Winter Storm and Winter Weather in New Jersey, March 16 to 17, 2007

Name: Winter Storm and Winter Weather in New Jersey, March 16 to 17, 2007
Start: 2007-03-16T00:00
End: 2007-03-17T06:00
Location: New Jersey

March 16 to 17, 2007 · NWS PHI · 17 events in 17 counties and zones

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 17 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 6
Injuries: 66
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 17

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

A nor'easter caused sleet to fall across the greater Philadelphia Metropolitan Area and the Raritan Basin and heavy snow and sleet to fall across northwestern New Jersey. The nor'easter caused thousands of accidents and six known fatalities. New Jersey State Police responded to over 2,000 calls for assistance. There were over 200 accidents alone on the Garden State Parkway and the New Jersey Turnpike. Vehicles rolled over, slid off roads, slid into each other, slammed into guardrails and fishtailed. The afternoon and evening commute slowed to a crawl. A few schools closed. Most of the others had early dismissals. Many county courts closed early and after school activities were postponed. The winter storm wreaked havoc at Philadelphia International Airport as most flights were cancelled and it took a couple of days for flights to return to normal. New Jersey Transit trains had about 15 minute delays. New Jersey Transit buses had up to 30 minute delays, especially in the northern part of the state. Accumulations averaged 2 to 6 inches in the local Philadelphia Metropolitan area and across much of central New Jersey and 6 to 12 inches across northwestern New Jersey.|Precipitation started as rain across the region during the evening of the 15th. But as colder air moved in aloft, precipitation changed quickly to snow and sleet in far northwest New Jersey around Midnight EDT on the 16th and slowly changed over across the rest of northwest New Jersey prior to sunrise. Farther to the south, the surge of cold air was confined to a more shallower layer and precipitation changed to sleet in central and southwest New Jersey between 5 a.m. and 9 a.m. EDT. Precipitation continued as mainly sleet across central and southwest New Jersey through the night. In northwest New Jersey, a mixture of snow and sleet fell. Enough cold air did move into interior sections of southeast New Jersey during the evening of the 16th to change the rain over to a mixture of sleet and freezing rain. Precipitation ended early in the day on the 17th (before 3 a.m. EDT) in most areas, except it lingered until around 6 a.m. EDT in the central part of the state. |In southwest New Jersey around the greater Philadelphia Metropolitan area, the most deadly accident of this event occurred in Gloucester County. On New Jersey State Route 55 in Elk Township near mile marker 47.4, a van carrying at least eight passengers that was traveling north crossed the grassy median and smacked head-on into a box truck. Three men (including the 23-year-old driver) were killed. A passenger in the box truck was one of a dozen people who were injured after he was ejected from the truck. In another accident, a 79-year-old female passenger was killed when her vehicle struck another vehicle that crossed the median of Fries Mill Road in Franklin Township. The drivers of both vehicles were also seriously injured. They were two of about 40 accidents in the county. Even Rowan University closed early. In Burlington County, there were over 60 reported accidents with about 20 reported injuries. Vehicles were flipping over on Interstate 295. In Camden County, in Haddon Heights, a special needs van collided with a Sports Utility Vehicle on the White Horse Pike and caused nine injuries. |In Central New Jersey, in Monmouth County, a 28-year-old woman and a 27-year-old man were injured after their vehicle struck a pole on New Jersey State Route 36 in Middletown Township. In Highlands, on the same route, five people were injured in a three vehicle accident. In Middlesex County, over 100 accidents were reported. There were scores of accidents on Interstate 287 near and around