A complex storm system took shape at the end of December and brought a round of elevated hail storms to the region. The hail storms occurred as a warm front and deeper moisture surged northward during the early morning hours, generally between 1 and 6 am and were scattered about the forecast area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A complex storm system took shape at the end of December and brought a round of elevated hail storms to the region. The hail storms occurred as a warm front and deeper moisture surged northward during the early morning hours, generally between 1 and 6 am and were scattered about the forecast area. The hail stones ranged between penny and quarter size and caused little to no damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 27, 9:10 PM CST, 4 hours 29 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 910 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007 .DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED CONSIDERABLY IN AREAS WHERE SKIES HAVE CLEARED SO HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO DROP OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS AT MOST LOCATIONS. SECOND CLOUD DECK THAT IS ALREADY LIFTING INTO SRN AND WRN ZONES WILL STEM COOLING. WILL SEE INCREASING TEMPERATURES AFTER MIDNIGHT SRN AREAS BEHIND THE WARM FRONT. LATEST RUC CONTINUES TREND OF LIFTING THE WARM FRONT WELL INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNRISE AND CONFIRMS THE EARLIER MODEL FORECASTS OF AN INTENSE 850 MB JET DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. && .PREV DISCUSSION...242 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007 MODELS ALL FORECAST A POTENT STORM SYSTEM TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO RETURN RAPIDLY NORTH AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ACROSS OUR AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT. THIS CAN ALREADY BE SEEN OCCURRING ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO HELP FUEL AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED IN NATURE SINCE THE SURFACE AIR WILL STILL BE COOL. THE SEVERE RISK IS LOW TONIGHT BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW STORMS PRODUCING HAIL. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES JUST NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL INTRODUCE A SURFACE-BASED UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA...ROUGHLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE. WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS IN PLACE...THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME SUPERCELL STORMS ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES. ALSO... A DAMAGING WIND RISK WILL DEVELOP AS THE COLD FRONT ACCELERATES EASTWARD. THE STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY TONIGHT WITH AN INITIAL FALL ESPECIALLY WHERE SKIES CLEAR. HOWEVER...AS THE WINDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT EXPECT RISING TEMPERATURES. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE 50S IN THE DELTA REGION TO THE LOWER 70S NEAR HATTIESBURG. IN THE LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...MADE A FEW CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL PUSH TO THE EAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT BY LATE SATURDAY A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AND THE SURFACE FRONT WILL WAVE BACK TO THE NORTH BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. THE MODELS ARE PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH THIS AND THE EURO ACTUALLY PUSHES THE PRECIP FURTHER TO THE NORTH THAN THE GFS. THERE SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER...BUT FOR THE MOST PART HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE GREATEST RISK. THE GFS IS INDICATING A GENERAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAIN FOR AREAS EXTENDING FROM NATCHEZ TO MERIDIAN. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST AND THE MODELS ARE ALL PRETTY CONSISTENT ON A PRETTY COLD AIRMASS PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. RAISED POPS ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20 AND CUT BELOW GUIDANCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS STRONG DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE. STUCK PRETTY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS FAR AS TEMPS GO...BUT DID CUT WELL BELOW GUIDANCE HIGHS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE GFS/EURO ARE INDICATING H850 TEMPS RANGING FROM -10 TO -7 ACROSS THE AREA AND THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION ALL DAY WILL EQUATE TO HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA BOTH DAYS. GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS INDICATE EVEN COLDER AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS...BUT WILL STAY SLIGHTLY CONSERVATIVE FOR NOW./15/ PREVIOUS LONG TERM...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAST AND PROGRESSIVE...BUT AMPLIFIED...AS WE GO THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL RIPPLE ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY RESULTING IN STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND A ROUND OF MDT-HVY RAINFALL OVER SE PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD STAY SE OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR THIS EVENT...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL HAVE ENOUGH CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO GET ELEVATED TSTM ACTIVITY IN ANY CASE. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM SLIGHTLY AS THE LOW-LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH WEAKENS AND SFC PRESSURES LOWER. BY EARLY TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY FURTHER RESULTING IN A MAJOR ERN CONUS TROUGH AND A COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF VERY CHILLY AIR. FAST NORTHWEST FLOW SHOULD SEND THE FIRST DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A STRONGER SURGE OF COLD AIR RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST ONE. RECENT RUN-TO-RUN TRENDS IN ALL GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE BRUNT OF THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL TEND TO STAY E OF THE FORECAST GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE +PNA PATTERN. STILL...MEX GUIDANCE IS SHOWING LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS OVER NC/NE PORTIONS OF MS FOR NEXT WEDNESDAY MORNING...QUITE A DEPARTURE FROM CLIMATE NORMAL FOR A DAY 6/7 PERIOD. /EC/ && .AVIATION...WILL SEE CLOUD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER NRN ZONES FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO BEFORE THE NEXT CLOUD DECK REDEVELOPS FROM THE WEST AND SOUTH. CLOUD BASES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN AT MVFR FROM 15-30K. PATCHES OF IFR FOG CAN BE EXPECTED DUE TO BRIEF CLEARING...ESPECIALLY OVER ERN ZONES. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT...STARTING FROM THE WEST WHERE RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. && 03
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 148 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 282000- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 148 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY .SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND THEN MOVE OFF TO THE EAST BY FRIDAY NIGHT. INSTABILITY AND WIND ENERGY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION BUT THE AREA UNDER THE HIGHEST RISK IS SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD WITH THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDING A FEW TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. SCW
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1253 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007 ARZ074-075-MSZ018-034-280725- ASHLEY AR-CHICOT AR-BOLIVAR MS-WASHINGTON MS- 1253 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS AS WELL AS PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED OVER MONTROSE NEAR THE CHICOT AND ASHLEY COUNTY LINE AT 1253 AM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. PEOPLE IN ASHLEY...BOLIVAR...CHICOT AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES... INCLUDING THE CITY OF LAKE VILLAGE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. MRM
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 180 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:39 UTC.
12 hail, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
A swath of penny to quarter size hail fell from Merigold to the intersection of Parchman Road and the Sunflower County line.
A swath of penny to half dollar size hail fell from near Holly Springs to the Hathorn Community.
A swath of penny to quarter sized hail fell from about 6 miles north of Ethel to French Camp. The storm continued to produce hail as it moved into Choctaw County.
A swath of penny to quarter size hail fell across a small portion of north-central Webster county.
A swath of penny to quarter sized hail fell from just east of French Camp to about 6 miles north of Weir.
A swath of dime to penny hail fell across a large portion of Simpson County.
A swath of dime to penny hail fell across the northwest portion of Smith County. This hail storm moved out of Simpson County, tracked across northwest Smith County, and continued into southern Scott County.
A swath of penny to quarter sized hail fell from just west of Homewood to just northeast of Forest. This was the same hail storm which moved across Simpson and Smith Counties.
A swath of penny to quarter size hail fell across a portion of Marion County.
A home sustained heavy damage after being struck by lightning.
A swath of dime to quarter size hail covered the ground from Tucker to near the Deweese Community.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, December 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 68837, 68850, 68842, 68855, 68846, 68838, 68859, 68860, 68867, 68868, 68871, 68872, 68874.