Montana, 2007

High Wind in Montana, November 15, 2007

November 15, 2007 · NWS TFX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Strong winds developed along the Rocky Mountain Front during the early morning hours. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph were common.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Strong winds developed along the Rocky Mountain Front during the early morning hours. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph were common.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 2:48 AM MST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 2:48 AM MST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
248 AM MST THU NOV 15 2007

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS OVER
CENTRAL MONTANA WITH A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO THIS RIDGE DURING THE
MORNING WITH RIDGING AGAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG
WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY NOON ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND PLAINS...AND THE
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL BE CONTINUED.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. THE CHANCE
FOR PRECIP OVER THE ROCKIES INCREASES BY MIDNIGHT FRIDAY AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES. THIS IS A SHALLOW...MAINLY OROGRAPHIC
LAYER AND DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. A BIG
INCREASE IN TEMPS TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD AND
STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS CONTINUE. THE AIRMASS BEGINS TO COOL TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY BUT EVEN WITH COOLING...TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE NORMALS. ZELZER

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...MEDIUM RANGE MODEL INDICATE
A MOIST ZONAL FLOW ACROSS OUR CWA...BRINGING MOISTURE ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA THAT
WILL BRING DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND THUS
INHIBITING PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.
BY MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MOVES
INTO WESTERN MONTANA FOR ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE SOUTHWEST. A WEAK SURFACE HIGH OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL
MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES LATER
IN THE DAY. BY TUESDAY...GFS MODEL HAS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE REGION WITH ANOTHER WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPPING
SOUTH INTO MONTANA ALONG WITH A CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH PUSHING
SOUTH INTO NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA TUESDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE
REST OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY. SO...WILL GO WITH AT LEAST A CHANCE
OF SNOW OVER THE NORTH AND EAST FACING SLOPES AS AN UPSLOPE FLOW
DEVELOPS. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF
MONTANA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
OVER WESTERN CANADA FOR A COLD NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT...FOR
THE COLDEST DAY SO FAR THIS SEASON.  WILLIAMSON DC

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...LATEST MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING IN ARCTIC
AIR AND A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH MID WEEK.
THURSDAY A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP COLD ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE. SAUCIER
&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 0540Z.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH CLOUDY SKIES AND INCREASING WINDS.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS BUILDING
DOWN THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT CAUSING AN INCREASE TO THE
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS. A DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW WILL BRING
LOWER CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION...WITH AREAS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE...ALONG AND OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT. CAMP

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  58  43  56  33 /   0  10  10  10
CTB  56  36  53  29 /  10  10  10  10
HLN  52  34  54  34 /  10  20  20  20
BZN  52  33  54  33 /   0  10  20  20
WEY  37  27  40  29 /   0  20  30  40
DLN  47  33  50  33 /   0  10  30  20
HVR  58  36  56  29 /  10  10  10  10
LWT  58  35  56  34 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 3 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR MTZ009-048.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 9:42 PM MST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
942 PM MST WED NOV 14 2007

MTZ009-048-151200-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-
942 PM MST WED NOV 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN
ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONALLY...ANOTHER PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ008-010>015-044>047-049>055-151200-
BEAVERHEAD-EASTERN GLACIER-HILL-CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-MADISON-TOOLE-LIBERTY-
EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-
JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
942 PM MST WED NOV 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
November 15, 4:01 AM MST to 6:50 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

A wind gust to 63 mph was reported at the Two Medicine DOT site.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
November 15, 5:00 AM MST to 6:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public

A gust to 60 mph was reported at Choteau 1NE.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, November 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 66395, 66397.