Scattered thunderstorms developed along lee side trough during peak time heating.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed along lee side trough during peak time heating.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 1:21 PM EST, 14 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 221 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN STRONG OVER NC TONIGHT BUT IT WILL BEGIN TO RETREAT SOUTHWARD THURSDAY. STRONG HEIGHT FALLS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS WILL BE A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE AS WE GO FROM HOT HUMID WEATHER TO MUCH DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS LATE WEEKEND. THIS CHANGE IN PATTERNS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO A GOOD PORTION OF SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... THE HEAT INDICES WERE PUSHING 100 DEGREES FROM SOUTHERN PINES AND ROCKINGHAM TO RALEIGH-DURHAM AND ROANOKE RAPIDS AT 200 PM. THE DEW POINTS HAD REALLY COME UP TODAY ALONG AND EAST OF THE PIEDMONT TROUGH POSITION. AS TEMPERATURES SOARED INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S... THIS IS WERE SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPED DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHER SCATTERED STORMS WERE OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THUS... THE FAVORED AREAS FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING WILL BE NEAR THE PIEDMONT TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS. THE OTHER AREA WILL BE THE W-NW PIEDMONT WHERE THE ACTIVITY DRIFTS OFF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE STORM MOVEMENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLOW TO ALMOST NIL... RAINING OUT IN SPOT... WITH OTHER CELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE OUTFLOWS. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 2500 J/KG. THE POP WILL LOWER TO ISOLATED OR NIL AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS. LOWS 70-73 EXPECTED WITH PATCHY FOG LATE. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... HOT HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY. PERSISTENCE GIVES HIGHS AGAIN IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S AND WE MAY TACK ON A DEGREE OR TWO AS THE MEAN FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. DEW POINTS MAY ALSO MIX OUT A BIT MORE... ALLOWING SOME MORE MID TO UPPER 60S THAN TODAY. THE HEAT INDICES SHOULD RANGE TO NEAR 100 AGAIN... ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN. IT WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE PIEDMONT TROUGH SETS UP. THIS WILL ALSO BE WHERE THE BEST CHANCE OF WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAJOR CHANGES BEGIN FRIDAY. THE DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL BRING STRONG HEIGHT FALLS OVER NC LATE IN THE DAY AND AT NIGHT. MODELS AGREE ON THE SURFACE FRONT ARRIVAL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT NORTH... AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS SATURDAY. THIS CONTINUES THE SLOWER TREND OF THE PAST SEVERAL MODELS RUNS. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXPECTED TO BE OVER OUR REGION. A FEW OF THE STORMS LATE FRIDAY COULD BECOME SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. STRONG HEIGHT FALLS COMBINED WITH HIGH CAPE ENVIRONMENT... AND THE SURFACE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE LATE FRIDAY. THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO JUMP INTO THE PIEDMONT TROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY. WE WILL CARRY CHANCE POP EVERYWHERE FRIDAY AFTERNOON... WITH HIGHEST POP NW. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS SEVERAL WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. MOISTURE POOLING OF HIGH PWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY SUGGEST LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. QPF OF AROUND 1 INCH WILL BE FORECAST... WITH LOCAL 2 INCH TOTALS EXPECTED. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL STILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. THEN MAX READINGS WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 80-85 RANGE SATURDAY WITH SOME UPPER 70S POSSIBLE. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SURFACE FRONT WILL BE OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN BY 00Z SUNDAY...WITH GOOD MID-LEVEL DRYING EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. THE GFS AND CANADIAN ARE CONSISTENT IN A FAIRLY DRY FORECAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WILL ONLY HOLD ONTO A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN FOR EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. BASED ON THE SPEED OF THE FRONT AND THE CONSISTENCY OF THE GFS...ANY LINGERING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY EVENING SHOULD END QUICKLY...LEAVING A DRY FORECAST FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY UNDER BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE. HPC PROBABILISTIC PRECIPITATION GUIDANCE IS LOW FOR SUNDAY AND THE START OF NEXT WEEK...AND THE GFS MOS ENSEMBLE POPS ARE AT OR BELOW CLIMATOLOGY. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S...SUPPORTED BY THE GFS FORECAST 1000-850MB THICKNESSES. WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AS WE APPROACH THE FOURTH OF JULY. BY TUESDAY...WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF OF THE COAST WITH A SOUTH-TO-SOUTHWEST FLOW RETURNING TO THE AREA. MOS GUIDANCE FOR TUESDAY IS ONLY IN THE MID 80S BUT THINK THIS IS A LITTLE COOL BASED ON THE PREVAILING SURFACE FLOW...AND INCREASING THICKNESSES WHICH FROM THE 1000-850MB LEVEL WOULD SUPPORT HIGHS INTO THE 90S BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. OPTED TO GO WITH A BLEND OF MOS AND THICKNESSES FOR NOW WITH HIGHS MOSTLY AROUND 90...BUT LOWER TO MID 90S SHOULD BE THE RULE ON THE FOURTH AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AROUND MID WEEK. GFS MOS ENSEMBLE POPS AND HPC PROBABILISTIC PRECIPITATION GUIDANCE ARE STILL RELATIVELY LOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AND THE GFS FORECASTS A FRONT REMAINING JUST NORTH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. INTRODUCED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY FOR THE AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. 