Severe drought conditions developed across portions of southside Virginia into southwest Virginia November 20th, persisting until the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions developed across portions of southside Virginia into southwest Virginia November 20th, persisting until the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 19, 8:59 PM EST, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 859 PM EST MON NOV 19 2007 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL BRING UNUSUAL WARMTH TO THE REGION THE NEXT TWO DAYS. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON THANKSGIVING DAY WITH SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER BEHIND THIS FRONT. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... RADAR ECHOES ACROSS THE REGION ARE WEAK. SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL ALSO BE WEAK...BUT ENOUGH LOW LVL MOISTURE TO KEEP ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST OVER THE EXTREME NRN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUD COVER IS MORE EXTENSIVE...AND EXPECTING SKIES TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. THEREFORE...BUMPED UP LOWS IN A FEW LOCATIONS. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SINKS TO OUR SOUTH...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. INCREASING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND DOWNSLOPING IN THE PIEDMONT WILL ALLOW FOR MILD CONDITIONS TOMORROW. UPPER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO LOWER 70S IN THE PIEDMONT WILL BE COMMON. RECORD HIGHS FOR NOV 21 ARE LISTED BELOW IN CLIMATE SECTION. WENT WARMER THAN GFS MOS FOR LOWS THURS MORNING GIVEN EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND WARM ADV. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... THE GFS IS SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED THAN THE NAM WITH THE ENERGY ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS...WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED WAVE STRUCTURE. THIS PUTS THE GFS 6 TO 12 HOURS SLOWER WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT THAN THE NAM. EITHER WAY...BETWEEN LATE MORNING AND LATE EVENING TEMPS WILL BE PLUNGING. H85 TEMPS FALL FROM NEAR +11C THURSDAY MORNING TO AROUND -5C IN THE NW BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE A DECENT SLUG OF PRECIPITATION ALTHOUGH LIKELY LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES OF QPF...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST. LEFT ISOLATED MENTIONED OF CONVECTION ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY NOT TERRIBLY IMPRESSIVE. STRONG H85 FLOW ON FRIDAY COMBINED WITH H85 TEMPS -4 TO -8C WILL PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATION OF THE WESTERN CWA. GRADIENT RELAXES FRIDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT INTO SAT. 1030 MB SURFACE HIGH BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON SAT. WHICH SHOULD MAKE FOR A DRY BUT CHILLY DAY WITH HIGHS L/M 40S IN THE WEST TO NEAR 50 IN THE SOUTHEAST PIEDMONT. NEXT SYSTEM OF INTEREST COMES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS GFS DEVELOPS LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY AND BEGINS TO TRACK IT NORTHEASTWARD. HPC PMDEPD HAS AN EXTENSIVE DISCUSSION OF THE POSSIBLE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM ACCORDING TO THE LATEST OPERATIONAL MODEL RUNS. SEVERAL SCENARIOS ARE POSSIBLE...AT THIS TIME A MILLER B TYPE INTERIOR SOUTHEAST LOW IS DEPICTED ON THE 12Z GFS BRINGING OVERRUNNING TYPE RAINFALL INTO THE CWA BY AROUND 12Z SUNDAY...AN IMPORTANT TRAVEL DAY. SUB-ZERO H85 TEMPS ARE CONFINED NORTH OF THE MASON-DIXON LINE AT 12Z ON SUNDAY AND WITH THE LACK OF NEW ENGLAND RIDGING NECESSARY TO LOCK IN ANY COLD AIR DAMMING THIS LOOKS PLAUSIBLE. THE ECMWF IS LESS DEVELOPED AND MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH THE LOW. KEPT CHANCE 40S POPS TO REFLECT THE UNCERTAINTY. && .AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... SAVE BLF THIS EVENING...VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. LOWER CLDS...A SW WIND AND A FEW SPRINKLES MAY BE ENOUGH TO PUSH BLF UNDER 1KFT THIS EVENING...CONSIDERING CIGS HAVE BEEN AROUND 1500 FT MUCH OF TODAY. SLT WAA AND A STRONGER W COMPONENT WILL ERODE THE MID DECK TOMORROW MORNING...WITH SOME WIND GUSTS MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE AROUND 20 KTS AT LWB AND BLF TUESDAY PM. STRONG COLD FRONT THANKSGIVING DAY WITH ACCOMPANYING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. && .CLIMATE... NOVEMBER 21 RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES BLUEFIELD WV....69 IN 1999 DANVILLE VA.....76 IN 1979 LYNCHBURG VA....77 IN 1900 BLACKSBURG VA...75 IN 1985 ROANOKE VA......73 IN 1991 && .EQUIPMENT... KFCX 88D NOW OPERATIONAL FOR THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...ELECTRONIC TECHNICIANS ARE GOING TO DO MORE MAINTENANCE TUESDAY. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...PC NEAR TERM...WP SHORT TERM...DS LONG TERM...PC AVIATION...KM CLIMATE...DS EQUIPMENT...WP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 559 AM EST MON NOV 19 2007 NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059- WVZ042>045-201100- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES- YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON- CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- GREENBRIER- 559 AM EST MON NOV 19 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions creeped into the extreme southern and western portions of Carroll County November 20th, and persisted through the end of November.
Severe drought conditions developed across the extreme southern portion of Halifax County November 20th, and persisted through the end of November.
Severe drought conditions developed across the southern portion of Pittsylvania County November 20th, and persisted through the end of November.
Severe drought conditions developed across the southern half of Henry County November 20th, and persisted through the end of November.
Severe drought conditions developed across the southern portion of Patrick County November 20th, and persisted through the end of November.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, November 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 65393, 65394, 65395, 65396, 65397.