A stalled cold front over central Virginia triggered thunderstorms over the Central Foothills of Virginia. Some of these storms became severe, producing damaging winds and large hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.
A stalled cold front over central Virginia triggered thunderstorms over the Central Foothills of Virginia. Some of these storms became severe, producing damaging winds and large hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 26, 1:52 PM EST, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 252 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007 .SYNOPSIS... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER THE MID ATLANTIC THROUGH TOMORROW BEFORE A SECOND COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... CONVECTIVE COVERAGE THIS AFTN HAS BEEN MINIMAL SO FAR. DONT SEE MUCH MORE THAN ISOLD COVERAGE INTO EARLY EVENING GIVEN LIMITED MOISTURE. ACTIVITY SHD WANE AFT SUNSET DUE TO STABILIZATION. REST OF THE NGT SHD BE CLR TO PTCLDY. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/... LOOKS QUITE SIMILAR TO TDA. LOW MOISTURE LVLS...GOOD LAPSE RATES AND NO SHEAR. HAVE PUT 20 POPS IN AREAWIDE. TRIGGERING MECHANISM WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... WELL ENTRENCHED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE KEEPING THE WESTERLIES NORTH OF THE AREA LEAVING THE MID ATLC IN A VERY CHARACTERISTICALLY SUMMERTIME WX PATN. THETA-E RIDGE WELL ESTABLISHED SUN NIGHT AND WITH SOME LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE THINK CONVECTION MAY LAST INTO THE EVENING AND WILL CARRY LOW CHC POPS...ESP ACROSS THE NORTH FOR SUNDAY EVENING. TREND OF GENERALLY WEAK FLOW AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MID WEEK WITH VERY LOW POPS MAINTAINED. NEXT SYS OF MORE SIGNIFICANCE XPCTD LATE IN THE WEEK AS SHORTWAVE TROF ROTATES THROUGH THE MID ATLC BRINGING A COLD FRONT WITH IT LATE FRIDAY. INDICATIONS THEREAFTER SUGGEST THAT MORE TROFFING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS DEVELOPING. && .AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... ISOLD MVFR VSBYS POSSIBLE WRN TERMINALS BY DAWN TMRW. OTRW...VFR OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...AND THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL. && .MARINE... WINDS SHD REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE IN THE SHORT TERM WITH NOT MUCH OF A GRADIENT IN PLACE. && .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... DC...NONE. MD...NONE. VA...NONE. WV...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS/LONG TERM/MARINE...MANNING NEAR TERM/SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HITCHENS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 308 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007 ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502- VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ050>055-501>504-271000- CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL- NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE- PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT- EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-HIGHLAND- AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE- NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN- ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-PENDLETON-HARDY- WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL- 308 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA... WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A STALLED COLD FRONT NEAR THE AREA WILL BE THE FOCAL POINT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIAN RANGE AND DRIFTING EASTWARD. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING OVER NORTHERN VIRGINIA...MARYLAND WEST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE EXTREME EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING EACH DAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WILL BE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH LESS OF A CHANCE ON MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. MANNING
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 517 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007 VAZ039-262145- MADISON VA- 517 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT MADISON COUNTY... AT 517 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HOOD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. THE COMMUNITIES OF SHELBY...PRATTS...ROCHELLE...ARODA AND TWYMANS MILL WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. MANNING
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 98 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:39 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Law Enforcement reported trees down on Route 230 just outside Madison, VA.
A Trained Spotter reported penny and nickel size hail southwest of Unionville. Penny size hail was reported at the Orange County Sheriff's Office in Orange, VA.
Law Enforcement reported a tree down on Lahore Road in Lahore, VA.
Law Enforcement reported a large oak tree down across Monrovia Road west of Holladay, VA.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 27262, 27263, 27264, 27265.