A slow-moving thunderstorm formed along the eastern edge of very moist and unstable air over the Plains.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A slow-moving thunderstorm formed along the eastern edge of very moist and unstable air over the Plains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 1:42 PM CST, 5 hours 3 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 242 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 .DISCUSSION... MAIN CONCERN FOR THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE POPS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AND THEN THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. SEMI-PERMANENT H5 LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER EASTERN KANSAS/EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT CROSSED THE REGION YESTERDAY LIES JUST SOUTH OF THE CWA. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SPREAD DRIER AND COOLER HIGH PRESSURE FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE CWA. AS A RESULT... WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE THAT HASNT BEEN SCOURED OUT...EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA THIS EVENING AND THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE CWA ON SUNDAY. STARTING SUNDAY NIGHT...THE COMBINATION OF HIGH PRESSURE...LACK OF MOISTURE...AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SUPRESSING THE UPPER LOW OFF TO THE SOUTH AND WEST...WILL GO WITH 14 POP OR LESS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION...WILL THROW IN SCHC POPS ACROSS THE NORTH ONLY. WILL KEEP CHC POPS ON THURSDAY AS FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...AND THEN TAPER OFF POPS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD THEN KEEP THE REGION DRY THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR TEMPS...GENERALLY SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ETA AND GFS MOS NUMBERS. && .AVIATION... ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA. LOW CLOUDS WERE STARTING TO TAKE ON SOME CUMULUS ASPECT VS THE STRATUS THIS MORNING. SCT TSRA SHRA ALL DIRECTIONS FROM FA. THIS COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL HEATING RESULTED IN A TEMPO GROUP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DRY THINGS OUT THIS EVENING. MOST MODELS SUGGEST MORE PRECIP POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH INHERITING POPS IN PREVIOUS TAFS OPTED TO LEAVE PROB IN TAF FOR PAH AND CGI...KEPT EVV DRY FOR NOW. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && LONG TERM...JAP AVIATION...KH CN - CORRECTED FOR FORMAT ERRORS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 437 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-011000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 437 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE REGION TODAY...AND OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. BY FAR THE BEST CHANCES BOTH PERIODS WILL BE OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...WEST KENTUCKY AND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS SUNDAY...MAINLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. A STRAY STRONG STORM COULD STILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS RESULTING IN VERY ISOLATED FLOODING ISSUES. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION. AT THIS TIME SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. DRS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 457 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 MOZ107-108-302245- CARTER MO-RIPLEY MO- 457 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 ...VERY STRONG STORMS JUST WEST OF CARTER AND RIPLEY COUNTIES... AT 455 PM..RADAR DETECTED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS JUST WEST OF HANDY AND SOUTH OF FREMONT...IN FAR WEST SECTIONS OF CARTER AND RIPLEY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS WAS SLOWLY EAST UP TO 10 MPH...AND COULD AFFECT RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST CARTER AND NORTHWEST RIPLEY COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM. THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THESE STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 457 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 MOZ107-108-302245- CARTER MO-RIPLEY MO- 457 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 ...VERY STRONG STORMS JUST WEST OF CARTER AND RIPLEY COUNTIES... AT 455 PM...RADAR DETECTED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS JUST WEST OF HANDY AND SOUTH OF FREMONT...IN FAR WEST SECTIONS OF CARTER AND RIPLEY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS WAS SLOWLY EAST UP TO 10 MPH...AND COULD AFFECT RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST CARTER AND NORTHWEST RIPLEY COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM. THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THESE STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. CONTINUE TO MONITOR WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 655 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 MOZ108-010100- RIPLEY MO- 655 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS RIPLEY COUNTY... AT 655 PM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTH OF HANDY...OR 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF DONIPHAN... MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THROUGH 800 PM...THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN... FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY GUSTY WINDS AS IT PASSES NORTH OF BRIAR AND DONIPHAN. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN RIPLEY COUNTY AS WELL. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Ponding of water occurred on roadways, and a small amount of standing water collected in low-lying areas. Rainfall was measured at 1.5 inches within 45 minutes.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, June 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 31894.