Piscataway and along U.S. Route 9 and New Jersey State Route 440 in Woodbridge. In Old Bridge Township, a passenger ejected from a vehicle was seriously injured on the New Jersey Turnpike. An accident in South Brunswick on U.S. Route 130 left a man unconscious. In Mercer County also over 100 accidents were reported. A car skidded off of Interstate 95 in Lawrenceville and landed in a tree. A Sports Utility Vehicle and tractor-trailer accident snarled traffic on Interstate 295 in Lawrence Township. The New Jersey Turnpike had several accidents in rapid succession in Washington Township near Exit 7A. In Trenton, a car slammed into an ambulance. In Hopewell Township, a car skidded off a roadway, flipped onto its roof and came to rest in a branch of the Woolsey Creek. In Ocean County, a three vehicle accident on County Route 539 in Lacey Township caused the death of one person and six injuries. In Stafford Township, a 65-year-old male driver was hospitalized after starting a chain reaction four vehicle accident on U.S. Route 9. |In northwest New Jersey, in Warren County, a 66-year-old woman passenger was killed in Allamuchy Township after a Jeep she was riding in veered off the road and smashed into a tree. Her 70-year-old husband driver was severely injured. About 5 or 6 serious accidents happened around the same three mile stretch of the interstate during one hour. A pedestrian was struck and injured by a vehicle in Jefferson Township (Morris County). |Actual snow and/or sleet accumulations included 13.5 inches in Montague (Sussex County), 10.3 inches in Newton (Sussex County), 9.5 inches in Sussex (Sussex County), 8.6 inches in Marcella (Morris County), 7.5 inches in Blairstown (Warren County), 7.0 inches in Parsippany (Morris County) and Hackettstown (Warren County), 6.2 inches in Bridgewater (Somerset County), 5.6 inches in Chatham (Morris County), 5.2 inches in Flemington (Hunterdon County), 4.8 inches in New Brunswick (Middlesex County), 4.7 inches in Lawrenceville (Mercer County), 4.5 inches in Blackwood (Camden County), 4.3 inches in Whitehouse Station (Hunterdon County), 4.1 inches in Hillsborough (Somerset County), 3.7 inches in Ewing (Mercer County), 3.5 inches in Edgewater Park (Burlington County) and Pennsauken (Camden County), 3.3 inches in Delran (Burlington County), 3.1 inches in Brick Township (Ocean County), 3.0 inches in National Park (Gloucester County), and South River (Middlesex County), 2.9 inches in Cream Ridge (Monmouth County), 2.0 inches in Shamong Township (Burlington County), 1.0 inch in Hammonton (Atlantic County), 0.9 inches in Pittsgrove (Salem County) and 0.5 inches in Forked River (Ocean County). |The wintry weather was caused by a nor'easter low pressure system that developed on a cold front that moved through the area on the 15th. Prior to that, unseasonably mild air helped push high temperatures as high as the 70s. A strong high pressure system moved across nearby Canada and supplied a fresh supply of cold air into the region. Meanwhile, the low pressure system formed over South Carolina and Georgia on the morning of the 16th and moved northeast. At 2 p.m. EDT on the 16th, it was near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina; at 8 p.m. EDT that evening, it was just east of Virginia Beach; at 2 a.m. EDT on the 17th, it was about 100 miles east of Atlantic City, New Jersey and was about 100 miles south of Cape Cod, Massachusetts at 8 a.m. EDT on the 17th. As central pressures go, this was not particularly a powerful system; it was only 996 millibars the morning of the 17th. What contributed to the event, was the strong high pressure system (about 1040 millibars the morning of the 16th). It supplied the fresh cold air needed to change the precipitation over to sleet and freezing rain and increased the pressure gradient (and consequently the wind) between itself and the developing nor'easter low pressure system.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 15, 11:10 PM EST, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 11:10 PM EST, 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1210 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007

