Oregon, 2009High Wind in Oregon, November 16 to 17, 2009
November 16 to 17, 2009 · NWS PDT · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
A powerful low pressure area from the Pacific and strong upper level winds brought damaging downslope winds to the southern Grande Ronde Valley and the Joseph area. Wind gusts included 88 mph 3 miles north of Joseph, which caused long term power outages and 60 mph in the North Powder area which brought down tree limbs.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A powerful low pressure area from the Pacific and strong upper level winds brought damaging downslope winds to the southern Grande Ronde Valley and the Joseph area. Wind gusts included 88 mph 3 miles north of Joseph, which caused long term power outages and 60 mph in the North Powder area which brought down tree limbs. Sustained winds at least 40 mph occured 5 miles west northwest of Union (44 mph) and in the North Powder area (51 mph).
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 9:25 PM PST, 5 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 9:25 PM PST, 5 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
925 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
.UPDATE...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING WARM
FRONT HAS BEEN OBSERVED AT STAMPEDE PASS. THEREFORE...IT IS
REASONABLE TO ASSUME THAT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
IN OTHER HIGH VALLEYS OF THE WASHINGTON CASCADE EAST SLOPES THROUGH
TOMORROW MORNING. OTHER PORTIONS OF THE WASHINGTON CASCADES WILL SEE
A RAIN/SNOW MIX CHANGING OVER TO RAIN ON MONDAY.
WARM FRONTAL RAIN SHOWERS HAVE ALSO BEEN OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHEAST
OREGON AND THE LOWER COLUMBIA BASIN...BUT SHOULD TAPER OFF IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AS DRIER AIR PUSHES IN FROM THE SOUTH. 82
&&
.AVIATION...06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
WILL SEND A STREAM OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA.
SKIES WILL REMAIN BROKEN TO OVERCAST ABOVE 7000 FEET AGL...EXCEPT AT
KYKM WHERE CEILINGS WILL RANGE FROM 3500-5000 FEET. KRDM AND KALW
WILL SEE SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KTS FOR
MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KPDT WILL SEE SIMILAR WINDS AFTER 16/18Z
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 82
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009/
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...TWO MAIN CONCERNS FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS UNDER A RELATIVELY ACTIVE AND SLOWLY CHANGING
PATTERN.
FIRST IS THE STRENGTHENING OF A SURFACE LOW OFF THE NORTH AMERICAN
COAST ALONG WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING OFFSHORE THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. PRESSURE GRADIENTS BETWEEN THE GREAT BASIN
AND THE SURFACE LOW OFFSHORE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TIGHT UNTIL A COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ON TUESDAY. AS SUCH, SOUTHERLY GRADIENTS
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TIGHT BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TO MOST
OF THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN IS
THE SOUTHERN GRANDE RONDE VALLEY WHERE A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED
EARLIER TODAY. CURRENT GRADIENTS AND NAM12 FORECAST GRADIENTS
BETWEEN KBKE AND KMEH WILL REMAIN AT LEAST 5 MB THROUGH NOON ON
TUESDAY WITH THE BULK OF THE PERIOD BETWEEN 6 AND 7 MB. COLD AIR
SPILLING FROM THE BAKER VALLEY INTO THE GRANDE RONDE VALLEY WILL
ALSO MAKE SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS TO WIND SPEEDS. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR AS THIS WILL PLACE THAT AREA ON THE UPPER END OF THE
ADVISORY RANGE AND POSSIBLE INTO HIGH WIND WARNING RANGE SHOULD
GRADIENTS TIGHTEN FURTHER.
SECOND CONCERN IS FOR A LINGERING POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS THE HIGHER VALLEYS OF THE WASHINGTON CASCADE EAST SLOPES
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. REGION WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A STREAM
OF WARM MOIST AIR AND PRECIPITATION MAINLY WEST OF THE CASCADES WITH
THE FOCUS MAINLY ON THE CENTRAL CASCADES FOR MOST OF TONIGHT. AS THE
FLOW TURNS MORE SOUTHERLY TONIGHT, A SLIGHTLY WARMER NOSE WILL CROSS
THE EAST SLOPES BUT THE PROFILE STILL REMAINS MARGINAL FOR FREEZING
RAIN. ADDITIONALLY, A SOUTHEASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
POTENTIALLY TRAP COLD AIR AGAIN TONIGHT IN THE HIGHER VALLEYS. BEST
CHANCES OF SEEING EVERYTHING COME TOGETHER WILL BE NEAR THE CASCADE
CREST OF KITTITAS AND YAKIMA COUNTIES.
