Strong southerly winds of up to 30 mph downed a silver maple tree on a man in Orange, Essex County.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.
Strong southerly winds of up to 30 mph downed a silver maple tree on a man in Orange, Essex County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 1:40 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
140 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WILL LIFT
NORTHWARD AND INTO EASTERN CANADA BY SUNDAY MORNING...DRAGGING A
A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY. AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A VERY COLD AIR MASS FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WARM FRONT HAS PUSHED NORTH OF MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF CLEARING ACROSS THE DELMARVA/SOUTHERN NJ
WILL WORK N INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GREATER DE-
STABILIZATION EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING THAN EARLIER
EXPECTED. THIS AS DEW POINTS RISE INTO THE LOWER AND MID 60S AND
TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER 70S ACROSS NYC AND N AND W.
A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM.
MUCAPES AROUND 500 J/KG AND BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 50 TO 60 KT
RAISES POTENTIAL FOR A SQUALL LINE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WITH ISOLATED SEVERE WINDS GUSTS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILE COULD EVEN
SUPPORT A ROTATING SUPERCELL WITH LOW END TORNADIC POTENTIAL. HWO
IS ADDRESSING THREAT CURRENTLY.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THIS TO OCCUR WOULD BE FROM N&W PORTIONS OF
THE NYC METRO AND THEN TO THE NORTH AND WEST WHERE SFC BASED
INSTABILITY WILL BE REALIZED. COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL BE INVERTED
IN THE LOW LEVELS. IF THREAT INCREASES A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE
ISSUED BY SPC LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
AN ADDITIONAL ONE- HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST WITH
THE COLD FRONT.
WINDS ON THE SHORE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A
STRENGTHENING WIND PROFILE AND ERODING LOW-LEVEL INVERSION.
STRONGEST LLJ APPEARS TO TRACK OVER EASTERN LI AND SE CT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT SO WILL CONTINUE WIND ADVISORY FOR
THESE AREAS. WINDS ACROSS THE REST OF LONG ISLAND...BROOKLYN AND
QUEENS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO
40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING...JUST BELOW ADVISORY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND
TONIGHT. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL BRING IN A MUCH COOLER AIR TOWARD
DAYBREAK.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPS STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING ON
SUN. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF STRATA CU WITH A DEEP-LAYERED
CYCLONIC FLOW AND STRONG WEST (15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
MPH).
UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TO START THE WEEK WITH BOTH
DAYTIME HIGHS AND LOWS 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
CLIPPER TYPE LOW DROPPING SE FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON MON WILL
BRING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHC OF RAIN/SNOW TO THE REGION. ANY
FROZEN PCPN WILL BE IN THE EARLY MORNING AND NIGHTTIME HOURS
ACROSS INTERIOR LOCATIONS. A SECONDARY LOW FORMS WELL OFFSHORE TUE
NIGHT...SPARING THE REGION ANY SIG PCPN. THE 12Z ECMWF...21Z SREF
AND 00Z NAM WRF HAD HINTED AT OFFSHORE DEVELOPMENT CLOSE ENOUGH TO
THROW BACK PCPN ACROSS EASTERN LI AND SE CT. SUBSEQUENT RUNS
THOUGH ARE MORE PROGRESSIVE AND FARTHER OFFSHORE LIKE THE GFES.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPPER PATTERN DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE CONSISTS OF MEAN LONGWAVE
TROUGHINESS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WITH SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED IN THIS
FLOW MOVING THROUGH THE REGION FROM TIME TO TIME. UNSEASONABLY
COLD WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEAK CLIPPER
SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS ON THU...BUT THINK NW DOWNSLOPING FLOW
WILL LIMIT PRECIP MAKING OVER THE MOUNTAINS. CONTINUED BREEZY WITH
POSSIBLY LAKE EFFECT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ON FRI.
EACH SHORTWAVE THAT PASSES THROUGH WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF
COLD AIR WITH TEMPERATURES HARD PRESSED TO GET OUT OF THE 40S DURING
THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH COMPLEX SCENARIO CURRENTLY
UNFOLDING. VSBYS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION HAVE IMPROVED TO VFR
AND POCKETS OF CIGS HAVE IMPROVED TO VFR AS WELL. STILL EXPECT TO
SEE IMPROVEMENT WITH CIGS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AS WE GET INTO THE WARM SECTOR. LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS
CONTINUE TO SEE EROSION OF THE CLOUD SHIELD ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD FROM NEW YORK SOUTHWARD. THIS SHOULD TRANSITION MVFR AND
IFR CONDITIONS UPWARD TO MVFR OR VFR FOR A COUPLE HOURS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THEN...EXPECT TO RETURN TO LOW END MVFR AND IFR THIS
EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES...WITH EVENTUAL IMPROVEMENT
TO VFR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT 16/07-11Z (SOONEST KSWF...THEN ABOUT
AN HOUR LATER NYC TERMINALS AND LAST KGON).
