Pennsylvania, 2008

Lake-Effect Snow in Pennsylvania, November 20 to 22, 2008

November 20 to 22, 2008 · NWS CTP · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Unseasonably cold air crossing the Great Lakes lead to a prolonged period of heavy lake effect and orographically enhanced snow over the northwest mountains and western Alleghenies. The heaviest snow fell over the favored snow belt region in northwest Warren County, where two-day accumulations approached three feet.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CTP wrote it up.

Unseasonably cold air crossing the Great Lakes lead to a prolonged period of heavy lake effect and orographically enhanced snow over the northwest mountains and western Alleghenies. The heaviest snow fell over the favored snow belt region in northwest Warren County, where two-day accumulations approached three feet.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 20, 4:57 AM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 4:57 AM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
457 AM EST THU NOV 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER THROUGH
SATURDAY...KEEPING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH
SEVERAL BOUTS OF LAKE EFFECT AND OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE STATE EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING PATCHY LIGHT SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL PA AND
UPSTATE NY ATTM IN AREA OF WAA AHEAD OF APPROACHING ALBERTA
CLIPPER. IN WAKE OF CLIPPER...FLOW HAS ALREADY SHIFTED TO THE NW
ACROSS LK ERIE/HURON...WHERE IR IMAGERY SHOWING EVIDENCE OF DEVELOPING
LAKE EFFECT STREAMERS.

DEEP/MOIST BLYR ASCENDING THE NW MTNS SHOULD RESULT IN PERSISTENT
LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHWRS TDY. LCL WRF ARW SHOWING AN IMPRESSIVE
AREA OF LL CONVERGENCE OVR THE NW MTNS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
TRAILING SFC TROF. MODEL QPF IN THIS AREA SUGGESTS SEVERAL INCHES
OF ACCUM ARE LIKELY TDY AND TONIGHT...BEFORE VEERING FLOW SHIFTS
LAKE EFFECT FOCUS SOUTHWARD. THUS...HAVE ISSUED A WINT WX
ADVISORY FOR TDY AND TONIGHT FROM CLEARFIELD CO NORTHWRD THRU
POTTER CO. IN THE SNOWBELT REGION OF WARREN/MCKEAN CO...HAVE
ISSUED A LONG DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING THRU SAT. ALTHOUGH
IT IS CLEAR THAT A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT
THRU FRI AFTN AS BLYR FLOW TEMPORARILY SHIFTS TO THE NNW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FOCUS OF LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY SHIFTS TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT...AS
BLYR FLOW VEERS TO NNW. HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE HIGHER SREF
POPS...WHICH INDICATE CAT POPS ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS AND
APPEAR MORE REALISTIC THAN MOS NUMBERS BASED ON DEEP/MOIST FLOW
ASCENDING THE ALLEGHENIES. MAX OMEGA FALLS BLW DGZ...INDICATING
SOME RIMING AND LESS THAN IDEAL S:W RATIOS. HOWEVER...WINDS REMAIN WELL
ALIGNED /WITH LK HURON CONNECTION/ FOR THE LAURELS TO GET SIG SNOW
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...THEN WE SHOULD SEE A GRADUAL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH...AND INTO THE NW LAKE EFFECT BELT BY LATE FRIDAY. MODEL QPF
SUGGESTS A GENERAL 4-8 INCH SNOWFALL OVR CAMBRIA/SOMERSET TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. WILL COVER WITH A WINT STORM WARNING...GIVEN THIS IS
THE FIRST SIG SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON.

PASSAGE OF UPPER LVL SHORTWAVE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL OF LIGHT ACCUMS WELL EAST OF THE MTNS. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH FOR POTENTIAL AFFECT ON THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
THE SUSQ VALLEY...WHERE TEMPS ABV THE FREEZING MARK UPON ARRIVAL
OF SHSN COULD PRODUCE BLACK ICE CONDS FRIDAY AM.

