Colorado, 2010

Winter Storm in Colorado, December 19 to 23, 2010

December 19 to 23, 2010 · NWS PUB · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

Heavy snow was noted over the eastern Sawatch Range, Mosquito Range, and eastern San Juan and La Garita Mountains. Over a foot of snow was measured near the summit of Monarch Pass in Chaffee County, and northeast of Leadville.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.

Heavy snow was noted over the eastern Sawatch Range, Mosquito Range, and eastern San Juan and La Garita Mountains. Over a foot of snow was measured near the summit of Monarch Pass in Chaffee County, and northeast of Leadville. Twenty two inches of snow was observed near the summit of Wolf Creek Pass.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 19, 5:01 AM MST, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 19, 5:01 AM MST, 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
501 AM MST SUN DEC 19 2010

.SHORT TERM...

CURRENTLY...AREA OBSERVATIONS AND WEBCAMS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AREAS
OF DENSE FOG OVER EASTERN FREMONT...PUEBLO AND SOUTHERN EL PASO
COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING.  VISIBILITIES HAVE BEEN RUNNING AROUND
A QUARTER TO HALF MILE ALONG HIGHWAY 50 FROM CANYON CITY TO PUEBLO
AND NORTHER OF PUEBLO ON I-25 TO NEAR FOUNTAIN.  THE DENSE FOG WILL
BRING REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING WILL
PRODUCE SLICK SPOTS ON AREA ROAD WAYS.  EXPECT FOG TO BEGIN TO
DISSIPATE THROUGH 7 AM AS UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE INTO THE REGION
AND WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS IN THE LOWER LEVELS.  RADAR IMAGERY THIS
MORNING AND OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE HAVE HAD LIGHT
SNOW FALLING ALL NIGHT.  EXPECT THIS LIGHT SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNRISE FOR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

TODAY AND TONIGHT...A FLAT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY TONIGHT AS ENERGY OFF THE PACIFIC
MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE ROCKIES.  THERE IS PLENTY
OF MOISTURE EMBEDDED WITH THIS ENERGY AS IT MOVES INTO THE ROCKIES.
SNOW LOOKS TO BE LIGHT TO MODERATE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY AND
WILL INCREASE INTENSITY BY THIS EVENING AS THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND
STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET MOVE INTO THE REGION.  THIS PATTERN IS
FORECAST TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL BRING HEAVY
SNOW TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.  ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ON THE LIGHTER
SIDE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH AROUND 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER HEADING INTO THIS
EVENING AND SNOW WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ALONG THE
DIVIDE WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW EXPECT OVERNIGHT.  AN ADDITIONAL
10 TO 15 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ABOVE 10 KFT IN THE SAN JUAN RANGE AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.  LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BELOW 10 KFT.  WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE STRONG JET MOVES
INTO THE REGION.  EXPECT WINDS OVERNIGHT TO GUST INTO THE 50 KT
RANGE WITH LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE.  THE COMBINATION OF
HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS OVER THE PASSES TONIGHT.  SNOW WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS.

THE OTHER MAIN CONCERN TONIGHT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNSLOPE
WINDS.  MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT FOR SEVERAL DAYS IN DEVELOPING
STRONG WINDS ALONG THE LEE SLOPES OF THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS.
UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A WARNING AS CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO
GROW IN THIS EVENT OCCURRING.  THE LATEST NAM AND LOCAL WRF BOTH ARE
INDICATING A CLASSIC SET UP FOR DOWNSLOPE WINDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE RAMPART RANGE...AND ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES
AND ADJACENT PLAINS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAIN
RANGES.  BOTH MODELS PRODUCING A STRONG REVERSE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
AND CRITICAL LAYER ALONG WITH MOUNTAIN TOP INVERSIONS.  THE MODELS
ARE ALSO INDICATING THERMAL PACKING ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES.  THE
NAM AND WRF ARE DUCTING DOWN WINDS OVER 50 KTS WITH SOME LOCATIONS
UP TO 80 KTS.  THESE ARE A BIT STRONG FOR SUSTAINED WINDS...BUT
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.  DOWNSLOPE
WINDS ARE EXPECT TO DEVELOP AROUND 06Z TONIGHT AND PEAK FROM 09Z
THROUGH AROUND 15Z.  THOSE WITH OUTDOOR HOLIDAY DECORATIONS AND
ANYTHING THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE STRONG WINDS SHOULD MOVE
THESE ITEMS INSIDE OR ANCHOR THEM DOWN.  MOZLEY

.LONG TERM...

(MONDAY - SATURDAY)

MAIN CONCERN THIS FCST PERIOD IS STRONG DYNAMICALLY FORCED WINDS
ALONG THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE MTNS AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS
PERIOD...AND A LONG DURATION SNOW EVENT FOR THE MTNS ALONG THE
CONTDVD.

