An area of low pressure formed ahead of a strong cold front and tracked along a warm front that extended across North Carolina. Strong kinematics from strong low-level jet and powerful 100kt 500mb jet resulted in scattered wind damage across central North Carolina.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
An area of low pressure formed ahead of a strong cold front and tracked along a warm front that extended across North Carolina. Strong kinematics from strong low-level jet and powerful 100kt 500mb jet resulted in scattered wind damage across central North Carolina.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 2, 2:55 AM EST, 1 minute earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 255 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CWA UNTIL 8 AM. FAVORABLE FACTORS FOR SEVERE CONTINUE TO STEADILY INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE CWA WHERE THE SURGE OF WARMER AIR AND DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 60S HAVE ALLOWED MUCAPE VALUES TO APPROACH OR EXCEED 500 J/KG. NOW THAT THE ATMOSPHERIC DESTABILIZATION HAS BEGUN... THE PRIMARY MITIGATING FACTOR FOR SEVERE AND/OR TORNADIC STORMS IS ERODING. INCREDIBLE 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY IS CURRENTLY OVER 1000 M2/S2 WITH LCL HEIGHTS WELL BELOW THE CRITICAL 1 KM THRESHOLD... THE MORE INTENSE STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA SHOULD HAVE LITTLE TROUBLE BECOMING TORNADIC IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS... PARTICULARLY IF ANY OF THEM ENCOUNTER ANY SOURCE OF LOW LEVEL VORTICITY SUCH AS A WEAK CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY. HOWEVER... THE INSTABILITY MAY REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN CWA. SHORT TERM FORECAST NEEDS ONLY MINOR TIMING ADJUSTMENTS. EXPECT POPS TO DROP DRAMATICALLY WEST TO EAST BETWEEN NOW AND 7 AM AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST. THE TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED AT LEAST A FEW HOURS EARLY IN THE FAR WESTERN CWA BASED ON THE EXPECTED TIMING OF THE FRONT. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGH THE MORNING BUT SHOULD DIMINISH SOMEWHAT BY AFTERNOON AS THEY SHIFT TO THE WSW. CURRENT VERY WARM TEMPERATURES SHOULD DROP BEHIND THE FRONT THEN RECOVER BACK TO NEAR OR A CATEGORY ABOVE CURRENT NUMBERS. HIGHS AROUND 60 TO 68 STILL LOOKS REASONABLE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY THIS EVENING AND EXPECT JUST HIGH CLOUDS AT MOST OVERNIGHT. WILL HAVE LOWS OF 36-44 WITH MINIMAL COLD AIR ADVECTION. -GIH && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: LATEST MODEL OUTPUT AGREES WELL WITH THE CURRENT DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET CORE FROM THE NORTHERN GULF STATES THROUGH NC SHOULD KEEP CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT... BEFORE THE JET DROPS TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE POSITIVELY TILTED MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS AND SURFACE TROUGH. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES ARE JUST A BIT ABOVE NORMAL SATURDAY... BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THE AFTERNOON SHOW FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM THE SURFACE UP THROUGH 700 MB. HAVE RAISED SATURDAY HIGHS SLIGHTLY TO 61-69... CLOSER TO THE OLD GFS ENSEMBLE OUTPUT. THE BRISK SOUTHWEST WIND EXPECTED... ALONG WITH LOW DEWPOINTS... COULD CREATE BORDERLINE ADVERSE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS... HOWEVER THE FINE FUELS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY MOIST AFTER THIS MORNINGS RAINFALL TO LIMIT THE DANGER. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION BEGINS IN EARNEST AFTER DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL HAVE LOWS FROM 31 NORTHWEST TO 43 SOUTHEAST. THE GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUNDAY OVER 30 M BELOW NORMAL WITH THE NAM ABOUT 20 M BELOW NORMAL... WHICH EQUATES TO HIGHS AROUND 50-55 ACROSS THE CWA... IN LINE WITH THE LATEST MOS GUIDANCE. DESPITE THE DEPARTURE OF THE HIGH CLOUDS SUNDAY... FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW ENOUGH MOISTURE TRAPPED BENEATH THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ALOFT FOR PARTLY SUNNY SKIES MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: CONTINUED DRY. THE UPPER VORTEX WOBBLES ACROSS EASTERN CANADA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY. THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING INTO NC FROM THE SOUTHWEST STARTS TO MODIFY MONDAY AS THE MID LEVEL FLOW FLATTENS... AND TEMPERATURES SHOULD REBOUND BACK TOWARD NORMAL FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE GFS STILL SHOWS A BACKDOOR FRONT TRYING TO PUSH SOUTH AND BRING COLD CANADIAN AIR DOWN THROUGH THE MIDATLANTIC REGION FOR TUESDAY... BUT WITH THE UPPER VORTEX LIFTING OUT AND SHORTWAVE RIDGING SPREADING IN FROM THE WEST... THIS SHOULD HOLD MOSTLY TO OUR NORTH AND SHOULD YIELD ONLY MINOR COOLING. WE ARE LIKELY TO SEE ENHANCED CLOUDS TUESDAY HOWEVER AS AN UPPER JET DIVES DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST. EXPECT SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATING A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST STATES... HOWEVER MOISTURE AVAILABILITY IS MEAGER AND DRY WEATHER IS STILL ANTICIPATED. -GIH && .AVIATION /06Z-06Z/... WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH THROUGH KFAY... KRDU... AND KRWI BEFORE THE COLD FRONT SURGES EAST THROUGH THESE AREAS... ENHANCING THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AND LLWS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION ABOUT 2 HOURS EITHER SIDE OF DAYBREAK THIS MORNING. SURFACE FRONT WILL TO PUSH EAST OF KINT/KGSO BETWEEN 09Z AND 11Z... REACHING KRDU AND KFAY BETWEEN 11Z AND 13Z... THEN KRWI AROUND 13Z-14Z. UNTIL THEN WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST. CIGS MVFR TO IFR. VSBY WILL BE REDUCED TO MVFR... WITH IFR IN HEAVY SHOWERS. LLWS OF 60 TO 70 KTS EXPECTED THROUGH FROPA... THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WIND SHEAR THROUGH 15Z. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY DEPART BEHIND STRONG FROPA WITH SW WINDS OF 12 TO 22 KT EXPECTED MUCH OF THE DAY. SKY AND VSBY WILL GO TO VFR BETWEEN 13Z-16Z. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD LONG TERM...HARTFIELD AVIATION...BADGETT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 510 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-021015- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 510 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH NORTH CAROLINA FROM THE WEST TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY...REACHING AS HIGH AS 65 MPH BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS ALOFT AND A WARM AND MOIST AIR FLOW INTO THE REGION WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS... STARTING EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO LINES AND BOWING SEGMENTS... LEADING TO A PRIMARY RISK OF DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OVER 70 MPH. