An upper low level pressure system moved into the Lower Mississippi Valley during the afternoon and early evening hours of July 6th, 2007. The combination of the upper low and warm, moist air produced scattered showers and thunderstorms.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
An upper low level pressure system moved into the Lower Mississippi Valley during the afternoon and early evening hours of July 6th, 2007. The combination of the upper low and warm, moist air produced scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the thunderstorms produced locally heavy rainfall that caused flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 1:28 PM CST, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 228 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 .DISCUSSION... TONIGHT...DIURNAL CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WHILE THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE MIDSOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BE IMPACTED BY A LARGE AREA OF RAIN MOVING NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHERN ARKANSAS/NORTHERN LOUISIANA. RAIN IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. AFTER SUNSET...DIURNAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DIE OUT. HOWEVER...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE UPPER LOW. WILL CONTINUE POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN AREA LEAVING THE REST OF THE CWA DRY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE SOUTH WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. FOR THE WEEKEND...UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO SKIRT ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT THE NORTHERN HALF OF CWA TO REMAIN DRY OVER THE WEEKEND. SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE NORTH WHILE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTH. THE CLOUDS MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER ACROSS THE SOUTH WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MAYBE LOWER 90S WHILE NORTHERN PORTIONS WILL BE WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY...UPPER LOW WILL HAVE PUSHED EAST LEAVING THE MIDSOUTH IN THE TYPICAL DIURNAL CONVECTION PATTERN. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE FRONT STALLING OUT OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DURING THIS TIME...THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 74 91 73 93 / 20 20 10 10 MKL 68 92 65 93 / 10 10 10 10 JBR 69 93 68 94 / 10 10 10 10 TUP 73 90 72 90 / 30 40 20 30 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. && KRM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 332 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-071200- ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)- MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 332 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. KRM
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 256 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 TNZ088-062030- SHELBY TN- 256 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...SHELBY COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER ELLENDALE AT 256 PM CDT. THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN SHELBY COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BARTLETT AND MILLINGTON...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY..
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 16 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:00 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain fell 3 miles southwest of Arlington and produced flash flooding. Water covered Highway 70 in several locations.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 50832.