Alaska, 2008

Blizzard and High Wind in Alaska, January 12 to 13, 2008

January 12 to 13, 2008 · NWS AFC · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

An intense hurricane force storm moved into the western Bering Sea Sunday January 13th. As the storm approached the region the western Aleutians, hurricane force wind blew through the Aleutian Islands.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.

An intense hurricane force storm moved into the western Bering Sea Sunday January 13th. As the storm approached the region the western Aleutians, hurricane force wind blew through the Aleutian Islands. Snow combined with the strong wind created blizzard conditions in the eastern Aleutians and Pribilof Islands.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 12, 1:05 AM AKST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 1:05 AM AKST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
605 AM AST SAT JAN 12 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS COMING INTO AGREEMENT ON THE MAJOR FEATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE NAM WAS STILL THE DEEPEST OF THE 4 MODELS WE CONSIDERED
WHILE THE UKMET WAS THE WEAKEST REGARDING THE LOW TO DEVELOP IN THE
WESTERN BERING TONIGHT. THE GFS AND ECMWF WERE IN GREAT AGREEMENT
THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WAS LARGELY BASED OFF OF THE
00Z GFS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
COLD CORE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF STARTING THE SHIFT
EASTWARD THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM WAY OUT
WEST. UPPER RIDGE CURRENTLY ABOUT 175W ALSO SHIFTING EAST WITH A
LARGE UPPER LOW LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA. THIS UPPER LOW WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER THROUGH NEXT
WEEK AS IT DIGS IN OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS ALLOWING
THE JET STREAM TO FLOW SW-NE ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL AK BY TUESDAY. LATER IN THE WEEK...THE GFS HINTS AT A
MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN OVER ALASKA SENDING WARM AIR WELL NORTH INTO
THE ALASKA INTERIOR. THIS IS A DIFFERENT SOLUTION FROM PREVIOUS RUNS
SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW BEYOND MID WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE FINAL DAYS OF FLURRIES AND COLD AIR FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA ARE
HERE BEFORE THE PATTERN SHIFT. BEFORE IT DEPARTS...ONE FINAL PUSH OF
COLD AIR INTO THE REGION WILL DROP TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO IN MOST
AREAS. THE UPPER TROF SWINGING EAST WILL ALLOW THE ARCTIC AIRMASS TO
SPILL OVER THE ALASKA RANGE. BY SUNDAY...THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND
SUBSIDENCE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROF WILL ASSIST IN BRINGING SOME
VERY GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS. WIND CHILLS WILL BE A CONCERN
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES
COMBINING TO BRING NEAR WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA TO PLACES LIKE
BROAD PASS.

A GENERAL CLEARING SUNDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HELP BOLSTER OUTGOING
RADIATION AND DROP TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO IN ANCHORAGE AND THE
MAT-SU VALLEY. THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG IS ALSO THERE WITH ALL OF THE
RECENT SNOW FALL. ONE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE WINDS ALOFT WHICH MAY
HELP KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE MIXED AND THUS PREVENT FOG FROM DEVELOPING.

FORECAST CHALLENGE ARISE MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF WEAKENING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE QUESTION WILL BE HOW FAR INLAND THE WARM AIR
INVADES. WILL LIKELY SEE RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX ALONG THE COAST BUT
THE DENSE COLD AIR INLAND WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT TO ERODE.

SOUTHWEST...
ARCTIC AIR IS FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND WILL REMAIN
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A STRONG...ALBEIT WEAKENING...FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE BERING SEA AND BRING MOST AREAS WIND AND SNOW.
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
SEE THE BIGGEST SWING IN WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE
LOWER 30S IN AREAS.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
CYCLOGENESIS IN FULL EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AS A 987 MB LOW QUICKLY DEEPENS TO 948 MB BY SUNDAY
MORNING. INCREASED THE OFFSHORE AND COASTAL WATER FORECASTS WEST OF
170W TO HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS AND ISSUED HIGH WIND WARNINGS
FOR THE PUBLIC ZONES INCLUDING THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE
UPPER JET WILL HELP PUSH THE FRONT EAST RAPIDLY ONCE THE LOW REACHES
MATURITY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL LIMIT HOW LONG THE STRONGEST WINDS
AFFECT THE PRIBILOFS...THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AND THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. STILL ANTICIPATING STORM FORCE WINDS TO BRIEFLY AFFECT
THIS AREA WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF BLOWING SNOW BEFORE THE WARM AIR
ARRIVES AND CHANGES PRECIPITATION TO RAIN...AT LEAST ALONG THE CHAIN.

A SECOND LOW DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND HEADS FOR THE PRIBILOFS MONDAY NIGHT. STORM FORCE SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH THIS
LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...187 191
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...120 121 129 130 132 138 140
          141 150 155 160 165 179 185
         HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS...172 175 411 412 413
         STORMS...170 176 185 179 414
         GALES...130 132 138 150 171
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB JAN 08

Event by event

2 high wind, 2 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Central Aleutians

When
January 12, 4:00 AM AKST to January 13, 4:00 PM AKST
Where
Central Aleutians forecast zone
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated sustained
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Satellite estimated wind of 60 KT with this storm.

High Wind, Western Aleutians

When
January 12, 9:00 PM AKST to January 13, 4:00 AM AKST
Where
Western Aleutians forecast zone
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated sustained
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Satellite estimated wind indicates sustained wind of 60 KT with this storm.

Blizzard, Eastern Aleutians

When
January 13, 3:00 PM AKST to 9:00 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Aleutians forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Blizzard, Pribilof Islands

When
January 13, 4:30 PM AKST to 11:15 PM AKST
Where
Pribilof Islands forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, January 2008

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 65512, 65511, 65513, 65514.