.MARINE UPDATE...

DECIDED TO UPGRADE SCA TO GALE WARNINGS FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR OUR
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF LITTLE EGG INLET AND FOR THE LOWER DELAWARE
BAY. OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN SHOWING GALE FORCE GUSTS IN AND NEAR THE
LOWER DEL BAY THIS MORNING. WINDS AT BUOY 44009 HAVE BEEN LESS..BUT
THINK THEY WILL INCREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON AS DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND AT LEAST SOME GALE FORCE
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. AFTER THE SURFACE LOW PASSES BY THIS EVENING AND
HEADS TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW AT
SCA STRENGTH...WITH SOME GALE FORCE GUSTS NORTH OF LITTLE EGG.

.AVIATION UPDATE...

HAS BEEN A CHALLENGING AVIATION FCST MORNING WITH THIS RATHER
COMPLEX WX SITN. COLD AIR NEAR THE SURFACE HAS CONTD TO FILTER IN
FROM THE NORTHEAST. TEMPS HAVE BEEN FALLING MOST PLACES DURG THE
MORNG AND PRECIP AT TTN/PNE/PHL HAS CHANGED OVER TO PL OR MIXED RA
AND PL. TEMPS THIS AFTN WILL LIKELY HOVER JUST BELOW OR JUST ABOVE
FRZG AND MIXED PRECIP SHOULD CONT. ABE/RDG ARE DEEPER IN COLD AIR
AND SHOULD SEE MOSTY SNOW...WHILE ILG/MIV/ACY SHOULD BE MOSTY RAIN
THIS AFTN. CIGS/VSBYS ARE MOSTLY IN THE MVFR RANGE ATTM...BUT SHOULD
TREND MORE TOWARDS IFR AS THE PRECIP INTENSITY INCREASE THIS AFTN.

.UPDATE...
SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE MORE SLEET OCCURRING OVER CHESTER AND
DELAWARE COUNTIES AND EVEN KPHL AND KVAY MIXING WELL AS OF THE MID
MORNING. THE SEEMS LIKE THE COLD AIR MAY BE STUBBORN ACROSS THESE
AREAS TODAY AND MAY CAUSE MORE FROZEN PRECIP THAN EARLIER
THOUGHT. A TOUGH CALL. WE HAVE DECIDED TO MOVE UP THE STARTING
TIME...FOR THE ADVISORY...ALONG THE CHESTER - PHILADELPHIA -
MIDDLESEX COUNTY REGION TO IMMEDIATELY. ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET OR
SNOW AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES SEEM FEASABLE GIVEN THE ABUNDANT RETURNS
FROM RADAR HEADING THIS WAY AND THE OVERALL TEMPERATURE PROFILE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 555 AM EDT FRI MAR 16 2007/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
FORGET BASKETBALL IVE HEARD OF MARCH MADNESS, BUT THIS IS
RIDICULOUS. WE WERE CRUISING ALONG WITH NOT MUCH OF A WINTER, AND
ALL OF A SUDDEN THIS POWERHOUSE POPS UP OUT OF NOWHERE. ACTUALLY,
THE GFS LONG RANGE ABOUT A WEEK AGO CAME VERY CLOSE TO PAINTING
WHAT SEEMS TO BE ACTUALLY OCCURRING TODAY. THEN, THE MODELS GOT
OFF THE TRACK AND OSCILLATED AROUND A BIT, BEFORE COMING TOGETHER
FOR THIS MORNINGS SOLUTION. THE GFS IS JUST SLIGHTLY STRONGER
AND COLDER THAN THE NAM, BUT OVERALL THE TWO WORKHORSE MODELS ARE
VERY CLOSE IN POSITIONING AND STRENGTH.

THUS, CONFIDENCE IS LENT TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING. THE FLOOD
WATCH WAS LEFT INTACT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES, AND THE
WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WERE RETAINED
AS WELL, EXCEPT THAT PHILADELPHIA AND SURROUNDING AREAS WERE ADDED
IN TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS
MODEL SOUNDINGS ACTUALLY PROG FREEZING RAIN INTO THE MIX. THIS
SEEMS REASONABLE, AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL DOWN TO THE
FREEZING MARK OR JUST BELOW THIS EVENING.

REGARDING THE LARGE SCALE, THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DIVING
SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING SHOWS UP
QUITE WELL IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS SHOULD PHASE IN TO THE
SYSTEM DRIVING UP FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AND PROVIDE POTENT
LIFT THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO MUCH OF TONIGHT. FRONTOGENETIC
BANDING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR, WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS LIKELY
TOUCHING OUR NORTHERN ZONES. WE WILL TOP OUT AROUND 12 INCHES, BUT
IT ISNT OUT OF THE QUESTION TO GET EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS NORTH IF
TERRAIN INTERACTIONS AND MESOSCALE BANDING COMBINE TO PRODUCE
MORE, ESPECIALLY AS TEMPERATURES FALL. FURTHER SOUTH, 5 TO 10
INCHES WAS PROGGED FOR BERKS COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY NORTH
TO WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES.

ADVISORY TYPE SNOWS ARE STILL EXPECTED FOR AREAS JUST TO THE
SOUTH OF THE ABOVE-MENTIONED AREAS, BUT IF AREAS OVER
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY APPEAR TO BE
ACCUMULATING GOOD SNOWS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT,
LATER FORECASTERS MAY HAVE TO EXTEND THE WARNINGS ANOTHER TIER OF
ZONES DOWN. TIME WILL TELL AS THE PIECES FALL TOGETHER, OR FAIL TO
DO SO.

