A large low pressure center generated severe weather across north Florida on the night of the 1st-2nd March.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A large low pressure center generated severe weather across north Florida on the night of the 1st-2nd March.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 2, 2:20 AM EST, 1 hour earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
220 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007
...TORNADO WATCH 52 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM...
.SHORT TERM...SQUALL LINE NOW ENTERING THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA WITH A SOLID LINE OF CONVECTION STRETCHING
SOUTHWEST AND POISED TO ENTER APALACHEE BAY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.
INSTABILITY ALONG THE LINE HAS BEEN MUCH GREATER THAN MODEL
PROJECTIONS AND HAS ACTUALLY INCREASED WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS
TO BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG. THIS...ALONG WITH STRONG DIFFLUENT
SIGNATURE ALOFT SHOULD BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN CURRENT
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA.
AS FAR AS THE SHEAR...06Z CHS SOUNDING CONFIRMS SHORT TERM MODEL
PROJECTIONS OF EXTREMELY HIGH 0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS OF
500 M2/S2 ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
EASTERN ZONES. FEEL THIS LOCAL MAXIMUM WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE WITH THE
APPROACHING SQUALL LINE BUT MORE THAN ENOUGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR
REMAINING TO SUPPORT THE CONTINUED THREAT OF TORNADOES.
AS THE LINE SAGS SOUTH THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS...THE 850 MB
JET WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BUT STILL REMAIN AROUND 40 KNOTS.
LIKEWISE HELICITY WILL DECREASE BUT ENOUGH RESIDUAL TO WARRANT THE
CONTINUED MENTION OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BY
00Z...MODELS INDICATE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL HAVE MADE IT INTO
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEVERE THREAT SHIFTING
SOUTH OF THE AREA. 40 KNOT JET WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHERN
SECTIONS...BUT WITH MORE STABLE FLOW AND CLOUD COVER...WOULD NOT
EXPECT MUCH OF THIS TO MIX DOWN.
AS FRONT STALLS...DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL EXIT THE AREA...BUT A
SATURATED COLUMN WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 850MB AND 700MB. OMEGA VALUES
ARE HIGH DURING THIS PERIOD DUE MAINLY TO THE CONTRIBUTION FROM
ADIABATIC OMEGA BETWEEN THE 300K AND 305K SURFACES. THIS WILL
WARRANT THE CONTINUED MENTION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA
WITH A RAW DAY IN STORE WITH NORTHERLY WINDS FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 10.
UPPER LEVEL KICKER FINALLY ARRIVES BY SUNDAY MORNING...PUSHING
PRECIP AXIS SOUTHWARD AND BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR TO THE REGION.
.LONG TERM...A MUCH NEEDED RESPITE AFTER ALL THE SOUTHEAST SEVERE
WX WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN CONTROL WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO TAKE QUITE A DIP WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S OVER THE GEORGIA PORTION BY MONDAY MORNING. FREEZE
WARNINGS HAVE BEGUN ONCE AGAIN FOR THIS AREA AND WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER THIS WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...HAVE TRIED TO NARROW DOWN TIMING OF SQUALL LINE IN
LATEST SET OF TAFS...BUT MAY NEED TO CONTINUE TO SLIGHTLY ADJUST.
HAVE INCLUDED SVR WIND GUSTS IN TSTMS IN KSSI TAF...WITH NEAR SVR
FOR KJAX AND KCRG...ALONG WITH IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN TSTMS. WIND SHEAR
CONTINUES OVER THE AREA...AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THRU THE MORNING
HOURS. THANX FOR COORD CHS
&&
.MARINE...FCST APPEARS TO BE PANNING OUT...WITH WIND GUSTS AROUND
30 KTS IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS. WILL EVALUATE PRIOR TO ISSUANCE...
BUT OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE SHOULD COVER THE SITUATION.