THE BAD NEWS IS THAT THE CLEARING HAS INCREASED THE INSTABILITY
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. EXPECT SCT CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
FROM BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON UP ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...EXISTING CONVECTION WEST OF THE THIS
CORRIDOR ALONG AND EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS WILL CONTINUE TO
PERSIST AND PERHAPS STRENGTHEN A BIT. SO...THUNDER IS CERTAINLY A
THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...AND HAVE INCLUDED
VCTS FOR THE MAIN THREAT TIMING WITH A TEMPO GROUP FOR ENHANCED
WINDS DURING THE WINDOW OF BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR EACH TERMINAL.
EXPECT GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY STRONGER CONVECTION (GUSTS OF 40-45KT
POSSIBLE).
ANOTHER CONCERN FROM MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING IS LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR....WITH A LOW LEVEL JET FORECAST TO MOVE MAINLY
OVER THE AREA (STRONGEST OVER EASTERN TERMINALS)...SO EXPECT 45 TO
65KT OF WIND AT 1500-2000FT OUT OF THE SOUTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... VFR WITH GUSTY W FLOW
ON SUN. VFR PROBABLE MON...WITH ONLY A CHANCE OF MVFR...DEPENDING
ON EXACT TRACK OF STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR
JUST NORTH OF THE REGION (NEED IT TO GO TO THE SOUTH TO GET SUB-
VFR). VFR WITH GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED FROM TUE INTO WED.
&&
.MARINE...
A VIGOROUS SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 60-70 KT WILL BUILD INTO AREA
WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON (TRACK SLIGHTLY UP IN THE AIR...CORE
MIGHT PASS JUST EAST OF WESTERN MOST WATERS)...IT APPEARS THAT LOW
LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO DISSIPATE THE LOW
LEVEL INVERSION...AS A RESULT HAVE HOISTED GALE WARNINGS FOR ALL
WATERS. SHOULD SEE SUSTAINED WINDS TO SCA LEVELS AND GALE GUSTS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS MOST WATERS.
THERE SHOULD BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT (KEPT OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
SAKE OF SIMPLICITY)...THEN WINDS BECOME GUSTY AGAIN OUT OF THE WEST
BY MID MORNING WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE EXPECTED OVER ALL
WATERS...WINDS TAPER TO SCA LEVELS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY
SUNDAY EVENING. FOR NOW HAVE GALE WARNING EXTENDED THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WILL LET LATER SHIFTS TWEAK END POINTS ONCE TIMING FOR
DIMINISHING OF WIND GUSTS BECOMES CLEARER.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL BUILD SEAS TO 7 TO 14 FT BY TONIGHT OVER THE
COASTAL OCEAN WATERS...AND UP TO 6 FT ON THE SOUND AND BAYS
(SLIGHTLY LESS ON THE HARBOR AND MORE CONFINED AREAS OF THE
BAY/SOUND) BY TONIGHT...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH ON SUNDAY AS THE WINDS
SLOWLY DIMINISH AND WESTERLY DIRECTION LIMITS FETCH (EXCEPT OVER THE
SOUND AND SOUTHERN BAYS).
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH MONDAY TO BELOW SCA LEVELS ON ALL BUT ANZ
350-353...WHERE SEAS WILL ALSO REMAIN ABOVE SCA LEVELS POSSIBLY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS SHOULD RETURN TO MINIMAL SCA LEVELS
FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH COLD SURGE BEHIND THE ARCTIC
FRONT.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL FROM THROUGH TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES. RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS IS EXPECTED...BUT
FLOODING IS NOT LIKELY. HOWEVER...WITH SOME HEAVIER SHOWERS MINOR
URBAN AND LOW LYING FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS DEPARTURES HAVE
FALLEN BELOW MINOR THRESHOLDS. DEPARTURES FOR EVENING HIGH TIDE
ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS.
STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND A COLD FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT TIDES...AND NECESSITATE A LOW WATER
ADVISORY BE ISSUED EITHER TODAY OR TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR CTZ007-008-011-012.
NY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ079-081.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-
350-353-355.
&&HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1236 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008 CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>078-080-161745- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX- HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 1236 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A LINE OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE ARE THROUGH THIS EVENING. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EVEN A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. CTZ007-008-011-012-NYZ079-081-161745- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 1236 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-340-350-161745- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 1236 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ335-338-345-353-355-161745- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1236 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A LINE OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THERE ARE THROUGH THIS EVENING. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EVEN A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A fifty foot silver maple tree cracked at its base and fell on a man walking along the sidewalk on South Center Street, in Orange.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Wind, Essex | 2008-11-15 | 42 | Male | Outside/Open Areas | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Jersey in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, November 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 142920.