THE ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING,
WITH A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDS CONTINUING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

925 HPA WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ABOUT 50 KNOTS OVER
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING, BUT 1000 HPA
WINDS ARE ABOUT 70 PERCENT OF THAT, SO ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE
WINDY, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST, NO WIND ADVISORY APPEARS TO BE
NEEDED. LATER FORECASTERS SHOULD MONITOR THIS, HOWEVER, AS SOME
LOCALLY HIGH WIND GUSTS COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COASTS AS THE LOW
APPROACHES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NO OPPORTUNITY WAS AVAILABLE TO MASSAGE THE LONG-TERM GRIDS, BUT
A QUICK PERUSAL ASSURED THAT THEY WERE COLLABORATED AND BLENDED
WELL WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES. FORTUNATELY, THE PROBLEMS ARE ALL
IN THE SHORT TERM, AND THE LONG TERM LOOKS FAIRLY QUIESCENT, SAVE
FOR A WEAK FRONT SHEARING OFF TO THE NORTH MONDAY NIGHT.

HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH WAS LEFT INTACT, MEANING THE WATCH IS VALID TODAY
AND TONIGHT FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, AND POINTS SOUTH. HPCS QPF GUIDANCE WAS WEIGHTED
HEAVILY OVER OUR SOUTHERN ZONES, TOTALING 1.5 TO 3 INCHES. THIS
COULD CERTAINLY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS FOR OUR SMALLER AND
QUICK-RESPONDING STREAMS, SUCH AS THE ASSUNPINK AND THE RANCOCAS.
THE QPF WAS REVISED ABOUT A HALF INCH UPWARD ACROSS THE BOARD OVER
OUR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES.

AVIATION...
WITH THE NRLY FLOW, VSBYS HAVE BEEN MOSTLY VFR IN RAIN SO FAR. ABE
HAS CHANGED OVER TO SNOW, BUT IT IS ON THE EDGE OF THE PCPN SHIELD
AND SO VSBY THERE ALSO REMAINS MAINLY VFR. CIGS HAVE COME DOWN TO
MVFR OR IFR AROUND THE AREA. WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE MUCH OF A
DETERIORATION IN VSBYS WHERE PCPN REMAINS LIQUID, BUT EVENTUALLY THE
NWRN SITES WILL SEE A STEADIER RATE OF FROZEN PCPN THAT SHOULD CAUSE
VSBYS TO DROP. CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE IFR CATEGORY WITH
TIME. WINDS SHOULD BE OUT OF THE NNE AND GUSTY, BUT WE ARE NOT
FORECASTING WIND ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE WITH
HEIGHT IN THE LOWEST 2000 FT IN A SUFFICIENTLY STEADY MANNER TO
AVOID LLWS. WE EXPECT CIGS AND VSBYS TO BEGIN TO IMPROVE AROUND THE
END OF THE 06Z TO 06Z TAF PERIOD.

MARINE...
SEAS OVER THE SRN WATERS RUNNING A BIT ABOVE WAVE WATCH GUIDANCE
EARLY THIS MORNING, WHILE WINDS OVER THE NRN WATERS WERE TAKING A
BIT LONGER TO BUILD THAN WRF OR GFS BUFKIT SHOWED. INDICATIONS,
HOWEVER, ARE THAT NRN WATERS WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO AVOID AT LEAST
GALE FORCE GUSTS. SRN WATERS LOOK TO FLIRT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS FOR
AT LEAST A PORTION OF TODAY. WE HAVE RAISED GALES FOR THE NRN TWO
MARINE ZONES, AND WE HAVE SCAS GOING ELSEWHERE. WE HAVE MENTIONED
OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE GUSTS FOR THE SRN ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
LOWER DE BAY. FOR THE TIME BEING, THE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT UNTIL 09Z SAT, BUT IF BUFKIT IS CORRECT THEN AT LEAST SCAS
EVENTUALLY WILL HAVE TO EXTEND BEYOND THAT TIME.