BACKING FLOW EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY IN WAKE OF SHORTWAVE...SHIFTING
FOCUS OF LAKE EFFECT NORTHWRD INTO THE NW MTNS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NAEFS SHOWING -15C 850 TEMPS CROSSING LK ERIE FRI NITE/EARLY
SAT...WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE SIG LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVR THE NW MTNS
FRI NITE INTO SATURDAY. CROSS HAIR OMEGA/DGZ SIGNATURE INDICATING
HIGH SNOW/WATER RATIOS...LIKELY RESULTING IN LOCALLY HVY ACCUMS.
LAKE EFFECT SHOULD FINALLY DIMINISH SAT NIGHT AS SFC HIGH BUILDS
INTO THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW COVER...LIGHT WIND AND
CLEARING SKIES COULD RESULT IN THE COLDEST NIGHT SO FAR THIS
SEASON WITH SINGLE DIGIT LOWS POSS OVR THE ALLEGHENIES BASED ON
GEFS PLUMES.

NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL BRING ANOTHER FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT TROUGH FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DETAILS REMAIN DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN AT THIS
TIME FRAME...BUT DETERIORATING WEATHER MON-WED WITH A PERIOD OF
LIGHT PRECIP /PROBABLY SHSN/. TEMPS REMAIN BLW NORMAL THRU AT
LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
REGIONAL RADAR AT 06Z SHOWS LIGHT SNOW /2.5-5SM/ BREAKING OUT
ACROSS NRN PA AND SWRN NY STATE...ASSOC WITH WEAK CLIPPER LOW
APPROACHING THE LWR GRT LKS FROM INVOF ERN LAKE HURON IN SRN
ONTARIO. HIGH RES MDL GUID SHOWS THE WEAK CLIPPER LOW SLOWLY
SLIDING SEWD THRU NE PA TNT AND EVENTUALLY MOVG OFF THE MID ATLC
COAST BY FRI AM. OVER TIME...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW /VEERING AROUND TO
THE NW/ WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT AND
OROGRAPHICLY ENHANCED SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND
LAUREL HIGHLANDS. BFD AND JST WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE THE WORST
FLYING CONDS - AS IS USUALLY THE CASE. CENTRAL TERMINALS AOO/UNV
WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPORARY FLUCTUATIONS IN CIGS AND VIS /MAINLY
MVFR/ ALONG WITH OCNL SHSN. IPT/MDT SHOULD STAY VFR MOST OF THE
TIME...ALTHOUGH IPT COULD LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES THIS MORNING IN
THE CLIPPER SNOW.

LAKE EFFECT/CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME APPEARS TO REMAIN IN TACT THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT ANTICIPATED FOR THE LATER IN THE WEEKEND.
ATTM...THE PD FM LATE SAT INTO SUNDAY LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHC FOR
WDSPRD VFR AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYS BRIEFLY VISITS THE REGION.
HOWEVER...THE MDLS SHOW ANOTHER SYS APPROACHING FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
SATURDAY FOR PAZ004-005.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY
FOR PAZ024-033.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR PAZ010-011-017.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FITZGERALD
NEAR TERM...FITZGERALD
SHORT TERM...FITZGERALD
LONG TERM...FITZGERALD/RXR
AVIATION...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 20, 5:50 AM EST, 10 minutes before
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The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 lake-effect snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Lake-Effect Snow, Warren

When
November 20, 6:00 AM EST to November 22, 6:00 PM EST
Where
Warren forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
41.815, -79.274 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow accumulations generally ranged from one to two feet. The snow belt region over the northwest portion of the county picked up as much as thirty inches. Some specific locations which reported thirty or more inches include Clarendon, Columbus and Youngsville.

Lake-Effect Snow, McKean

When
November 20, 6:00 AM EST to November 22, 6:00 PM EST
Where
McKean forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
41.808, -78.569 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow accumulations generally ranged from nine to twelve inches. The city of Bradford picked up just over a foot of snow.

What these are

Lake-Effect Snow
Heavy snow in bands downwind of a large lake as cold air crosses warmer water.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, November 2008

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 135650, 135651.