A storm system developed in the southern Plains around mid-month, then slowly lifted north through the Mississippi Valley toward the Great Lakes. The surface front meandered across the region from the 11th to the 18th.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A storm system developed in the southern Plains around mid-month, then slowly lifted north through the Mississippi Valley toward the Great Lakes. The surface front meandered across the region from the 11th to the 18th. Heavy rainfall upriver caused the Mississippi River to exceed flood stage at Cape Girardeau.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 19, 5:52 AM CST, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 552 AM CST THU NOV 19 2009 .UPDATE... UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION. NO CHANGES TO PUBLIC DISCUSSION. && .DISCUSSION... BIGGEST CHALLENGES WITH THIS PACKAGE WILL BE HANDLING OF CLOUD COVER AND LINGERING SHOWERS/DRIZZLE WITH EXITING SYSTEM. AS THE UPPER LOW THAT HAS PLAGUED THE REGION FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH...THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL DECREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THIS MORNING. IN THE MEANTIME THOUGH... THIS MORNING SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE REGION. WITH DECENT 1000-850MB MOISTURE COMBINED WITH CYCLONIC CURVATURE...COULD STILL SEE PATCHY DRIZZLE THIS MORNING OVER ALL BUT THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST SECTIONS. THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LOW BEING FARTHER AWAY AND MOISTURE THINNING OUT...FEEL THAT PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE NORTH OF OUR CWA. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP THE REGION DRY THROUGH MONDAY. STARTING SATURDAY MODELS ARE BRINGING MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE CWA FROM WEST TO EAST. AT THE SAME TIME MODELS INDICATE A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THAT APPEARS TO SHUT OFF THE MOISTURE STREAM...SO MOISTURE DOESNT APPEAR TO BE DEEP ENOUGH TO GENERATE PRECIP...SO LEFT DRY AT THE MOMENT. IF SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS SHOW THESE PARAMETERS BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE...POPS MAY HAVE TO BE ADDED. THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST THEREFORE KEEPING DEEPER MOISTURE/PRECIP SOUTH OF OUR REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MADE NO CHANGES BEYOND SUNDAY. && .AVIATION... UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO CHURN ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. CIGS HAVE BEEN RANGING FROM MVFR TO VFR DURING THE NIGHT BUT ARE NOW VFR FOR THE MOST PART AT ALL TAF SITES. COULD SEE SOME MVFR CIGS UP IN THE KEVV AREA THIS MORNING BUT THINK VFR CEILINGS SHOULD BE THE RULE. WATCHING SATELLITE TRENDS...A DISTINCT BACK EDGE TO THE CLOUDS IS SEEN AND IT IS STEADILY HEADING OUR WAY. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...WE COULD SCATTER OUT AT KCGI AND KPAH IN JUST A FEW HRS. THERE WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SOME MORE STRATO-CU DURING THE DAY THOUGH. AS THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY MOVES TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT 12 HRS OR SO...WE SHOULD SEE CLOUDS SCATTER OUT AT KEVV/KOWB BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT...WHICH MIGHT AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME FOG BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...IN AREAS WHICH BECOME TOTALLY CLEAR. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 308 AM CST THU NOV 19 2009 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-200915- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 308 AM CST THU NOV 19 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of the Mississippi River occurred. At the Cape Girardeau river gage, the river crested at 34.21 feet on the 22nd. Flood stage is 32 feet. Some low-lying fields and bottomland river access roads were flooded.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2009Every state in 2009This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2009
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 200151.