TIDES...
BOTH THE ECS AND SSE GUIDANCE ARE INDICATING MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
WITH THE EVENING HIGH TIDE TODAY, WITH THE ECS GETTING CLOSE TO
MODERATE AT THE SITES WITH THE HIGHEST ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. USUALLY,
A SPLIT BETWEEN THE TWO WORKS REASONABLY WELL, AND AS OF 08Z A SPLIT
WAS COMPARING FAIRLY WELL WITH PRESENT OBSERVATIONS. GIVEN THAT WE
EXPECT RAIN TO BE OCCURRING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE, THE
FLOODING MAY BE OF A HYBRID TYPE, AND SO WE HAVE ISSUED A CFW FOR
THIS. THE GFS AND WRF ARE FAIRLY CLOSE ON THEIR DEPICTION OF THE SFC
LOW AT 12Z SAT, WHICH IS JUST A SHADE AFTER THE NEXT HIGH TIDE, AND
GIVEN ISALLOBARIC LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH THE DEEPENING SYSTEM THERE MAY
BE JUST ENOUGH OF A SHIFT IN THE WINDS TO OFFSHORE TO KEEP THE
SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES FROM BEING A PROBLEM. THIS IS NOT
CERTAIN BY ANY MEANS, ESPECIALLY OVER THE NRN NJ COASTLINE, AND
SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS MAY EXTEND THE CFW TO THE NEXT HIGH TIDE.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR PAZ054-055-
     060>062.

     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ068-069.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR PAZ067>071.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR PAZ067-070-071.

NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR NJZ001-007-
     008.

     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NJZ009-010.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR NJZ009-010-
     012-015.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR NJZ012>027.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR NJZ012>014-016-020>027.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ013-016>019.

DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR DEZ001>004.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT
     THIS EVENING FOR DEZ001>004.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR DEZ001.

MD...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-
     020.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR MDZ008.

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR ANZ431-452>455.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ431-452>455.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ450-451.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ430.

&&

UPDATE...PO

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 15, 4:47 AM EST, 19 hours 13 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161000-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR FAR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY AND
THE SOUTHERN POCONOS OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY UNTIL LATE
TONIGHT...AND A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT.

ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW MELT TO THE NORTH MAY INCREASE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE TO SNOW BY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. FIVE
TO TEN INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW MAY BE OF THE
HEAVY AND WET VARIETY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161000-
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW MELT TO THE NORTH MAY INCREASE THE
THREAT OF FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND A
WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE TO SNOW TOWARD DAYBREAK FRIDAY. FOUR TO
EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW MAY BE OF THE HEAVY AND
WET VARIETY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NJZ009-010-PAZ068-069-161000-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. ONE
TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND A WINTER
STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT.

RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE TO SNOW AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY. FOUR TO
SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW MAY BE OF THE HEAVY
AND WET VARIETY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012>020-026-027-PAZ067-070-071-161000-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-
SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY...AND FAR SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ONE TO TWO
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.

RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. TWO TO FOUR
INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COAST. THE SNOW MAY BE OF THE HEAVY AND WET VARIETY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-161000-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...AND
SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ONE TO TWO
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ450>455-161000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. GALES
MAY DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ANZ430-431-161000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
547 AM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 15, 8:55 PM EST, 3 hours 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
955 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012>022-025>027-PAZ067-070-071-161100-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...MEDIA
955 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2007

...A LATE WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...

A COLD FRONT DROPPED DOWN ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES
TODAY. THE COLD AIR PUSHING DOWN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SET THE
STAGE FOR AN EAST COAST WINTER STORM. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING
OVER THE GULF COAST STATES WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE FRIDAY AND TO A POSITION NEAR THE
EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF GULF AND ATLANTIC
MOISTURE. AS THE MOISTURE RUNS INTO THE COLD AIR STREAMING
DOWN FROM THE NORTH, A CONGLOMERATION OF WINTER WEATHER WILL
OCCUR, THE WORST BEING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 95.

PRECIPITATION FALLING AS RAIN TONIGHT...WILL MIX WITH AND THEN
CHANGE TO SNOW AND SLEET LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. NORTHERN AREAS SHOULD SEE
ACCUMULATIONS LATE IN THE DAY WHILE THE SOUTHERN AREAS MAY NOT
SEE MUCH SNOW OR SLEET UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS. BECAUSE OF THE
RECENT WARMTH...THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE SLOW TO ACCUMULATE
AT FIRST. HOWEVER...TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IS
POSSIBLE FROM LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT OVER
NEARBY PHILADELPHIA SUBURBS AND NORTHEAST ALONG THE INTERSTATE
95 AND ROUTE ONE CORRIDORS. IN AND AROUND PHILADELPHIA, AND
JUST TO THE SOUTH, ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY OCCUR. HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST WELL TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA,
WHERE WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. THE
SNOW COULD BE OF THE WET AND HEAVY VARIETY...AND ALONG WITH ANY
SLEET...WOULD MAKE CLEARING OF ROADWAYS DIFFICULT. HAZARDOUS
TRAVELING CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATER FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY.

