Colorado, 2008Winter Storm in Colorado, February 13 to 15, 2008
February 13 to 15, 2008 · NWS PUB · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
including the eastern San Juan mountains and La Garita mountains. 6 inches at Leadville in Lake County and 8 inches at Rosita in Custer County.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A cold front moving across eastern Colorado in conjunction with an upper level disturbance moving across the southwest generated snow across sections of southern Colorado....including the eastern San Juan mountains and La Garita mountains. Some of the heavier snow amounts reported in the north and east include...6 inches at Leadville in Lake County and 8 inches at Rosita in Custer County. The summit of Wolf Creek Pass in Mineral county recorded 19 inches of new snow.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 13, 8:16 PM MST, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 8:16 PM MST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
816 PM MST WED FEB 13 2008
.UPDATE...
NEW MODEL GUIDANCE IS COMING IN FARTHER WEST WITH THE STORM. THIS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LESS ACCUMS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR. IT ALSO
APPEARS THE ONSET OF ANY SNOW ACROSS THE GREATER PIKES PEAK REGION
WILL NOT START UNTIL 4-5 AM...SO I CHANGED THE BEGINNING TIME OF
THE ADVISORY FROM 11 PM TONIGHT TO 5 AM TOMORROW. IT STILL APPEARS
THAT THE SAN JUANS WILL GET THE MOST SNOW OUT OF THIS...INCLUDING
THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SAN JUAN MTNS. /HODANISH
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM MST WED FEB 13 2008/
SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)
..TRACK OF STORM SYSTEM AND SNOW AMOUNTS BIGGEST CONCERNS FOR THE
SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TAKING SHAPE ACROSS NRN GREAT BASIN WITH 130+
UPPER JET DIGGING DOWN THE WESTERN SIDE. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME
FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCIES WITH THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT
ALREADY...APPEARS NAM12 ISN/T DEEP ENOUGH/OR WEST ENOUGH WITH THE H5
TROF. AS FOR THE 12Z MODEL RUNS...NAM STILL APPEARS THE OUTLIER
WITH THE STORM TRACK FARTHER EAST THAN OTHER MODELS...WITH UPPER LOW
NEAR TO JUST WEST OF THE 4 CORNERS REGION BY 00Z FRI. GFS/GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN/ECMWF PLACE THE UPPER LOW NEAR THE SRN TIP OF NV BY
THE SAME TIME PERIOD. GIVEN NAM CONTINUES TO BE THE OUTLIER...HAVE
LEANED AWAY FROM ITS SOLN IN FAVOR OF THE GFS.
UPPER LOW CUTS OFF OVER WRN UT/ERN NV OVERNIGHT...SPREADING DIFFLUENT
FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH LF QUAD UPPER JET DYNAMICS ACROSS THE WRN MTS
AFTER 06Z. MOISTURE DEEPENS ALONG/WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
AROUND THE SAME TIME PERIOD AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW WIDESPREAD HEAVY
SNOW TO GET GOING ACROSS THE WRN MTS AFTER 06Z WITH THE HEAVIEST
FALLING ACROSS THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS WHERE SW WIND
COMPONENT WILL PROVIDE FAVORABLE OROGRAPHIC ASCENT AS WELL. AS
UPPER LOW CONTINUES DROPPING SOUTHWARD...COLD FRONT WILL BLAST
THROUGH SE CO DURING THE 06Z TO 12Z TIME FRAME. CP AIR MASS QUICKLY
MOISTENS WITH SNOW STARTING ALONG THE PALMER DIVIDE/TELLER COUNTY
REGION SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SNOW SPREADING RAPIDLY
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SE MTS/ADJACENT PLAINS BY EARLY THUR MORNING...
