A developing low pressure system over the North Carolina coastal plain moved up the Mid Atlantic coast. This storm produced a mix of snow, sleet and ice across east central Virginia on during the evening of February 13, 2007 and morning of February 14, 2007.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
A developing low pressure system over the North Carolina coastal plain moved up the Mid Atlantic coast. This storm produced a mix of snow, sleet and ice across east central Virginia on during the evening of February 13, 2007 and morning of February 14, 2007.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 13, 3:03 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
303 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MAIN IMPACTS OF THIS LATE SEASON WINTER STORM WILL BE FELT OVER
FORECAST AREA DURING NEXT 12-18 HOURS. OTHER THAN VERY MINOR
ACCUMULATION OVER DORCHESTER COUNTY...NO REPORTS OF WINTER PRECIP
ACCUM ANYWHERE IN CWA SO FAR. STILL BELIEVE A SIGNIFICANT ICE
THREAT POSSIBLE OVER FAR NW CORNER (WESTERN FLUVANNA/LOUISA
COUNTIES) OF THE FORECAST AREA TNGT...OTHERWISE MAIN EFFECTS WILL
BE MODERATELY HEAVY RAIN/STRONG WINDS TNGT INTO WED.
PRIMARY LOW PRES MOVG INTO LWR OHVLY WITH CYCLOGENESIS/SECONDARY
LOW PRES NOW SPINNING UP ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE GA/SC PIEDMONT.
SECONDARY LOW WILL BECOME MAIN STORM SYSTEM ALONG EAST COAST AS
MIDWEST LOW FILLS. PREFER THE ECMWF/NAM TRACK OF THE LOW RIDING
ALONG COASTAL FRONT JUST INLAND OF THE CAROLINA COASTS TNGT BEFORE
EXITING OFFSHORE NEAR VA CAPES AROUND SUNRISE WED. PCPN WILL BE
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS MOISTURE INCREASES WITH
APPROACH OF CSTL LOW AND MAIN UPR TROF TNGT WITH CAT POPS AND
TOTAL PCPN GENERALLY AROUND AN INCH EXPECTED. SOME SUGGESTION THAT
SOUTHERN CONVECTION CUD ROB MID ATLC MOISTURE SO THE 1-2 INCH
MODEL QPFS CUD BE A LTL HIGH. MIGHT EVEN SEE ISOLD TSTM IN WARM
SECTOR ALONG CSTL NE NC BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IN FCST GIVEN THE
LIMITED INSTABILITY.
AS FAR AS PTYPES GO...SHUD REMAIN ALL LIQUID FOR A LARGE PORTION
OF THE FCST AREA AS WARM AIR ABV THE SFC SURGES NORTHWARD.
EXCEPTIONS WILL BE OVER FAR NW AREAS WHERE SHALLOW COLD AIR MAY
REMAIN TRAPPED UNDER THE WARM NOSE WITH FREEZING RAIN REMAINING
THE FAVORED PTYPE. WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL KEEP THE WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR FLUVANNA/LOUISA OVRNGT. PCPN IN THE WARNING AREA SHUD
BE TAPERING OFF TO -FZDZ TWD SUNRISE AS MID LVL DRYING PUSHES THRU
MID ATLC. ONLY OTHER PTYPE PROB AREA WILL BE LWR MD EASTERN SHORE.
LOW LVL COLD AIR HAS BEEN HARD TO DISLODGE TODAY AND LOCAL OBS
HAVE BEEN INDICATING A VARIETY OF PTYPES OF LIGHT INTENSITY WITH
SFC TEMPS STUCK IN THE L-M30S. THE LIGHT MIXED PCPN WILL LIKELY
CONT INTO THE EVE ESP OVR INLAND LOWER MD BEFORE LOW LVL WARMING
GRADUALLY ERODES THE COLD SFC LAYER ON INCRSG ONSHORE FLOW. AN
ADVISORY PROBABLY NOT NEEDED HERE BUT WILL CONT TO MONITOR.
PCPN TAPERING OFF FROM SW TO NE WED MORN AS SFC LOW EXITS NE AND
MAIN UPR TROF PUSHES TWD COAST. THINK IT PRUDENT TO LEAVE THE
RW/SW CHCS IN ANY WRAPAROUND THAT MIGHT OCCUR OVER THE EASTERN
SHORE BUT ANY HEAVIER SNOWSHOWERS SHUD BE BRIEF/QUICK MOVING
ENOUGH TO PREVENT MORE THAN A LIGHT ACCUM/DUSTING. OTHERWISE...WED
WILL BE A CHANGEABLE DAY WITH MORN PCPN TAPERING TO DZ BEFORE
ENDING. HIGH TEMPS LIKELY REACHED IN MOST AREAS BY MIDDAY AS CAA
KICKS IN DUR AFTN.