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE... AND MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN A LINE OF STORMS. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST BETWEEN 9 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL AROUND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE HIGHEST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64... HOWEVER SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY BE OCCURRING VERY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95. OTHERWISE... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AFTER 7 PM TONIGHT. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY OBSERVATIONS OF SEVERE WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. GIH
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 939 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-020830- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG... NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO... RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO... ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 939 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE GREATEST BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 12 MIDNIGHT THROUGH 9 AM FRIDAY. THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 70 MPH AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL BE ABLE TO TOPPLE TREES AND POWER LINES AND CAN DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTDOOR STORAGE BUILDINGS. WHILE SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE BEST OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES...MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT. SOUTH SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PULL WARM MOIST AIR INTO THE AREA. MEANWHILE SOUTHERLY WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE WILL INCREASE TO AS HIGH AS 65 MPH. AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER TO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE WARM MOIST AIR AND SINCE THE WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE ARE QUITE STRONG...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR. SINCE THE STORMS WILL OCCUR WHEN MOST FOLKS ARE ASLEEP...HAVING A NOAA WEATHER RADIO CAN BE CRITICAL AS IT COULD BE THE ONLY NOTIFICATION YOU RECEIVE ABOUT POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS STORMS OVERNIGHT. PEOPLE WITH WEATHER RADIOS SHOULD MAKE SURE THEY ARE ON AND READY TO RECEIVE WEATHER ALERTS. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A WEATHER RADIO...KEEP AN EAR OUT OVERNIGHT FOR A SUDDEN INCREASE IN THE WIND OR DISTANT THUNDER. HAVE A RELIABLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION CLOSE BY SUCH AS A RADIO OR TV.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 151 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 NCZ011-027-028-020715- EDGECOMBE-HALIFAX-NASH- 151 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS HALIFAX...NORTHERN NASH AND NORTHEAST EDGECOMBE COUNTIES THROUGH 215 AM EST... AT 151 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER NASHVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...GLENVIEW...AND... BATTLEBORO...WHITAKERS...ENFIELD. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND INFREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. SOME DOWNED TREE LIMBS ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE AND AWNINGS COULD BE TOSSED AROUND. WSS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 205 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 NCZ007-021>024-038-039-020815- PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO 205 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...WINDY CONDITIONS WITH SHOWERS TO CONTINUE THROUGH 400 AM... SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 400 AM. ALONG WITH THE SHOWERS... WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. THE HEAVIEST RAIN THROUGH 400 AM IS EXPECTED ACROSS AREAS FROM LEXINGTON TO ASHEBORO... BURLINGTON AND HILLSBOROUGH. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING EAST INTO THE PIEDMONT TRIAD REGION AROUND 400 AM. THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF STRONG WIND GUSTS... TO POSSIBLY 40 OR 50 MPH. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PASSES. NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-020815- GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE- CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT- WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON... ROANOKE RAPIDS...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT... PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO... ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 205 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER BETWEEN 200 AM AND 500 AM... A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH INTO STANLY... MONTGOMERY... MOORE... HOKE... AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 500 AM. MEANWHILE... AND COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ADVANCE INTO THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT BETWEEN 300 AM AND 400 AM. ALONG WITH THE WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS... THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO SURGE EAST... ESPECIALLY FROM WADESBORO AND ALBEMARLE EASTWARD ALONG THE WARM FRONT TO NEAR RAEFORD... SOUTHERN PINES... LAURINBURG... AND FAYETTEVILLE. THE RAINFALL RATES WILL ALSO INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION BETWEEN 200 AM AND 400 AM. RAINFALL RATES OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. BADGETT
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 131 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:54 UTC.
8 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
One tree and large tree limb down. The tree limb broke through the window of a police car.
Scattered trees down county wide.
A tree was blown down in the toen of Robbins.
Numerous trees down on NC 210 just north of the Cumberland County line.
A 63 mph wind gust was measured at the Fort Bragg site of the RAWS network.
Numerous trees down on HWY 27 east of Coats. Numerous power outages also reported.
Large tree down on NC HWY 42 near Johnston County line. NC HWY 42 blocked.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 11560, 11561, 23388, 11564, 11562, 11565, 11563, 11577.