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WASHINGTON AND FAR NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, EXPECT MAINLY A SNOW AND RAIN MIX GRADUALLY
TURNING TO RAIN MONDAY AT THE CASCADE PASSES WITH ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS AND RELATIVELY LITTLE IMPACTS EXPECTED.
TUESDAY MORNING WILL SEE A COLD FRONT CROSS THE REGION BRINGING A
CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW NEARLY EVERYWHERE. AT THIS TIME, STRONG
INVERSIONS HAVE NOT BEEN INDICATED FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
CWA SO DO NOT HAVE ANY WINTERY MIX PRECIPITATION CONCERNS AS MIXING
WINDS SHOULD KEEP A FAIRLY STANDARD PROFILE. CURRENT QPF ESTIMATES
RESULT IN A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW FOR THE CASCADE EAST SLOPES ENDING
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. /JBONK
LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...A PROGRESSIVE AND
STORMY PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
INITIALLY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITH SNOW ABOVE 2000 TO 2500 FEET.
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS DO NOT LOOK TOO SUBSTANTIAL SO EXPECT AN INCH
OR LESS IN CENTRAL OREGON AND 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THERE
WILL BE A BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON WEDNESDAY AND ONLY LINGERING
SHOWERS DUE TO UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHTER AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE DOWN A FEW DEGREES SINCE
LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL NOT SEE AS MUCH DOWNSLOPE SOUTHERLY WINDS AS
ON TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BEGIN CROSSING
THE CASCADES AND THE ENTIRE AREA WILL SEE A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
RAISE TEMPERATURES AROUND 5 DEGREES AND THUS SNOW LEVELS WILL BE
AROUND 4000 TO 4500 FEET AWAY FROM THE CASCADES WITH THIS SYSTEM. A
TROUGH WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM INTO THE AREA FRIDAY WITH A CONTINUED
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP A FEW DEGREES FRIDAY AS LIGHTER WINDS WILL NOT CREATE AS
MUCH DOWNSLOPE COMPRESSIONAL HEATING. PERRY
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL EXIT THE AREA
SATURDAY AND NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SET IN AHEAD OF A WEAK RIDGE. HAVE
KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS
ECMWF AND GFS STILL INDICATE A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF QPF...AND
UPSLOPE SHOWERS WILL STILL BE OF CONCERN ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. AS
THE RIDGE EXITS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF MOISTURE. SHOWER ACTIVITY
DURING THE DAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN DUE TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW PROVIDING BRIEF WAA. HOWEVER BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING CAA BEHIND THE DISTURBANCE MAY PROVIDE A RAIN SNOW MIX
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. WEBER
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT 33 49 41 53 / 10 10 20 30
ALW 35 49 43 52 / 10 10 10 30
PSC 32 48 43 55 / 10 10 20 30
YKM 31 46 36 50 / 20 20 30 30
HRI 30 49 41 54 / 0 0 20 30
ELN 29 43 36 48 / 30 30 30 40
RDM 26 51 33 48 / 10 10 20 40
LGD 28 38 32 49 / 0 0 0 20
GCD 28 47 37 48 / 0 0 10 20
DLS 35 47 39 48 / 20 20 60 70
&&
.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY FOR ORZ049.
WA...NONE.
&&
THREAT INDEX
MONDAY : GREEN
TUESDAY : GREEN
WEDNESDAY : GREEN
GREEN: NONE OR LIMITED NEED FOR WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES.
YELLOW: A FEW WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES POSSIBLE OR IN EFFECT.
RED: NUMEROUS WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES POSSIBLE OR IN EFFECT.
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT...
