Heavy rains were observed over portions of Missouri, around the 1st and 2nd of March, as a strong upper level storm system moved across the region. This resulted in minor to moderate flooding, of area creeks and rivers.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Heavy rains were observed over portions of Missouri, around the 1st and 2nd of March, as a strong upper level storm system moved across the region. This resulted in minor to moderate flooding, of area creeks and rivers.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 5:44 PM CST, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 544 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008 ...UPDATED AVIATION FORECAST... .DISCUSSION... /416 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008/ MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS AFTERNOONS FORECAST EFFORTS IS ON THE WILD WEATHER THAT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVING EAST INTO THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. UNDER IT A DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS HAS RESULTED IN RAPID PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHERN IOWA SOUTH TO OKLAHOMA. THIS IN TURN HAS TIGHTENED THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE KANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER. COUPLED WITH A STRONG 50+ KNOT 850MB JET...AND ABUNDANT SUNSHINE FOR BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING...WE HAVE BEEN SEEING ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THE GREATER KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA. THE SURFACE WIND SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE A LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HEATING FADES AWAY AND THE 850MB WIND DECREASES A LITTLE. AT THIS TIME I ANTICIPATE LETTING THE ADVISORY EXPIRE AT 4 PM. THE DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL BECOME A PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS STATES SUNDAY WITH A SHORTWAVE...CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... PUSHING IT ALONG. LOOKING TO OUR SOUTH...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOISTURE BEGINNING TO SURGE BACK TO THE NORTH AS THE CUMULUS FIELD SOUTH OF OKLAHOMA HAS BEGUN TO MOVE NORTH. EVEN WITH THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND IT SHOULD TAKE TILL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING FOR WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER TO FILL IN ACROSS THE REGION. LATELY MODELS HAVE BEEN A BIT INCONSISTENT WITH THE PROJECTED SPEED OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HOWEVER...WITH THE SHORTWAVE PUSHING THE FRONT NOW HAVING MADE LANDFALL...THE GFS/NAM-WRF/SREF HAVE ALL CONVERGED TOWARDS A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SOLUTION. THOUGHTS ARE STILL THAT THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THOUGH WE SHOULD SEE SOME SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SEVER THUNDERSTORMS STILL DO NOT APPEAR TO BE A PROBLEM. OTHERWISE...FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY I HAVE BUMPED SUNDAYS HIGH TEMPERATURES UP TO AROUND 70 DEGREES FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. WINDS COULD BE A BIT STRONG AND GUSTY AGAIN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND SURFACE LOW FORMS ALONG THE FRONT TOMORROW. CLOUD COVER SHOULD INHIBIT THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING THOUGH...SO NO WIND ADVISORY IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR SUNDAY. FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...IT WILL BE A RACE BETWEEN THE EXITING PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND THE ADVECTING COLD AIR MASS TO DETERMINE THE PRECIPITATION TYPE. WITH A SLOWER FRONT AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...WILL BE PRONE TO MIDNIGHT HIGHS. OTHERWISE...OVERNIGHT SHIFT HAS ALREADY ACCOUNTED FOR MUCH OF THIS SLOW DOWN IN THE FRONT...THEREFORE ONLY ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS WHERE TO INCREASE THEM SOME. DID ADJUST THE PRECIPITATION TYPE TO INCLUDE A TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW USING A MIX OF RAIN/SLEET/AND SNOW. FOR SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING RAINFALL TOTALS COULD BE ON THE HIGH SIDE AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL TOP OUT OVER ONE INCH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. DYNAMICS LOOKS GOOD WITH A COUPLED JET STRUCTURE ALOFT...BUT THE QUESTION IS HOW WIDESPREAD IT BE AND WILL THE CHANGE OVER TO SLEET/SNOW MITIGATE THAT RUNOFF. CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE THAT THE CHANGE OVER WILL NOT MITIGATE RUNOFF THAT MUCH...AND THAT THE STORMS MIGHT PROGRESS FAST ENOUGH TO TO LEAVE VALUES JUST BELOW HEADWATER GUIDANCE VALUES. HOWEVER...THIS WILL NEED CAREFUL EVALUATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HAVE LEFT CHANCE SNOW POPS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR MONDAY. CUTTER NEXT SHORTWAVE IN THE SERIES WILL DROP IN BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THINK BEST ENERGY/LIFT WILL STAY JUST NORTH OF THE REGION. SO WITH WEAK LIFT AND LITTLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE...EXPECT WEDNESDAY TO BE PREDOMINANTLY DRY. HOWEVER THE COLD FRONT WILL HAVE SOME AFFECT...DROPPING TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. HAVE THEREFORE LOWERED EXPECTED HIGHS FOR THAT TIME-FRAME. PATTERN REMAINS SOMEWHAT MESSY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH GENERAL UPPER LEVEL TROUGHINESS AND EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES TRANSLATING THROUGH THE FLOW. DIFFICULT TO TIME THESE SHORTWAVES. HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL STRUGGLE TO RETURN...SO REGARDLESS...WILL MAINTAIN POPS LESS THAN 15 PERCENT THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WILL ALSO HOLD TEMPS TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THROUGH SATURDAY. NRR && .AVIATION... FOR THE 00Z TAF CYCLE...LESS CONFIDENT ON STRATUS DECK MOVING INTO AREA OVERNIGHT. WRF MODEL...