Colorado, 2008

Winter Storm in Colorado, March 16 to 17, 2008

March 16 to 17, 2008 · NWS PUB · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

San Isabel and Rye.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.

Deep...moist northeast upslope flow produced areas of heavy snow including 6 inches near Colorado City...Cuchara and Buena Vista...and around 8 inches at Beulah...San Isabel and Rye.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 16, 2:01 PM MST, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 2:01 PM MST, 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
301 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND TOMORROW)

...EXTREMELY COMPLEX WX NEXT 24H...

CURRENTLY...PRECIP BEGINNING TO BREAK OUT ACROSS AREA WITH A MIX OF
SNOW...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. MOST OF THE FREEZING PRECIP ACROSS EL
PASO COUNTY. NOT MUCH GOING ON ACROSS THE MTNS ATTM. TEMPS ACROSS
THE PLAINS HAVE REMAINED QUITE COOL...WITH MANY AREAS AT OR BELOW
FREEZING WITH A WARM POCKET EXISTING FROM KTAD-KLHX (40-50F).

EXTREMELY COMPLEX PATTERN OVER THE AREA ATTM WITH FREEZING
RAIN...RAIN AND SNOW FALLING. LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES A DOUBLE
WHAMMY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS PRECIP WILL BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON
AND LAST INTO THE EVENING. IT MAY LET UP FOR AWHILE LATER TONIGHT
AND THEN REDEVELOP AS THE 700 MB LOW (WHICH IS FCST TO TRACK OVER
RIGHT OVER THE REGION) MOVES TO OUR EAST. ONCE IT DOES MOVE TO OUR
EAST...THE STRONGER N WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND THAT IS WHEN THE
BLOWING SNOW WILL LIKELY HIT THE PALMER DIVIDE AND PIKES PEAK
REGION.

AS FOR THE PLAINS...TEMPS NOW AT FREEZING. I DO BELIEVE TEMPS WILL
VERY SLOWLY INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS WITH LOWS HOVERING AROUND 35. MY MAIN CONCERN IS IF
ANY INTENSE PRECIP DEVELOPS THE PRECIP COULD GO OVER TO A
VARIETY...INCLUDING FREEZING RAIN AND EVEN HEAVY SNOW IF TSRA
DEVELOP (WHICH IT COULD DO GIVEN THE INTENSE WAA WHICH IS FCST TO
BE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. FOR NOW I HAVE A MIX OUT THERE. I ALSO
DO NOT HAVE ANY HILITES BUT IF THINGS REALLY PICK UP PRECIP-WISE
WE MAY NEED SOME FREEZING PRECIP HILITES.

AS FOR THE MTNS TONIGHT...STRONG INTENSE +VV AND LAPSE RATES SHOULD
ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW OVER THE MTNS...SO BELIEVE CURRENT
HILITES SHOULD WORK OUT. I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE VERY
VARIABLE SNOWFALL GIVEN THE CONVECTION.

SPEAKING OF CONVECTION...I WOULD NOT RULE OUT A TSRA ANYWHERE IN THE
CWA TONIGHT AS THIS THING GOES BY.

FOR TOMORROW...THINGS WILL GET REALLY ACTIVE ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK
REGION AS THE 700 LOW MOVES EAST. CURRENT GUIDANCE HAS THIS THING
LIFTING OUT PRETTY QUICKLY AND NOT INTENSIFYING...SO I DO NOT
EXPECT IT TO GET TOO BAD (I.E. NOT A BLIZZARD). FOR NOW I HAVE THE
STORM ENDING AROUND NOON TOMORROW...BUT THIS MAY BE A BIT
PREMATURE. I WILL ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO ADJUST. ONE THING I AM
CONCERNED ABOUT FOR LATER TOMORROW IS THE DRY SLOT WHICH MAY
REALLY SHUT THINGS DOWN BY LATE MORNING. WE WILL SEE. HODANISH

.LONG TERM...
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)

MUCH OF FOCUS TODAY HAS BEEN ON SHORT TERM WEATHER...SO DISCUSSION
WILL BE BRIEF.  UPPER TROF MOVES BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION
WANING ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. CLEARING SKIES MON
NIGHT SETS UP THE AREA FOR A COLD NIGHT...ESP OVER AREAS WITH
FRESH SNOWPACK.

FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BECOMES MORE ZONAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH
PERIODIC SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW. TIMING OF THESE WILL
BE DIFFICULT...WITH GFS INDICATING ONE MOVING ACROSS NRN CO WED
NIGHT...THEN ANOTHER ON THURS. THESE WILL MAINLY BRING BOUTS OF
SNOW TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.  BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH A RETURN OF MILDER TEMPS WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER STORY FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. THE NEXT UPPER TROF MAY MOVE THROUGH
DURING THE FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. 12Z GFS HAS COME IN MUCH
STRONGER WITH THIS TROF DIGGING ACROSS CO IN NW FLOW ALOFT. ECMWF
IS WEAKER AND SLOWER...BUT ALSO DIGS THE SYSTEM SOUTHWARD ON A
SLIGHTLY MORE EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE PLAINS. GIVEN
UNCERTAINTIES...WILL MAKE FEW CHANGES TO EXTENDED...THOUGH MAY
BUMP UP POPS A BIT ACROSS THE PLAINS FOR SAT/SAT NIGHT. -KT

&&

.AVIATION...MAJOR IMPACT EVENT FOR KCOS AND LESSER FOR KPUB. KCOS
WILL LIKELY SEE IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DURATION OF
THIS EVENT. SUSTAINED UPSLOPE WILL KEEP VERY LOW CLOUDS OVER THE
KCOS AREA INTO LATE TONIGHT. ONCE WINDS SHIFT AROUND TO NORTH...THEY
WILL INCREASE TO 20-30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH. CIGS MAY COME UP A
BIT...BUT THEN THE SNOW WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN. IT MAY NOT BE
UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL THINGS CLEAR OUT FOR KCOS.

FOR KPUB...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS. THE DOWNSLOPE
TOMORROW MORNING SHOULD CLEAR THINGS OUT SOMEWHAT WITH MVFR
CONDITIONS BY MID MORNING.

KALS...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY SYNOPTIC WINDS AND CONVECTIVE RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL THE LOW MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
COZ058>060-066-068.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 12 PM MDT MONDAY FOR COZ072-073-
076>084.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM MDT MONDAY FOR COZ074-
075-085>087.

&&

34/31
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 11:04 AM MST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1204 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

COZ058>089-093>099-171815-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1204 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

...WINTER STORM TO BRING HEAVY SNOW TO PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WINTER STORM APPROACHES THE AREA BRINGING
INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. EVEN A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING...PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR IN LOCAL AREAS. HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THIS AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING ON MONDAY.

FOG AND PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO AROUND 5000 FEET OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING
THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT PLAINS. A BRIEF LULL IN THE RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT AS DRIER AIR BRIEFLY MOVES OVER THE REGION.

ONE OR TWO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS BACA
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HAIL TO NEAR 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...WITH THE FOCUS FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACROSS PIKES PEAK
...NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...THE WET MOUNTAINS...AND FREMONT
COUNTY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY MID DAY ON MONDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. PIKES PEAK
AND TELLER COUNTY...NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...FREMONT COUNTY...THE
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS AND WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY WILL SEE 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN EL PASO
COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY...HUERFANO COUNTY...AND THE SOUTHERN SANGRE
DE CRISTOS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE WITH ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM
AROUND AN INCH ON GRASSY SURFACES AT TIMES ACROSS EASTERN PUEBLO
COUNTY INCLUDING THE CITY OF PUEBLO...TO AROUND 2 TO 6 INCHES NEAR
THE MOUNTAINS FOR LOCATIONS SUCH AS COLORADO SPRINGS...WALSENBURG...AND
TRINIDAD. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL PRIMARILY OCCUR ALONG
THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF INTERSTATE 25.

THE SNOW WILL CLEAR OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER
WINTER STORM COULD IMPACT THE REGION NEXT FRIDAY OR SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS BACA COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Wet Mountains Between 8500 and 10000 Ft

When
March 16, 3:00 PM MST to March 17, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Wet Mountains Between 8500 and 10000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.110, -105.070 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Wet Mountains Above 10000 Ft

When
March 16, 3:00 PM MST to March 17, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.989, -104.947 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Colorado in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, March 2008

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 87287, 87288.