WINDS ARE PROGGED TO RAPIDLY DROP OFF TONIGHT...BUT WILL NEED TO
EXTEND LENGTH OF ADVISORIES A FEW MORE HOURS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WX CONCERNS UNTIL SAT...WHEN DRY AIR REALLY
STARTS TO FILTER INTO THE N 2/3 OF THE AREA. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE
THAT ENUF DRY AIR MAY MIX DOWN TO THE SFC TO NECESSITATE A FIRE WX
WATCH FOR THE N SUWANNEE VALLEY...BUT THERE IS ENUF UNCERTAINTY TO
WAIT ONE MORE PACKAGE BEFORE DOING THIS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 67 41 67 41 / 70 0 20 20
SSI 66 49 65 49 / 70 40 20 20
JAX 71 46 65 47 / 70 50 30 30
SGJ 75 52 64 51 / 70 70 40 30
GNV 73 48 64 45 / 70 60 40 30
OCF 74 50 65 46 / 60 60 50 40
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALTAMAHA
SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM THIS MORNING FOR ALTAMAHA
SOUND GA TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.
&&
DEESE/CARROLL/TRABERT/SHASHY/HURLBUTHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 100 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-020700- ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY- CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE- COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)- GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM- ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE- 100 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 52 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST... ...A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST FLORIDA... .DISCUSSION... A SQUALL LINE WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THEN PROGRESS TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH AND TORNADOES. ANY TORNADOES THAT FORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF BECOMING STRONG TO VIOLENT WITH EXTENDED DAMAGE PATHS. DAMAGING TORNADOES HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. PERSONS WITH NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIOS SHOULD ENSURE THEIR RADIO IS IN GOOD WORKING ORDER AND SET TO ALARM THIS OVERNIGHT. MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A SQUALL LINE WITH ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE PUSHING THROUGH NORTHEAST FLORIDA DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING HOURS...WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED UNTIL THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER DIMINISHES ON FRIDAY MORNING. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX. DEESE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 124 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 GAZ132-133-020700- COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS- 124 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COFFEE AND JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 200 AM EST... AT 124 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROXTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PRIDGEN...BROXTON...SNIPESVILLE...DENTON AND HAZLEHURST THROUGH 200 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A TORNADO WATCH. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. ARS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 227 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 GAZ134-135-020800- APPLING-BACON- 227 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR APPLING AND BACON COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 300 AM EST... AT 227 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PINE GROVE...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF ALMA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PINE GROVE AND BAXLEY THROUGH 300 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. IF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OCCURS A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED. THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A TORNADO WATCH. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. SHASHY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
230 AM EST FRI MAR 02 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 AM HAIL PEARSON 31.30N 82.85W
03/02/2007 E0.75 INCH ATKINSON GA TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZE HAIL FALLING IN DOWNTOWN PEARSON.
&&
TRABERTSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 255 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 FLZ020-GAZ162-163-020845- CLINCH-ECHOLS-HAMILTON- 255 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAMILTON...CLINCH AND ECHOLS COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 345 AM EST... AT 255 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF DU PONT TO 18 MILES WEST OF WEST LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WEST LAKE... JENNINGS...MAYDAY...STATENVILLE...DU PONT AND HOMERVILLE THROUGH 345 AM EST. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. IF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OCCURS A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED. THE AREA REMAINS UNDER A TORNADO WATCH. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. SHASHY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
320 AM EST FRI MAR 02 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 AM HAIL DU PONT 30.99N 82.87W
03/02/2007 M0.88 INCH CLINCH GA TRAINED SPOTTER
ALSO REPORTED ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
&&
CARROLLThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
7 thunderstorm wind, 2 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
Large trees down across Hamilton County near Jennings including one across the railroad tracks. Power outages reported.
Two large trees down with one tree on house, shed damaged on White Avenue.
Reports of ten (10) trees down in various parts of the county.
Suwannee Valley Electric Company reported tornado touchdown. A garage was heavily damaged; trees were blown down on power lines, and a lot of debris in the area.
Suwannee Valley Electric reported several trees on power lines in northern Columbia county along State Route 441.
Six to eight large trees blown down off of Interstate 10 near mile marker 288.
Suwannee Valley Electric reported several trees down on power lines.
Large trees down on Lake Jeffery Road.
Three single wide mobile homes with significant damage to siding, minor roof damage and damage to steps, fences, etc. Used EF Scale - Damage Indicator (DI) MHSW with a Degree of Damage (DOD) #2 to the structures. Several Small farm buildings and sheds were moved or blown over with large tractors and equipment inside. For these I used a DI of SBO and DOD #7. By crossing the two determined an EF-0 Scale rating with 80 mph wind speeds most likely.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2007Warnings in Florida, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 11147, 11148, 11155, 11146, 11150, 11151, 11153, 11154, 9976.