Secondary flood crests were observed at two locations in central and|northwest Missouri.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Secondary flood crests were observed at two locations in central and|northwest Missouri.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 11, 2:30 AM CST, 5 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 330 AM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007 .DISCUSSION... MAIN FORECAST CONCERN FOR THE SHORTER TERM IS WITH CHANCES OF RAIN TODAY. SCATTERED CONVECTION THAT WAS IN THE FORECAST AREA AT MIDNIGHT WAS AIDED BY RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET ACROSS GREAT LAKES. AS THIS JET PULLED AWAY FROM THE REGION...WE HAVE SEEN THE STORMS DIE OUT. FOR TODAY...MAIN FEATURE TO WATCH WILL BE WEAK NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH AND VORT MAX THAT WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST MISSOURI AT 12Z INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK PVA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...ALONG WITH UNCAPPED ATMOSPHERE AND CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S SHOULD SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WHERE BETTER MOISTURE REMAINS. THAT SHOULD BE IN THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING THERE FOR LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. VERY EARLY ON...HAVE CONCERNS ABOUT FOG...MAINLY IN SOUTHERN AREAS...WHERE DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE LOW 60S...AND SKIES ARE CLEARING ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS. AN AREA OF DENSE FOG HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. MAY SEE THIS AREA EXPAND AS TEMPERATURES SETTLE TO THE DEWPOINTS...BUT WINDS FIELDS OFF OF VWP SHOWING LITTLE ADVECTION POTENTIAL. THUS WILL KEEP MENTION OF FOG TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF MISSOURI RIVER. AT THIS POINT WILL NOT GO WITH ANY ADVISORY...BUT WILL ISSUE ONE IF IT APPEARS THE DENSE FOG WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD. FURTHER OUT...ON SATURDAY...FORECAST AREA ON THE EDGE OF THE UPPER RIDGE TO OUR WEST...AND TROUGHING OVER THE EAST. POSSIBLE WEAK DISTURBANCE SLIDING DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THIS RIDGE...WITH SOME HIGHER RH INDICATED OVER IOWA BY MIDDAY WITH EDGE OF CAP IN WESTERN IOWA. NAM AND GFS BOTH WANT TO PAINT SOME QPF ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THIS COULD DROP AS FAR SOUTH AS EXTREME NORTHWEST MISSOURI. WILL NOT INTRODUCE POPS JUST YET BUT SOMETHING TO BE WATCHED. NEXT GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN WILL LIKELY NOT COME UNTIL LATER ON MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY AS SURFACE FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE AREA. TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD SEE A NICE WARM UP...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI WHERE 850 TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AROUND 15C. WILL GO MID 80S IN THAT AREA...WHERE SUNSHINE MAY HELP TO BOOST TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE TO GO A LITTLE SUPERADIABATIC. PC && .AVIATION... /128 AM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007/ FAIRLY QUIET TONIGHT WITH THE FEW THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE AREA NOW DISSIPATED. FEW TO SCT MID LEVEL DECK HANGING AROUND BUT THIS SHOULD SLOWLY ERODE OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH CLEARING SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S...LEFT IN SOME LOWER VIS FROM 09-13Z WITH PATCHY FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. THIS SHOULD QUICKLY BURN OFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WITH SCT CU DEVELOPING ONCE AGAIN BY MID TO LATE MORNING. DEROCHE && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 600 AM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-121100- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 600 AM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON MAINLY IN AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PAOLA KANSAS TO HIGGINSVILLE AND MOBERLY MISSOURI. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Wakenda Creek near Carrollton crested at 21.65 feet, or 1.65 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River at Saint Joseph crested at 17.02 feet, or 0.02 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 69348, 69349.