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE TIME FRAME. AS FOR SNOW AMOUNTS...WITH
MODELS SEEMING TO CONVERGE ON A MORE WESTWARD STORM TRACK THROUGH
THE GREAT BASIN...HAVE OPTED TO HOIST SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORIES FOR THE PIKES PEAK REGION...FREMONT COUNTY...AND THE SRN
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR SOUTH OF PUEBLO FOR THURSDAY...THEN ENDING
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THURS EVENING. PIKES PEAK REGION MAY GET LOW
END ADVISORY NUMBERS (4-6 INCHES)...BUT WITH THE BLOWING SNOW
VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED TO BELOW 1/4 MILE AT TIMES RESULTING
IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO TRAVEL. FARTHER SOUTH...GFS BRINGS THE
H7 WINDS AROUND FROM AN EAST-NE COMPONENT PROVIDING A FAVORABLE
OROGRAPHIC WIND COMPONENT FOR THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SE
MTS...THUS WILL UPGRADE THE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR THE WETS AND
SANGRES WITH 8-12 INCH AMOUNTS. WESTERN MOUNTAIN HIGHLIGHTS WILL
REMAIN THE SAME WITH WARNINGS FOR THE EASTERN SAN JUANS AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...AND SNOW/BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORIES FOR LAKE/CHAFFEE COUNTY. THE SAN LUIS VALLEY POSES THE
MOST DIFFICULT C51ENGE. IF THE BAND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT SETS UP
ACROSS THIS AREA...COULD SEE WARNING CRITERIA NUMBERS...HOWEVER
LATEST RUNS KEEP THIS AXIS A BIT FARTHER WEST AND SOUTH. EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY MAY SEE SOME SHADOWING FROM THE
SANGRES...HOWEVER WESTERN/NRN PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY COULD SEE SOME
HEAVIER AMOUNTS AS MID LEVEL EAST/SE WINDS PROVIDE A PERIOD OF
UPSLOPE DURING THE LATE AFTN/EARLY EVENING. FOR ALL AREAS...AS COLD
AIR ALOFT SPILLS IN...THERE IS A FAIR DEPTH OF THE SOUNDINGS IN THE
-12 TO -16C DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE...WHICH SHOULD HELP BOOST SNOW
AMOUNTS. ALL IN ALL...A TRICKY FORECAST EVEN IN THE SHORTER
RANGES. IF STORM TRACK CHANGES...THEN CURRENT HIGHLIGHTS MAY NEED
TO BE MODIFIED.
AS FOR COLORADO SPRINGS/PUEBLO AREAS...SHOULD SEE A ROUND OF SNOW AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH FRI MORNING...BUT WITH NORTHERLY WIND
INCREASING THURS MORNING...WILL LIKELY SEE THE DOWNSLOPE DRYING
AFFECT TAKE PLACE SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE. THUS THE TYPICAL
SNOWFALL MINIMUM WILL OCCUR SOUTH OF THE PALMER TO JUST SOUTH OF
PUEBLO WHERE WINDS START TO UPSLOPE AGAIN ON THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF
THE RATON MESA. TEMPS TOMORROW WILL LIKELY NOT WARM MUCH. IN
FACT...MAX TEMPS MAY ACTUALLY OCCUR EARLY IN THE MORNING WITH STEADY
OR FALLING TEMPS DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH THE CAA. HAVE PORTRAYED
THIS IN THE TEMP GRIDS. -KT
LONG TERM...
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
THERE ARE STILL SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS REGARDING THE
TRACK OF THE UPR LOW. IT LOOKS LIKE THE UPR LOW CENTER WL BE OVR
CENTRAL OR SWRN AZ AT 06Z FRI THE 18Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF ARE THE
FARTHEST SOUTH AND WEST WITH THE LOW...WHILE THE NAM HAS IT OVR
CENTRAL AZ. EITHER WAY IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE WL BE SNOW
CONTINUING OVR MOST OF THE AREA THU EVENING...WITH THE SRN
MTS...SERN FOOTHILLS AND SAN LUIS VALLEY STILL SEEING SOME
ACCUMULATIONS. BY LATE NIGHT THE UPR LOW IS FORECAST TO SLIP A
LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH AND THE UPR LIFT OVR THE FORECAST AREA
DECREASES MOST AREAS...EXCEPT MAYBE IN AREAS ALONG THE SRN CO
BORDER...AND SHOULD SEE SNOW DECREASE ALTHOUGH I WL CONTINUE WITH
LIKELY POPS OVR SRN AREAS...BUT WL KEEP ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
LOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE ECMWF...GFS AND NAM ALL TAKE THE UPR LOW
CENTER TO THE SERN AZ BORDER BY 00Z SAT WHICH IS FAIRLY FAR SOUTH
FOR OUR AREA TO GET MUCH IN THE WAY OF PCPN. THUS WL GO WITH
MAINLY ISOLD POPS ACRS SRN AREA FOR FRI. AFTER THAT THE UPR LOW IS
FORECAST TO TRACK ESE FRI NIGHT AND SAT. LATE SAT AFTERNOON OR SAT
EVENING A WEAK UPR SHRTWV TROF MOVES THRU THE AREA...AND COULD
BRING SOME SHOWERS TO NRN AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THE NAM IS DRY...THE GFS HAS SOME PCPN OVR THE CENTRAL
MTS...WHILE THE ECMWF IS STRONGER WITH THIS SYSTEM AND HAS MORE
WIDESPREAD PCPN. AT THIS TIME WE JUST HAVE SOME ISOLD POPS IN THE
CENTRAL MTS AND WL NOT CHANGE THAT...BUT MAY NEED TO ADD MORE PCPN
TO THE FORECAST IF IT BEGINS LOOKING LIKE THE ECMWF MAY BE RIGHT.