STAY TUNED TO SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR
TUNING INTO TO YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR TV STATION.

RPW

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

13 winter weather, 4 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Sussex

When: March 16, 12:00 AM EST to March 17, 3:00 AM EST
Where: Sussex forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 41.140, -74.690 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Warren

When: March 16, 12:00 AM EST to March 17, 1:00 AM EST
Where: Warren forecast zone
Deaths: 1 direct, 0 indirect
Injuries: 0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.857, -74.997 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Morris

When: March 16, 12:00 AM EST to March 17, 1:00 AM EST
Where: Morris forecast zone
Injuries: 0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.862, -74.544 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Hunterdon

When: March 16, 1:00 AM EST to March 17, 1:00 AM EST
Where: Hunterdon forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.567, -74.912 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Somerset

When: March 16, 1:00 AM EST to March 17, 2:00 AM EST
Where: Somerset forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.564, -74.616 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Middlesex

When: March 16, 6:00 AM EST to March 17, 3:00 AM EST
Where: Middlesex forecast zone
Injuries: 0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.440, -74.409 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Mercer

When: March 16, 6:00 AM EST to March 17, 6:00 AM EST
Where: Mercer forecast zone
Injuries: 0 direct, 4 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.283, -74.702 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Camden

When: March 16, 8:00 AM EST to March 17, 5:00 AM EST
Where: Camden forecast zone
Injuries: 0 direct, 9 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.804, -74.960 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Northwestern Burlington

When: March 16, 8:00 AM EST to March 17, 5:00 AM EST
Where: Northwestern Burlington forecast zone
Injuries: 0 direct, 20 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.878, -74.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Gloucester

When: March 16, 8:00 AM EST to March 17, 1:00 AM EST
Where: Gloucester forecast zone
Deaths: 0 direct, 4 indirect
Injuries: 0 direct, 14 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.717, -75.142 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Western Monmouth

When: March 16, 9:00 AM EST to March 17, 3:00 AM EST
Where: Western Monmouth forecast zone
Injuries: 0 direct, 7 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.288, -74.158 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Eastern Monmouth

When: March 16, 9:00 AM EST to March 17, 3:00 AM EST
Where: Eastern Monmouth forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.288, -74.158 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Salem

When: March 16, 9:00 AM EST to March 17, 12:00 AM EST
Where: Salem forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.577, -75.358 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Western Ocean

When: March 16, 11:00 AM EST to March 17, 5:00 AM EST
Where: Western Ocean forecast zone
Deaths: 0 direct, 1 indirect
Injuries: 0 direct, 8 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.866, -74.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Southeastern Burlington

When: March 16, 1:00 PM EST to March 17, 5:00 AM EST
Where: Southeastern Burlington forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.878, -74.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Cumberland

When: March 16, 6:00 PM EST to March 17, 12:00 AM EST
Where: Cumberland forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.328, -75.129 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Western Atlantic

When: March 16, 7:00 PM EST to March 17, 12:00 AM EST
Where: Western Atlantic forecast zone
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 39.469, -74.634 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

Event	Date	Age	Sex	Where	Kind
Winter Storm, Warren	2007-03-16	66	Female	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Direct
Winter Weather, Gloucester	2007-03-16	23	Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Winter Weather, Gloucester	2007-03-16	39	Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Winter Weather, Gloucester	2007-03-16		Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Winter Weather, Gloucester	2007-03-16	79	Female	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Winter Weather, Western Ocean	2007-03-16			Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect

What these are

Winter Storm: A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Winter Weather: Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in New Jersey in 2007 Every state in 2007 This day in weather history Warnings in New Jersey, March 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 21385, 21386, 21387, 21389, 21390, 21391, 21394, 21388, 21395, 21398, 21392, 21393, 21399, 21396, 21400, 21401, 21402.