Isolated severe thunderstorms developed during the heat of the day. A weak surface trough across far southern Missouri and southern Kentucky aided storm development.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Isolated severe thunderstorms developed during the heat of the day. A weak surface trough across far southern Missouri and southern Kentucky aided storm development.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 1:46 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
246 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007
.DISCUSSION...
BIGGEST CHALLENGES FOR THIS PACKAGE WILL BE THE ALMOST DAILY CHANCES
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY.
EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK FRONTAL
SYSTEM CROSSES THE REGION. GREATEST PUSH OF DRY AIR OVERNIGHT WILL
BE ACROSS ILLINOIS...INDIANA ...AND WESTERN KENTUCKY...BUT THE FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO HANG UP OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...SO WILL KEEP MENTION OF POPS THERE ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
SHOULD KEEP THE REGION DRY ON SATURDAY...BUT BY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
THE COMBINATION OF SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH AND A
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST TO THE NORTH OF OUR
CWA...WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO
THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK SHOULD DEFLECT APPROACHING SYSTEMS
AROUND THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF OUR CWA. BY THE END OF
THE SEVEN DAY FORECAST CYCLE...MODELS ARE TRYING TO SUPPRESS THE
RIDGE SLIGHTLY BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INDICATE A SMATTERING OF
PRECIP ACROSS OUR NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES...BUT WILL FOLLOW
EVERYONE ELSES LEAD AND KEEP IT DRY AT THIS TIME.
&&
.AVIATION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. INCLUDED
TEMPO GROUPS FOR TSTMS AT KEVV AND KCGI FROM 19Z TO 23Z...AND WILL
AMEND KPAH IF AND WHEN TSTM ACTIVITY APPROACHES. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS...GUSTY AT TIMES...WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ANY TSTM ACTIVITY LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WILL BE ISOLATED...SO DID NOT INCLUDE IN TAFS
OR TWEB ROUTES AT THIS TIME.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
BALLARD-CALDWELL-CALLOWAY-CARLISLE-CHRISTIAN-CRITTENDEN-
DAVIESS-FULTON-GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-
LYON-MARSHALL-MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-TRIGG-UNION
KY-WEBSTER.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
BOLLINGER-BUTLER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW
MADRID-PERRY MO-RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.
IL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #603 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FOR
WAYNE...EDWARDS...WABASH...HAMILTON...AND WHITE COUNTIES. HEAT
ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ALEXANDER-EDWARDS-FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON
-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-
UNION IL-WABASH-WAYNE IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.
IN...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #603 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FOR
GIBSON...PIKE...POSEY...VANDERBURGH...WARRICK...AND SPENCER
COUNTIES. HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.
&&
SHORT TERM...JAP
LONG TERM....JAP
AVIATION...RTHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 133 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-171845- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 133 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM PIEDMONT MISSOURI...TO PADUCAH...TO HOPKINSVILLE KENTUCKY. DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS. THE COMBINATION OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HEAT INDEX READINGS FROM 105 TO 110 OVER MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY DRY VEGETATION WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF WESTERN KENTUCKY UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. AN ISOLATED STORM MAY BRIEFLY PULSE UP TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. ANY STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY MAY LEAD TO HEAT INDEX READINGS IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. SMALL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRS/JP/PS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 219 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007 ILZ076>078-082-083-INZ081-082-085>088-162045- EDWARDS IL-GIBSON IN-HAMILTON IL-PIKE IN-POSEY IN-SPENCER IN- VANDERBURGH IN-WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE IL-WHITE IL- 219 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007 ...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA... STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUMBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THE STRONGEST LINE WAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 64 CORRIDOR. THIS AREA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. IF IT HOLDS TOGETHER...THE STORMS WILL AFFECT COMMUNITIES NEAR CARMI ILLINOIS AND THE REST OF THE EVANSVILLE TRI STATE. GUSTY WINDS..FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
236 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0120 PM TSTM WND DMG MOUNT CARMEL 38.42N 87.77W
08/16/2007 WABASH IL EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES DOWN ON HOUSES ON THE WEST END OF MT. CARMEL
ILLINOIS. THERE ARE ALSO POWER OUTAGES.
&&
DLLThe Memphis radar (KNQA), 151 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:53 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter estimated wind gusts from 60 to 65 MPH.
In south Van Buren, extensive tree damage occurred at a campground and adjacent private property. A canoe trailer was blown over.
Some trees were blown down. The roof of an old pole barn was blown off. The damage occurred very near the Bollinger County line.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, August 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 48122, 48121, 54026, 48123.