A complex of thunderstorms propagated southwest from the Lower Ohio Valley into southeast Missouri. As the complex reached increasingly unstable air, an isolated severe weather event occurred.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A complex of thunderstorms propagated southwest from the Lower Ohio Valley into southeast Missouri. As the complex reached increasingly unstable air, an isolated severe weather event occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 2:00 PM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 300 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 .DISCUSSION... COPIOUS TSTM ACTIVITY WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN...ARRANGED IN A WEST TO EAST ORIENTATION...CONTINUED ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE PAH FCST AREA THIS AFTN. THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO STAY ON THE MOVE...SOMEWHAT LIMITING WIDESPREAD FLOODING POTENTIAL. THIS CONVECTION WAS ALONG A 925 MB CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY...AND LIFT WAS BEING ASSISTED BY PERTURBATIONS IN THE MID LEVEL FLOW. THIS LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO SURGE SWD FOR THE REST OF THE AFTN....AFFECTING MAINLY WRN KY AND FAR ERN MO. IN SOME CASES SFC WINDS HAVE TURNED TO THE NORTH ACROSS IL...BUT THE MAIN SURGE OF DRIER AIR NOW IN CENTRAL IL/IND CONTINUES TO MOVE SWD. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT...WITH THE SLIM POSSIBILITY OF TRIGGERING SOME CONVECTION ALONG IT. AFTER 12 FRI CONDITIONS SHOULD BE DRY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. AFTER 12Z SAT...FAST FLOW WILL BE SHUNTED TO THE NORTH AS HIGH SFC PRESSURE GETS ESTABLISHED OVER THE AREA. THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE DRY UNDER HIGH SFC PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. THE HEAT DOME EFFECT WILL BE IN FORCE THROUGH MON...AS AFTN TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER AND MID 90S. ENERGY ALOFT WILL BE WELL TO THE NORTH DURING THAT TIME. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT AN ILL DEFINED TROF IN THE 500 MB HEIGHT FIELD COULD MIGRATE NEWD FROM TX/OK/AR AND TOUCH OFF SOME SCATTERED CONVENTION OUR WAY EARLY IN THE WEEK. MEANWHILE...LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE EARLY NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF NRN STREAM MID LEVEL FLOW THAT SHOULD PUSH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY CLOSER TO THE PAH FCST AREA...ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE WEEK AROUND DAY 7...THANKS TO A VIGOROUS MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT /AS DEPICTED BY THE OPERATIONAL GFS/. THIS AGGRESSIVE SCENARIO IS NOT NECESSARILY DEPICTED BY THE OTHER MODELS...AND MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE NOT BEEN ALL THAT STABLE. THUS THE FCST PACKAGE WILL CONTAIN LIMITED CHANGES AS PERSISTENCE SEEMED BEST ATTM. BASICALLY THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF PCPN FROM TUE ON...WITH A TAPERING OFF BY THU NIGHT OR SO. TEMPS WILL MODERATE SOME AFTER TUE BUT EXPECT TYPICAL SUMMER HUMIDITY TO REMAIN THROUGH THU AT LEAST. && .AVIATION... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFFECTING KCGI AND KPAH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...EITHER PREDOMINANT OR IN THE VICINITY. LOOKS MORE AND MORE LIKE CONVECTION WILL STAY SOUTH OF KEVV. CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...BUT WITHIN...VSBYS WILL FALL BRIEFLY TO 1 MILE OR LESS WITH MVFR CIGS AND GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH. NO WX OVERNIGHT...WITH MVFR FOG EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND VFR SKY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && PUBLIC....DB AVIATION/SHORT TERM...CN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 952 AM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-061000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 952 AM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. GUSTY WINDS 30 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. THERE IS A CHANCE OF LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1237 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 ILZ084>094-KYZ007-010-013>016-020-021-MOZ076-086-087-051945- JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN- ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-LIVINGSTON-CRITTENDEN-CALDWELL-UNION KY- WEBSTER-HOPKINS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER- CAPE GIRARDEAU- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN... HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA... ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...SMITHLAND... MARION...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE... CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL... CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON 1237 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.. AT 1235 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR PERRYVILLE AND JACKSON MISSOURI TO VIENNA ILLINOIS TO MARION AND MADISONVILLE KENTUCKY. THESE STORMS WERE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THESE STORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND INTO WEST KENTUCKY. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD BE FROM JUST NORTH OF CAPE GIRARDEAU TO NEAR VIENNA ILLINOIS TO MARION KENTUCKY. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE STANDING WATER ON AREA ROADS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DITCHES...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY BECOME FULL OF WATER AND OVERFLOW. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 328 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 ILZ088>090-092>094-KYZ001>009-011-012-MOZ086-087-100-107>112-114- 052230- UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN- CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY- LYON-TRIGG-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER- STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...CAIRO... MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL... WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY... EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON... PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD... SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 328 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007 ...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WESTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON... AT 325 PM...DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR MARBLE HILL MISSOURI...ACROSS PADUCAH KENTUCKY TO NEAR BENTON AND MURRAY KENTUCKY. THE AREA WAS DRIFTING SOUTH. THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM AROUND SIKESTON AND CHARLESTON MISSOURI...TO MAYFIELD AND MURRAY KENTUCKY. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 53 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:15 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees were down on County Road 220.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 31911.