64 FOR LATE WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE THROUGHOUT THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT BASED ON THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT...HEAT AND EXPECTED INSTABILITY. CURRENTLY...THINK THE BETTER CHANCE OF AT LEAST SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THURSDAY...JUST BEYOND THE LONG-TERM PERIOD...BUT THE TIMING OF THIS FRONT WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR HOLIDAY PLANNING. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORMING IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE TROUGH AND THE HIGHEST INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MSAS SHOWING LIFTED INDICES AS LOW AS -6C. AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...OVER MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THEY SHOULD SHOW A GENERAL SOUTHWARD DRIFT WITH THE THERMAL WIND...EXCEPT OVER THE FAR WEST WHERE THICKNESSES WOULD POINT TOWARD MORE OF AN EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION. REGARDLESS...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM MOTION WILL ONCE AGAIN BE SLOW WITH WINDS SURFACE AND ALOFT NOT MUCH MORE THAN 10KT AND MOSTLY LESS THAN THAT. DIURNAL TREND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHING IS EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT. DEW POINTS FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH FALLING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW MVFR FOG OR HAZE TO DEVELOP BY DAWN THURSDAY WITH AREAS OF IFR FOG PARTICULARLY NEAR LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE RAIN. BEST CHANCE OF THE IFR FOG SEEMS TO BE AT KRDU AND KFAY AS OF THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE WHERE THE HIGHER DEW POINTS EXIST IN VICINITY OF THE GREATER INSTABILITY. THURSDAY MORNING MVFR AND ANY IFR FOG AND HAZE WILL GRADUALLY LIFT INTO VFR CONDITIONS BY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF IFR CONDITIONS IN THUNDERSTORMS AND DUE TO EARLY MORNING FOG...THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND MORE WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS WILL COME FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH. ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSES...LINGERING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE MAY PROVIDE FOR SOME IFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY MORNING IF THE FRONT FAILS TO SCOUR OUT THAT MOISTURE...OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...BADGETT NEAR TERM...BADGETT SHORT TERM...BADGETT LONG TERM...DJF AVIATION...DJF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1210 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-281615- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON- RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 1210 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HEAT INDICES WILL REACH AROUND 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PIEDMONT... SANDHILLS... AND COASTAL PLAIN. THIS INCLUDES AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WADESBORO TO SOUTHERN PINES... RALEIGH... AND HENDERSON. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING... GUSTY WIND TO 45 MPH... PEA SIZED HAIL... AND HEAVY RAINFALL. DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW... THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS... AND WILL PRODUCE VERY LOCALIZED 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ON THE TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL AGAIN REACH THE MID 90S. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDICES TO NEAR 100 DEGREES FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PIEDMONT... SANDHILLS... AND COASTAL PLAIN. FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TRIGGER THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY OVER THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT...AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE SATURDAY MORNING. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKLES AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEARLY CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING STRIKES AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE STORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NO FASTER THAN 20 MPH OR LESS. IF MORE THAN ONE STORM MOVES ACROSS THE SAME LOCATION...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. BADGETT/WSS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 152 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007 NCZ040-076-271845- CHATHAM-LEE- 152 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS CHATHAM AND LEE COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT... AT 152 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER MONCURE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTH OF SANFORD...DRIFTING EAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...MONCURE... CUMNOCK... AND JORDAN LAKE. GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. IF ON OR NEAR JORDAN LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. DONT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM MWS
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:35 UTC.
10 thunderstorm wind, 3 hail, 3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees were blown down on Carbonton Road off Highway 42.
A large maple was blown down by winds estimated around 60 mph.
Several trees were blown down on Highway 561 on the north side of Medoc Mountain State Park.
Numerous trees were blown down between Heathsville and Beaverdam.
A large tree was blown down in Oine and wind damage occured to several tobacco barns in the northwestern portion of the county.
Several trees were reported blown down in the area.
Several trees were blown down around Gibsonville.
A large tree was blown down near Belews Lake and Route 158.
Several trees were blown down near Route 150 and Bunch Road.
Numerous trees were blown down on the Dawn Acres Golf Course.
Penny size hail was reported in downtown Greensboro.
Penny size hail was reported at the intersection of Vandalia and Pinecroft roads.
Flash flooding was reported along Lee, Aycock, and Washington Streets in downtown.
Flash flooding was reported on South Holden Street and South Elm-Eugene Street. Several motorists were forced to abandon their cars.
Flash flooding resultd in one water rescue in the Greensboro Coliseum Parking Lot where flood waters reached the height of the windows of many cars.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, June 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 30832, 30833, 30834, 30835, 30836, 30838, 30839, 30840, 30841, 30842, 30843, 30844, 30845, 30846, 30847, 30848.