A strong low pressure system tracked east along the Gulf Coast. Heavy rain associated with the system produced flash flooding over North Mississippi.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
A strong low pressure system tracked east along the Gulf Coast. Heavy rain associated with the system produced flash flooding over North Mississippi.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 5, 3:39 AM CST, 6 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 339 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007 .DISCUSSION... CURRENTLY...A POWERFUL 500 MB CLOSED LOW IS LOCATED OVER LOUISIANA WHILE THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS MOVING ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE. TUPELO HAS RECEIVED ALMOST 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN FROM THIS EVENT. TODAY...THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH RAIN ENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST ALONG THE TENNESSEE RIVER...TAPERING OFF TOWARD THE WEST. PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES AROUND 1 MILE. WILL ADD FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING. AS THE LOW TRACKS EAST OF THE AREA SOME CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE WEAK OVERNIGHT AND WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AROUND FROM RECENT RAINS EXPECT SOME FOG TO DEVELOP. SATURDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STALLED ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. TEMPERATURES...THOUGH SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN TODAY...WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL. SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS AN UPPER TROF APPROACHES ON SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH. BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI WITH DECREASING CHANCES HEADING NORTH AND WEST. GFS ENSEMBLES AND THE NAM ARE A LITTLE MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS WITH PRECIP CHANCES SO HAVE ELECTED TO UNDERCUT MAV POPS ABOUT 20 PERCENT SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL END FROM WEST AND EAST ON SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW AND UPPER TROF MOVES QUICKLY EAST. MEANWHILE A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROF WILL PLOW INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DELIVERING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE MID SOUTH BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. EXTENDED...GFS AND ECMWF IN TERRIFIC AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE WITH A A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES CARVING A SHORT LIVED TROF OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER AND MORE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR AREA FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 62 51 60 42 / 20 10 20 40 MKL 63 47 59 40 / 40 10 20 40 JBR 59 47 56 37 / 20 10 20 20 TUP 65 49 63 46 / 30 10 20 60 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. && SJM
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 113 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:46 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain caused flash flooding at West Jackson Avenue, South Lamar Avenue and the off ramp of Highway 30 and Highway 7 in Oxford.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, January 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 11379.