Daytime heating in combination with a warm moist atmosphere produced afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms over West Tennessee. Some of the thunderstorms produced damaging winds and flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Daytime heating in combination with a warm moist atmosphere produced afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms over West Tennessee. Some of the thunderstorms produced damaging winds and flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 26, 9:45 AM CST, 3 hours 31 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1045 AM CDT THU JUL 26 2007 .UPDATE... MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES CONTINUE OVER THE MIDSOUTH THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES HAVE QUICKLY SOARED WELL INTO THE 80S BY 10 AM. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REACH INTO THE 90S FOR HIGHS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE MIDSOUTH TODAY. WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE AND WEAK CONVERGENCE OCCURRING ALONG THIS FEATURE... DECIDED TO GO AHEAD AND INTRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI. STILL EXPECT COVERAGE TO BE MINIMAL BUT ENOUGH TO WARRANT MENTIONING. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 AM CDT THU JUL 26 2007/ DISCUSSION... INVERTED TROUGH DID NOT MOVE MUCH THIS EVENING AND STILL REMAINS NEAR A JACKSON TENNESSEE TO JUST SOUTH OF A MEMPHIS LINE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DID NOT INITIATE ALONG TROUGH AS PREVIOUS DAYS. SOME ACTIVITY DID OCCUR OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI BUT EXPECT THAT WAS MORE DIURNAL BASED THAN ANYTHING. SEEMS LIKE THE TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO WASH OUT...ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL A DEWPOINT GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME. EXPECT GRADIENT TO DISAPPEAR QUICKLY TODAY AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. DON/T EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY INTO TONIGHT...CAN/T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM DEVELOPING BUT NOT ENOUGH TO KEEP 20 POPS IN FORECAST THUS WILL REMOVE MENTION OF PRECIP FROM FORECAST. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. ON FRIDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY ACROSS THE AREA. CWA WILL BE BETWEEN TWO SYSTEMS-A FRONT TO THE NORTH AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE GULF COAST. EXPECT AREA TO BE CAPPED THUS WILL ALLOW FOR A HOT AND DRY DAY ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO MAYBE UPPER 90S. FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH REST OF WEEKEND...THE NAM IS MUCH QUICKER WITH PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT THAN THE GFS AND ECMWF THUS WILL LEAN WITH A SLOWER PROGRESSION SINCE THE GFS AND ECMWF HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH TIMING. EXPECT A DYING LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BE APPROACHING NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE LINE WILL HAVE DEVELOPED EARLIER IN THE EVENING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BY SATURDAY...FRONT SHOULD STILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF CWA OR MAY JUST BEGIN ENTERING EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT AND ALONG OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LEFT BEHIND FROM THE PREVIOUS NIGHTS CONVECTION. SATURDAY WILL BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT SLIPS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH. WILL CONTINUE POPS ACROSS ENTIRE CWA. ON SUNDAY...SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WILL SEE THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN AS FRONT WILL PROBABLY BE LOCATED ALONG MS/TN BORDER. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CWA SUNDAY NIGHT...THUS WILL CONTINUE POPS OVER THIS PART OF CWA. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE STRONG TO MAYBE EVEN SEVERE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO THE IMPACT OF DAYTIME HEATING. STAY TUNED. MONDAY THROUGH REST OF FORECAST PERIOD...DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE MIDSOUTH BEHIND FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 95 76 97 77 / 20 10 10 10 MKL 92 69 94 70 / 10 10 10 20 JBR 92 71 96 72 / 10 10 10 20 TUP 93 71 94 71 / 20 10 10 10 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. && KNS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 339 AM CDT THU JUL 26 2007 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-271100- ALCORN-BENTON(MS)-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE(AR)-LEE(MS)- MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 339 AM CDT THU JUL 26 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDSOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OF SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. KRM
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 24 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:14 UTC.
1 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain produced flash flooding in the University of Memphis area. Water flooded Central Ave between Flicker and Buntyn Streets.
Straight line winds knocked down trees along New Allen and James Roads.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 50848, 50847.