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PENDLETON
82/
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 12:33 PM PST, 14 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1233 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009
UPDATED TO ADD WIND TO THE GRANDE RONDE VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY
ORZ041>044-049-050-501>506-WAZ024-026>030-501-502-161415-
EASTERN COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE OF OREGON-NORTH CENTRAL OREGON-
CENTRAL OREGON-LOWER COLUMBIA BASIN OF OREGON-GRANDE RONDE VALLEY-
WALLOWA COUNTY-FOOTHILLS OF THE BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON-
NORTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON-
SOUTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON-
NORTHERN WHEELER AND SOUTHERN GILLIAM COUNTIES-JOHN DAY BASIN-
OCHOCO-JOHN DAY HIGHLANDS-
EASTERN COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE OF WASHINGTON-KITTITAS VALLEY-
YAKIMA VALLEY-LOWER COLUMBIA BASIN OF WASHINGTON-
FOOTHILLS OF THE BLUE MOUNTAINS OF WASHINGTON-
NORTHWEST BLUE MOUNTAINS-
EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES OF WASHINGTON-
EAST SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN CASCADES OF WASHINGTON-
1233 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OREGON
AS WELL AS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
STRONG WIND
GRANDE RONDE VALLEY
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL LINGER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
ACROSS THE GRANDE RONDE VALLEY. THIS WILL PRODUCE BREEZY CONDITIONS
FOR THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO DIG SOUTH TOWARDS THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH TONIGHT.
STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. MEANWHILE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WEST OF THE CASCADES.
THIS MOISTURE WILL AFFECT THE CASCADE CREST REGION AND THE CASCADE
EAST SLOPES...ESPECIALLY IN WASHINGTON THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW LEVELS
WILL RISE TONIGHT...EXPECTING RAIN TO BECOME THE MAIN TYPE OF
PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCAL
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IF COLD AIR REMAINS TRAPPED IN SOME VALLEYS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
STRONG WIND MONDAY AND TUESDAY
GRANDE RONDE VALLEY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY MORNING AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE LIGHT PRECIPITATION NEAR THE CASCADES AND
INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WASHINGTON. THE UPPER TROUGH LOOKS TO MOVE
INTO THE WESTERN U.S. BY MID WEEK...SPREADING ANOTHER ROUND OF COOL
AND UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
GRAPHICAL FORECASTS OF WEATHER HAZARDS OUT TO SEVEN DAYS
ARE DISPLAYED ON THE WORLD WIDE WEB AT:
WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/PDT/CURRENTHAZARDS/HWO.HTML
ALL LETTERS IN THE ABOVE URL ARE LOWER CASE...EXCEPT THE H IN
CURRENTHAZARDS.High Wind, Grand Ronde Valley
- When
- November 16, 2:37 AM PST to 4:00 AM PST
- Where
- Grand Ronde Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 44 kt (51 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 45.310, -118.009 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High Wind, Wallowa County
- When
- November 17, 12:30 AM PST to 9:50 AM PST
- Where
- Wallowa County forecast zone
- Measured
- 76 kt (87 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 45.445, -117.595 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heavy Snow in Kansas, November 16, 2009$4.8 million · 9 events
- Wildfire in California, November 16 to 18, 20094 injured · $20,000 · 1 event
- Debris Flow and Flood in Washington, November 16 to 17, 2009$35,000 · 2 events
- High Wind in Oregon, November 16 to 17, 2009$17,000 · 70 kt wind · 7 events
- Heavy Snow in Nebraska, November 16, 20096 events
- High Wind in Washington, November 16 to 17, 200950 kt wind · 5 events
- High Wind in Washington, November 16 to 17, 2009$10,000 · 61 kt wind · 4 events
- High Wind in Oregon, November 16 to 17, 200956 kt wind · 3 events
- Heavy Rain in U.S. Virgin Islands, November 16, 20092 events
- High Surf in Maine, November 16, 20092 events
- Heavy Snow in Alaska, November 16 to 17, 20092 events
- Heavy Snow in Washington, November 16 to 17, 20091 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 196897, 196898.