A RETURN TO THE COLD/DRY/BRISK PATN WED NIGHT/THU.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD AIR REINFORCEMENT WITH PASSAGE OF UPR TROF/WEAK SFC REFLECTION
THU NIGHT/EARLY FRI. BEST MOISTURE/FORCING PASSES NORTH OF FCST
AREA SO NO PCPN EXPECTED WITH THIS. A MORE SUSTANTIAL UPR WAVE
AND ATTENDANT SFC FRONT PASSES THRU THE AREA SAT NIGHT/EARLY
SUNDAY. HAVE RAISED POPS TO SLIGHT CHC FOR NOW BUT MODEL TRENDS
SEEM TO INDICATE THAT PCPN CHCS ARE BECOMING MORE LIKELY. MODELS
WILL LIKELY HAVE TIMING ISSUES IN THE FAST FLOW AND STILL PLENTY
OF TIME TO FLESH OUT THE DETAILS BUT SOMETHING FOR LATER SHIFTS TO
WATCH FOR. INTERESTING THAT THE LONGER RANGE ECWMF SUGGS FLOW
FINALLY LOOKS TO BECOME ZONAL ACRS MID ATLC WITH SUBTROPICAL RDG
BUILDING OVER SE STATES EARLY-MID WEEK WHILE OPGFS CONTS TO
REINFORCE THE COLD ALONG EASTERN SEABOARD. CUD WE FINALLY BREAK
THIS MONTH LONG COLD SPELL?
&&
.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS OVER AREA TERMINALS HV BEEN DETERIORATING OVER THE
COURSE OF THE DAY AS XPCTD. RIGHT NOW HV LIFR/IFR CONDS AREAWIDE
WITH LOW PRESSURE QUICKLY APPROACHING FROM THE W (CURRENTLY OVER
CENTRAL/WESTERN TN/KY). -RA WHICH BEGAN ERY THIS MORNING WL BECOME
STEADIER THIS EVENING...WITH LIFR/IFR COND CONTINUING...WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOME LOWER END MVFR POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER FAR S
CWA IVOF ECG.
&&
.MARINE...
WAVES AND SEAS CONT TO RISE WITH TIGHTENING GRADIENT FROM ADVANCING
LOW PRESSURE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS
EXCEPT FOR ANZ658 (NC/VA BORDER SOUTH TO CURRITUCK LGT)...WHICH WILL
JOIN THE SCA THIS EVENING.
AFTER COORDINATION WITH NEIGHBORING WFOS...HV UPGRADED TO GALE
WARNINGS FOR THE WATERS RUNNING TOMORROW (WED) MORNING THROUGH LT
WED NGT. XPCT WNDS/GUSTS TO INCREASE DURING THIS TIME FRAME BEHIND
SYSTEM AS LOW PRESSURE PUSHING UP EAST COAST DEVELOPS AND DEEPENS.
AS LOW CONTINUES INTO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
IMPROVE FOR WEDNESDAY NGT AND BEYOND. HOWEVER...DO NOT EXPECT
COASTAL WATERS TO FALL BLO SCA CRIT UNTIL THE WEEKEND.
AS FAR AS TIDAL/COASTAL FLOODING POTENTIAL GOES...STILL RUNNING AT
OR A LITTLE BLO NORMAL LEVELS. SPEED OF THE IMPEDING SYSTEM AND A
WANING QUARTER MOON LEAD TO BOLSTER PREVIOUS BELIEF THAT
TIDAL/COASTAL FLOODING WL NOT BE A HUGE ISSUE FOR AKQ CWFA. WL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR SITUATION FOR POTENTIAL CHANGES.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR VAZ048-049.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ630>632-
650-652-654-656.
GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ630>633-
650-652-654-656-658.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ633-658.
&&
SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...CULLEN
MARINE/AVIATION...MONTEFUSCOHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 612 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007 VAZ048-049-141115- FLUVANNA-LOUISA- 612 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND TONIGHT. SLEET AND SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE...BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF ON WEDNESDAY. (SEE WSWAKQ FOR DETAILS). .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. VAZ060>064-069-141115- PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-POWHATAN- 612 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING AS A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN BY LATE MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN DURING THE EVENING HOURS. (SEE WSWAKQ FOR DETAILS). .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MDZ021>025-VAZ074>078-141115- DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER- 612 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MARYLAND...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...EXCEPT PORTIONS OF DORCHESTER COUNTY MARYLAND WHERE UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ANZ630>633-650-652-654-656-658-670-NCZ012>017-030>032-102- VAZ065>068-070>073-079>100-141115- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- CURRITUCK SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC FROM 20 TO 40 NM-NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN- INLAND CURRITUCK-BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK- MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO- KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE- CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE- SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT- NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE- VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 612 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE BAY...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...CURRITUCK SOUND...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID ATLANTIC OFFSHORE WATERS...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... LIGHT RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH THE RAIN BECOMING MORE HEAVY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. BROWN
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 winter weather, 3 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.
One quarter inch of ice accumulated in Louisa, Mineral, and Zion Crossroads which brought down numerous trees and power lines. Three quarters to one and one half inches of sleet also fell.
One quarter inch of ice fell in Fluvanna and Fork Union which brought down numerous trees and power lines. Two inches of sleet also fell.
One quarter inch of ice accumulated in Bowling Green which brought own several trees and power lines. Up to one inch of sleet also fell.
Two tenths of an inch of ice accumulated in Ashland.
Two inches of sleet and a thin glaze of ice accumulated.
One tenth of an inch of ice accumulated. Scattered power outages reported.
Two tenths of an inch of ice accumulated in Oak Grove and Colonial Beach.
One tenth of an inch of ice accumulated in Tappahannock.
One tenth of an ice of ice accumulated in Mangohick.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 16234, 17358, 17360, 17363, 17608, 17611, 17613, 17736, 17737.