Thunderstorm Wind, Jack
- When
- September 18, 5:55 PM CST
- Where
- Jack County, 4 mi SE of Antelope
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 33.389, -98.321
Reported between Antelope and Squaw Mountain.
Damaging Wind in Texas, September 18, 2007
One severe wind event was reported as weak upper level energy moved over north Texas.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
One severe wind event was reported as weak upper level energy moved over north Texas.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 18, 5:55 PM CST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 5:55 PM CST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 655 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007 .AVIATION... 655 PM CDT MID-LEVEL RIDGING HAS SHIFTED EAST DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS... SETTING UP CONVEYOR BELT OVER TEXAS. INCREASED MOISTURE EVIDENT WITH CU DEVELOPMENT TODAY. CONVECTION ON WESTERN PERIPHERY OF MOISTURE TONGUE WILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF METROPLEX SITES. SHRA/TSRA NOT FAR FROM WACO...MEAGER OUTFLOW HEADING TOWARD KACT BUT SHOULD BE OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCE. CU DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. WILL MORNING MOISTURE ABOVE NOCTURNAL INVERSION...WILL CARRY PREVAILING BKN VFR DECK FOR METRO SITES FOR BULK OF DAY. SHOULD BE ABOVE 4KFT THRESHOLD FOR DFW ARRIVALS. 25 && .PREV DISCUSSION... 326 PM CDT SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS WILL BE ON A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE CWA. AFTERNOON 00HR RUC ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LINE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG AN ELONGATED MID AND UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS DRAPED FROM NEAR THE KANSAS CITY AREA...TO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...TO NEAR THE TX BIG BEND REGION. WATER VAPOR AND REGIONAL WIND PROFILERS DEPICT A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF AXIS EJECTING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS /FROM WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE/. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONGEST STORMS AND GREATEST COVERAGE WILL BE NORTH OF THE CWA /ACROSS KANSAS/ WHERE STRONGER DYNAMIC FORCING IS PRESENT. ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET...BUT WITH THE ELONGATED SHEAR AXIS REMAINING IN THE VICINITY AND A VORT LOBE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE BIG BEND AREA...A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...HAVE INTRODUCED SLT CHC POPS FOR OUR WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES TONIGHT. A NARROW RIBBON OF MOISTURE IS FEEDING THE CONVECTION TODAY...AND THIS STREAM /ALONG WITH THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS/ IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY EAST TOMORROW. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WED AFTERNOON...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER...THE FAVORABLE AREA FOR TOMORROWS CONVECTION WILL LARGELY BE DEPENDENT ON HOW FAR EAST THE AFOREMENTIONED SHEAR ZONE ALIGNS ITSELF. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE EAST AND SHOULD PERMIT THE SHEAR ZONE FROM DRIFTING TOO FAR EAST...AND IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY HELP TO PUSH THE AXIS NORTHWEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. A QUIESCENT PERIOD IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA LATE IN THE WORK WEEK THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. NEXT FORECAST CHALLENGE /AND CHANCE OF PRECIP/ WILL BE TIMING AND LOCATION OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM SET TO ORGANIZE OFF THE COAST OF FLORIDA BY THURS. TODAYS MODEL RUNS ARE SHIFTING THE EFFECTS OF THIS SYSTEM FURTHER EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. ECMWF/GFS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT /WITH SUPPORT FROM THE CANADIAN/ OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM IMPACTING EAST TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. UNDOUBTEDLY LOCATION AND TIMING WILL NEED TO BE REFINED...BUT FOR NOW WE HAVE CONFINED POPS TO GENERALLY THE SOUTHEAST ONE THIRD OF THE AREA. FOR TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS /LOW 90S/ AND SEASONABLE LOWS /60S AND 70S/. SCHULTZ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 73 92 72 91 70 / 10 10 10 0 0 WACO, TX 73 92 71 92 69 / 20 10 10 0 0 PARIS, TX 69 91 66 90 64 / 10 10 10 0 0 DENTON, TX 71 91 70 91 67 / 10 20 10 0 0 MCKINNEY, TX 69 91 69 91 66 / 10 10 10 0 0 DALLAS, TX 74 91 73 91 72 / 10 10 10 0 0 TERRELL, TX 71 91 69 91 66 / 10 10 10 0 0 CORSICANA, TX 72 92 70 91 68 / 10 10 10 0 0 TEMPLE, TX 71 92 70 92 67 / 20 10 10 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 58/25/82/77
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 5:00 PM CST, 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 600 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-191100- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS- LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 600 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LATE THIS WEEKEND OVER AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 35...AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES NORTH INTO THE UPPER TEXAS...BEFORE LIFTING NORTH ACROSS EAST TEXAS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...THOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING IN AREAS WEST OF I-35 CORRIDOR. 05/25
The radar
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:54 UTC.
Event by event
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
What these are
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Damaging Winds in Iowa, September 18, 2007
- Damaging Winds in Iowa, September 18, 2007
- Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, September 18, 2007
- Damaging Winds in Iowa, September 18, 2007
- Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, September 18, 2007
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Nebraska, September 18, 2007
- High Surf in Hawaii, September 18 to 22, 2007
- Damaging Winds in Iowa, September 18, 2007
- Hail in Kansas, September 18, 2007
- Drought in Wisconsin, September 18 to 30, 2007
- Drought in Minnesota, September 18 to 30, 2007
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Missouri, September 18, 2007
More
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2007
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 53677.