AFTER THAT IT LOOKS LIKE DRY NW FLOW WL BE OVR THE AREA SUN
NIGHT...WITH AN UPR RIDGE PUSHING E OVR THE AREA ON MON. A WEAK
SHRTWV TROF IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE ACRS CO FROM THE WEST ON TUE
PROBABLY BRINGING SOME PCPN...BUT BEING THIS FAR OUT I HATE TO ADD
PCPN TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. SHRTWV RIDGING IS THEN EXPECTED
FOR WED.
AVIATION...COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN KCOS DURING THE 06Z-08Z TIME
FRAME...AND BY 09Z FOR KPUB. GUSTY NORTH WINDS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE
ALONG WITH MVFR TO IFR CIGS WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT SNOW/BLOWING SNOW WILL START AFTER 10Z. HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN MOUNTAINS WILL SPREAD IN AFTER 06Z WITH WIDESPREAD MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS EXPECTED SPREADING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS BY
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM NORTH TO SOUTH LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS SFC WINDS DECREASE. -KT
&&
.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST THURSDAY FOR
COZ058>064.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 5 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY
NIGHT FOR COZ072>075-079-080.
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM 5 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
MST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR COZ069>071-076>078-083-086>088.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
COZ065>068.
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY
FOR COZ081-082-084.
&&
34/34
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 3:49 PM MST, 6 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
349 PM MST WED FEB 13 2008
COZ058>089-093>099-142300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
349 PM MST WED FEB 13 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
TONIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS
AND THEN OVER PIKES PEAK...TELLER COUNTY AND THE PALMER DIVIDE
AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUING TO SPREAD ACRS THE REST OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
BY THURSDAY MORNING THERE WILL BE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE FOUND OVER
THE MOUNTAINS...HIGHS VALLEYS AND PORTIONS OF THE INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR...WHERE SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WILL SEE SOME
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE LIKELY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...HIGH VALLEYS
AND SOME LOCATIONS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR.
Winter Storm, La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft
- When
- February 13, 10:00 PM MST to February 15, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.778, -106.530 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Upper Rio Grande Valley / Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft
- When
- February 13, 10:00 PM MST to February 15, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- Upper Rio Grande Valley / Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.484, -106.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft
- When
- February 13, 10:00 PM MST to February 15, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.484, -106.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Montana, February 13, 20081 death · 1 event
- Cold in Illinois, February 13 to 15, 20081 death · 1 event
- High Wind in Nevada, February 13, 2008$380,000 · 110 kt wind · 5 events
- Wildfire in Texas, February 13, 2008$189,000 · 4 events
- High Wind in California, February 13, 2008$151,000 · 63 kt wind · 2 events
- Strong Wind and Frost and Freeze in California, February 13 to 15, 2008$89,000 · 10 events
- Flooding and Heavy Rain in Rhode Island, February 13, 2008$80,000 · 4 events
- Flooding in Connecticut, February 13 to 14, 2008$40,000 · 3 events
- Winter Storm in North Dakota, February 13 to 14, 20082 injured · 9 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Maine, February 13, 200817 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Colorado, February 13 to 15, 200816 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds and Waterspout in Gulf of Mexico, February 13, 200814 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 82846, 82848, 82849.