Heavy Rain in Florida, November 2, 2010

Name: Heavy Rain in Florida, November 2, 2010
Start: 2010-11-02T21:02
End: 2010-11-02T23:02
Location: Florida

November 2, 2010 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

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The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.

Rain developed north of a surface front as it was lifting northward over north Florida in response to an upper level low digging over eastern Texas. Strong isentropic lift was noted at and above 850 mb with a shallow northeast flow at the surface. The combination of coastal convergence and the lifting front as well as adequate moisture and upper level divergence produced pockets of heavy rainfall across northeast Florida that evening.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 2, 8:08 PM EST, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 8:08 PM EST, 54 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
908 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

.UPDATE...RAIN CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHWARD THIS EVENING
OVER NE FL. SURFACE FRONT LOCATED IN VICINITY OF FLAGLER-MARION
COUNTY WILL RETURN NORTH TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DIG OVER
EAST TEXAS. GOOD ISENTROPIC LIFTING AT 850MB AND ABOVE WILL KEEP
SCATTERED SHOWERS IN FORECAST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND SHIFT N INTO SE
GA. NE SURGE TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP WINDS STRONG ALONG COASTLINE
FROM MAYPORT NORTH TIL AT LEAST 06Z TONIGHT. NAM12 MODEL IS
DEPICTING NE SURGE ALONG COAST THE BEST. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO ZONES.

&&

.AVIATION...FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHERN DUVAL COUNTY...WITH DOPPLER RADAR SHOWING HEAVY BAND OF
SHOWERS IN VICINITY OF THIS FEATURE. LOW CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES WILL
CONTINUE TO ESTABLISH ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY (WITH
KJAX AND KSSI SHOWING CEILINGS AROUND 1500 FEET AS OF 9 PM EDT)....WITH
VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY TRAILING PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE BY AN HOUR OR
TWO. ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE WILL LIKELY TRANSLATE INTO LOW
CEILINGS/FOG REFORMING AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...STRONG SURGE OF NORTHERLY WINDS HOLDING FIRM OVER OUR
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING AS FAR SOUTH
AS MAYPORT...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING FARTHER SOUTH. HAVE
MAINTAINED SCA HEADLINES FOR OUR GEORGIA LEGS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...WITH SCEC HEADLINES FOR OUR NORTHEAST FLORIDA LEGS DUE TO
WINDS AND/OR COMBINED SEAS.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND
     GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

ZIBURA/ZAPPE/WALKER

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 2, 8:40 PM EST, 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
940 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-030945-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
940 PM EDT TUE NOV 2 2010

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

ONSHORE FLOW AND EASTERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE AN ELEVATED RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST NORTH OF
FERNANDINA WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO NEAR 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE EAST COAST
TONIGHT...MAINLY FROM THE JACKSONVILLE AREA NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES.
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY...MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

THE SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE
THURSDAY...TRAILED BY MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES MAY FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S THIS
WEEKEND OVER INLAND AREAS WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

MZ

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Duval

When: November 2, 9:02 PM EST to 11:02 PM EST
Where: Duval County, 0.91 mi SE of Cosmo
Reported by: NWS Employee
Coordinates: 30.360, -81.510

An NWS employee measured 3.51 inches of rainfall in 2 hours.

What these are

Heavy Rain: Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Florida in 2010 Every state in 2010 This day in weather history Warnings in Florida, November 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 263183.