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE BEST HANDLE ON CURRENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN TEXAS...SHOWS ON THE 925 MB CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICIT SURFACE THAT STRATUS WOULD NOT BE MAKING IT TO TAF SITES UNTIL CLOSER TO 15Z. ITS 950 MB SURFACE WOULD SUGGEST THE BETTER IFR CEILINGS WOULD BE MORE SHUNTED TOWARD THE OZARKS LATE TONIGHT. THUS WILL NOT PUT IN ANY EXTREMELY LOW CEILINGS AT THIS POINT...AND HOLD OFF ON ANY MVFR DECK UNTIL MID MORNING. WILL CONTINUE THE LLWS THAT WAS IN PREVIOUS TAFS...ALTHOUGH LATEST MODELS WOULD SUGGEST 2000 FOOT WINDS MAY BE ABOUT 5 KTS LESS THAN EARLIER THINKING. IT APPEARS ANY THREAT OF RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL FRONT GETS CLOSE TO AREA LATE IN THE DAY. WILL MENTION CBS AT THIS POINT BUT SEE WHAT 00Z MODELS SHOW FOR TIMING AND INSTABILITY WITH THIS FRONT BEFORE INTRODUCING ANY THUNDER. PC && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 100 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-021200- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 100 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND WILL PREVAIL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI FROM ATCHISON SOUTH THROUGH OLATHE AND LEES SUMMIT THROUGH 4 PM. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE AREAS AROUND LEAVENWORTH AND KANSAS CITY THROUGH EXCELSIOR SPRINGS AND BLUE SPRINGS. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN AFFECT THROUGH 4 PM AS A RESULT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY...DROPPING A COLD FRONT INTO THE NORTHWEST MISSOURI SUNDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION...A COLD RAIN WILL FORM BEHIND THE FRONT. AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH ANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...A HIGH AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL LIFT NORTHWARD...ALLOWING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DUE TO THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS COULD BECOME SWOLLEN AND FLOOD IF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN DOES FALL. IN ADDITION...COLDER AIR ABOVE THE GROUND WILL BEGIN TO SINK SOUTHWARD SUNDAY EVENING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SNOW TO MIX IN WITH RAIN AND EVENTUALLY CHANGE COMPLETELY OVER TO SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI AS WELL AS NORTHEAST KANSAS. THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE ANY HEAVY SNOW WILL FALL. AT THIS TIME AREAS NORTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE LINE HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ALTHOUGH THE ENTIRE REGION COULD SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT SUNDAY. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR INFORMATION ON ANY SHIFT IN STORM TRACK AND INTENSITY WHICH COULD PUSH PRECIPITATION AREAS FARTHER NORTH OR SOUTH. THE REMAINING PORTIONS OF THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA ON MONDAY...WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF SNOW ALONG THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA MONDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. CUTTER
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
19 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Platte River near Agency crested at 27.21 feet, or 7.21 feet above flood stage.
The 102 River near Maryville crested at 20.77 feet, or 2.77 feet above flood stage.
The 102 River at Rosendale crested at 19.00 feet, or 1.00 feet above flood stage.
The Grand River near Sumner crested at 35.12 feet, or 9.12 feet above flood stage.
The Grand River near Chillicothe crested at 32.35 feet, or 8.35 feet above flood stage.
The Grand River at Gallatin crested at 30.21 feet, or 4.21 feet above flood stage.
The Platte River near Sharps Station crested at 31.11 feet, or 5.11 feet above flood stage.
The Platte River near Platte City crested at 25.70 feet, or 5.70 feet above flood stage.
The Tarkio River near Fairfax crested at 18.25 feet, or 1.25 feet above flood stage.
The 102 River near Maryville crested at 18.10 feet, or 0.10 of a foot above flood stage.
The Grand River near Pattonsburg crested at 27.55 feet, or 2.55 feet above flood stage.
The Big Creek near Blairstown crested at 22.78 feet, or 2.78 feet above flood stage.
The South Grand River near Urich crested at 26.84 feet, or 2.84 feet above flood stage.
The Blackwater River near Valley City crested at 25.33 feet, or 3.33 feet above flood stage.
The Chariton River near Prairie Hill crested at 15.35 feet, or 0.35 feet above flood stage.
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville crested at 17.77 feet, or 1.77 feet above flood stage.
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick crested at 24.05 feet, or 0.05 feet above flood stage.
The Grand River at Brunswick crested at 21.37 feet, or 2.37 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River at Miami crested at 18.65 feet, or 0.65 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 88081, 88094, 88099, 88100, 88090, 88092, 88101, 88097, 88091, 88095, 88096, 88084, 88102, 88103, 88098, 88087, 88085, 88089, 88093.