PIEDMONT/NRN FOOTHILLS AND MOST OF THE MOUNTAINS...IT
APPEARS THAT QPF WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO RESULT IN ANYTHING MORE
THAN LIGHT ACCUMS OF SLEET/SNOW...AS THE HIGHER QPF SHOULD EXIST
CLOSER TO THE I-85 CORRIDOR. OF COURSE...THIS IS ALL SUBJECT TO
DRASTIC CHANGE WITH EVEN MODEST DEVIATIONS OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK.
AS THE COLDER AIR RUSHES IN RAPIDLY BEHIND THE RETREATING SURFACE
LOW SATURDAY EVENING...A BRIEF PERIOD OF FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE BEFORE PRECIP COMES TO AN
END.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM WED...UPPER AIR PATTERN DURING THIS PERIOD WILL FEATURE
A RIDGE OVER THE CENTER OF THE CONUS WITH TROUGHS ALONG BOTH COASTS.
THEREFORE...NW FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS/SE
STATES SUN THROUGH WED. THEREFORE...EXPECT GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXCEPT FOR SOME PERIODS OF NW FLOW SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY THE
NORTHERN NC MOUNTAINS. MODELS DO HINT AT PERHAPS A WEAK CLIPPER
SYSTEM AFFECTING THE AREA MON NIGHT INTO TUE WHICH COULD SPREAD SOME
LIGHT PRECIP INTO AREAS OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS...BUT FOR NOW WILL
FOLLOW HPC GUIDANCE WHICH DOWNPLAYS THIS POSSILITY. TEMPS WILL BE
ABOUT A CATEGORY BELOW SEASONAL LEVELS AT THE OUTSET OF THE
PERIOD....WITH COOLING TO A COUPLE CATEGORIES BELOW NORMAL BY
WED.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT...CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND LOWER TONIGHT. PATCHY...VERY LIGHT
SNOW AND SLEET MAY BEGIN AS EARLY AS 0700 UTC. HOWEVER...A FEW
FLURRIES WILL PE POSSIBLE EVEN EARLIER THAN THAT. THE PCPN IS
EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL FREEZING RAIN AROUND 0900 UTC...AND
THEN TO RAIN BY 14 TO 15 UTC. WHILE THE PCPN WILL BE LIGHT...A THIN
GLAZE OF ICE IS LIKELY ON MANY SURFACES BETWEEN 10 AND 14 UTC.
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP WITH THE PRECIP AND THEN LOWER INTO THE
IFR RANGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AS A WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION.
ELSEWHERE...MOISTURE AND LIFT INCREASE FROM THE SW TONIGHT ACROSS
THE TERMINAL FORECAST AREA. MORE OF A SN/PL MIXTURE IS EXPECTED AT
ONSET AT KAVL TO KHKY...WHILE PL OR FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE SC TAF SITES...TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING RAIN BEFORE
DAYBREAK. PCPN ONSET LOOKS TO BE A COUPLE HOURS EARLIER THAN
ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. STRONG WARMING ALOFT SHOULD THEN YIELD A
CHANGEOVER THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...BECOMING ALL RAIN ACROSS THE
SC TAF SITES...WITH POSSIBLY LINGERING FZRA AT KHKY THROUGH MUCH OF
THE MORNING. EXPECT GENERALLY A S TO SW FLOW THROUGHOUT. BY LATE
MORNING CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER INTO THE IFR RANGE ACROSS THE
REGION EVEN AS THE PCPN ENDS.
OUTLOOK...BRIEF DRYING IS ANTICIPATED FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY.
MOISTURE WILL SKIRT THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT ASSOCIATED
WINTER PRECIP AND RESTRICTIONS ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR GAZ010-
017-018-026-028.
NC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
THURSDAY FOR NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ048-
051>053-058-059-062>065-509-510.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
THURSDAY FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506>508.
SC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
SCZ001>007-010-012-013.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
THURSDAY FOR SCZ008-009-014.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...MCAVOYHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-162115- AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE SOUTHEAST COAST SATURDAY... SPREADING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. ALTHOUGH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING QUANTITY AND THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION THAT WILL FALL...CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-509-510-SCZ001>003-162115- RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE SOUTHEAST COAST SATURDAY... SPREADING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. ALTHOUGH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING QUANTITY AND THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION THAT WILL FALL...CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-502-504-506>508-162115- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE SOUTHEAST COAST SATURDAY... SPREADING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. ALTHOUGH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING QUANTITY AND THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION THAT WILL FALL...CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS ON SATURDAY...WITH WINTRY WEATHER BEING MOST LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. GAZ018-026-028-SCZ004>007-010-012-013-162115- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-LAURENS-UNION SC- 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NCZ082-SCZ008-009-014-162115- UNION NC-CHEROKEE-YORK-CHESTER- 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. GAZ029-SCZ011-019-162115- ELBERT-ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD- 402 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. LANE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, December 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 271648, 271649, 271650.