AS PER SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...STRONG WINDS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING
ALONG THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE MTNS AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS
TIME PERIOD (MONDAY MORNING). CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE DAMAGING WIND
THREAT SHOULD END BY LATE MORNING AS REVERSE SHEAR DECREASES AND MTN
TOP INVERSION LESSENS. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE...IT WILL STILL
REMAIN VERY WINDY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS..AND WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH
WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

SECOND CONCERN WILL BE LONG DURATION SNOW EVENT. GIVEN MODEL
SIMULATIONS HAVE UPGRADED WATCHES TO WARNINGS ACROSS THE CONTDVD.
MAIN CHANGE WAS TO INCLUDE THE LEADVILLE AREA IN THE WARNING ALONG
WITH THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN JUAN MTN RANGE. SNOWFALL TOTALS
WITH THIS EVENT SHOULD BE IN THE 3 TO 4+ FEET RANGE AFTER ALL IS
SAID AND DONE. BASED ON LATEST GUIDANCE THE SNOW SHOULD FINALLY
DECREASE ACROSS THE CONTDVD LATER THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH FINALLY
MOVES THROUGH. I SHOULD NOTE THAT THE CURRENT WARNINGS ONLY LAST
THROUGH 07Z ON WEDNESDAY...THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED AS
THE EVENT PROGRESSES.

AS FOR THE PLAINS...IT IS LIKELY GOING TO REMAIN DRY AND ON THE
SEASONABLE SIDE WRT TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S ON
MONDAY WILL BE REPLACED WITH 40S AND 50S ON TUESDAY...AND THESE COOL
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN OVER THE PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

THE ONLY CHANCE AS IT STANDS NOW OF SEEING SOME PRECIP ON THE PLAINS
WILL BE WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE THURSDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME
PRECIP WOULD MAINLY BE SHOWERY IN NATURES...HOWEVER LATEST 06Z GFS
WHICH JUST CAME IN IS A BIT STRONGER WITH THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE
PLAINS. \/HODANISH

&&

.AVIATION...

SEVERAL AVIATION CONCERNS.  FREEZING FOG IS CURRENTLY IMPACTING KALS
AND KPUB EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LIFR
CONDITIONS DUE TO VIS AND CIGS THROUGH 15Z.  EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS
AFTER 15Z AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

LOW STRATUS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT AND IMPACT ALL TERMINALS
HOWEVER CURRENTLY THINK WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH AT THE
SURFACE TO KEEP FOG FROM DEVELOPING.  CIGS LOOK TO DROP TO NEAR IFR
WITH THIS STRATUS AT ALL TERMINALS BY 02Z AND PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.  THE OTHER MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
WINDS AT KPUB AND KCOS.  THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF STRONG
DOWNSLOPE WINDS AT KCOS BEGINNING AFTER 06Z WITH THE GREATEST
LIKELIHOOD OF STRONG WINDS BY 11Z.  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 KTS ARE
POSSIBLE AND COULD BE MUCH HIGHER HEADING INTO MONDAY MORNING.
STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 15Z MONDAY AT KPUB.
MOZLEY

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
COZ058>060-066>068.

HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM MST MONDAY FOR
COZ072>075-079>088.

DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR COZ083-085-
086.

&&

88/34
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 18, 9:08 PM MST, 8 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
908 PM MST SAT DEC 18 2010

COZ058>089-093>099-200415-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
908 PM MST SAT DEC 18 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...
WITH GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF THE DIVIDE AT
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 10000 FEET. STRONG WEST WINDS GUSTING AT TIMES TO
50 MPH WILL RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SNOW WILL BE ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY
SNOW WILL PERSIST ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH TUESDAY
WHERE 1 TO 3 FEET OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ABOVE 10000 FEET WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...WILL ALSO IMPACT LOCATIONS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING PRODUCING REDUCED
VISIBILITIES ALONG WITH VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. SNOW
WILL DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT SNOW
CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ALONG THE DIVIDE. ANOTHER STORM
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE ROCKIES ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...WEST
OF INTERSTATE 25. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS ARE
LIKELY TONIGHT ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

28/28

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 19, 1:18 AM MST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
118 AM MST SUN DEC 19 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 AM     SNOW             2 NE LEADVILLE          39.27N 106.27W
12/19/2010  M4.7 INCH        LAKE               CO   PUBLIC

            24 HOUR MEASUREMENT FROM MIDNIGHT...07 UTC

&&

SHODANIS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Ft

When
December 19, 6:00 AM MST to December 22, 8:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
38.677, -106.274 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft

When
December 19, 6:00 AM MST to December 23, 5:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.484, -106.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Eastern Lake County / Western Mosquito Range Above 11000 Ft

When
December 19, 7:00 AM MST to December 22, 8:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Lake County / Western Mosquito Range Above 11000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
39.202, -106.345 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Western Chaffee County Between 9000 & 11000 Ft

When
December 19, 7:00 AM MST to December 22, 8:00 PM MST
Where
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 & 11000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
38.747, -106.194 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft

When
December 19, 7:00 AM MST to December 23, 6:00 PM MST
Where
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
37.778, -106.530 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Upper Rio Grande Valley / Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft

When
December 19, 8:00 AM MST to December 23, 5:00 PM MST
Where
Upper Rio Grande Valley / Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.484, -106.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Colorado in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, December 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 275108, 275114, 275107, 275109, 275110, 275111.