An isolated severe thunderstorm occurred ahead of a cold front that extended from central Illinois to southern Missouri.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
An isolated severe thunderstorm occurred ahead of a cold front that extended from central Illinois to southern Missouri.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 2:30 AM CST, 6 hours 14 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 330 AM CDT MON NOV 5 2007 .DISCUSSION... WARM AIR ADVECTION IS SETTING UP NICELY ACROSS THE AREA AS 850 WINDS TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST. BOTH NAM/GFS SUGGEST SOME CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN THE OHIO RIVER AREA BY LATE THIS MORNING. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH THUNDER NO PROBLEM. IN FACT SOME ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND WILL PUT IN HWO. CAPE VALUES AROUND 1500 AND 0-8 KM SHEAR OF 50 KTS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN KENTUCKY IF THE NAM IS CORRECT. GFS ALSO HINTS AT CONVECTION...BUT PARAMETERS ARE GENERALLY LOWER. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW FOLLOWING BUFKIT SOUNDINGS AND EXPECTED MIXING. THE COLD FRONT ITSELF IS STILL OVER NORTHWEST IOWA AT 08Z. AS THE ASSOCIATED 500MB TROUGH RAPIDLY DEEPENS...EXPECT SURFACE FRONT TO MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST AND BE THROUGH THE AREA BY 03Z. BEHIND THE FRONT...VERY COLD AIR IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. 850 TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST BY THE NAM TO BE FROM -4 TO -6 WITH THE GFS A BIT WARMER WITH -2 TO -4 C BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAY BE A HARD FREEZE...BUT THERE IS ONE POTENTIAL ISSUE. WILL THE WIND GO COMPLETELY CALM? IF IT DOES...THEN A HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE OVER A GOOD PART OF THE AREA. BUT IF THE HIGH DOES NOT SETTLE IN AS QUICKLY AS EXPECTED...THE WIND MAY STAY UP ENOUGH TO KEEP SOME OF THE AIR MIXED AND WILL HOLD OFF THE COLD TEMPERATURES. DEW POINTS AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW AN ELEVATED MOIST LAYER THAT SHOULD MIX DOWN THIS MORNING AND RAPIDLY INCREASE OUR DEW POINTS. PLUS DEW POINTS ARE ALREADY IN MID 50S IN ARKANSAS. FEEL THAT MOS GUIDANCE IS WAY OFF FOR DEW POINTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOUNDINGS AND RAW MODEL DATA SUGGEST UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 IN WESTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS ANOTHER REASON TO ANTICIPATE AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM IN THAT AREA. OTHERWISE...LOWERED DEW POINTS SLIGHTLY ON WEDNESDAY BASED ON SOUNDINGS. TEMPERATURES ARE TRICKY AS WELL. NAM IS COLDER IN GENERAL...GRIDDED MOS IS FOLLOWING THE GFS MORE THAN THE NAM. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT THROUGHOUT THE AREA. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT... RESULTING IN SOME MODEST WIND SHEAR THROUGH 2 KFT AGL...BUT NOT INTENSE ENOUGH TO MENTION IN THE 06Z TAFS. WITH THE STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE MOST AREAS WILL SEE A RAPID SATURATION IN THE 5-7KFT LAYER FROM WEST TO EAST STRADDLING 12Z. WINDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS WILL BECOME GUSTY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...THAT WILL BE SWEEPING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA FROM 15Z TO 21Z. WINDS WILL SHIFT QUICKLY TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 25 KTS AT TIMES INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS GETTING MORE EXCITED ABOUT SOME SHOWERS...IF NOT THUNDER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA FROM MIDDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON NEAR THE FRONT. DECIDED TO MENTION PREVAILING SHOWERS AT EVV AND OWB 17-19Z...BUT JUST A TEMPO GROUP FOR THE SAME TIME AT PAH...AND NOTHING MENTIONED AT CGI. VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN 5-6SM WITH -SHRA...AND CEILINGS MAY FLIRT WITH 3 KFT. LOW VFR CEILINGS WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO FAIR SKIES A FEW HOURS BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && FORECAST...PS AVIATION....DRS/RP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 502 AM CST MON NOV 5 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-061115- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 502 AM CST MON NOV 5 2007 /602 AM EST MON NOV 5 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF THE AREA TODAY. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY. THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS A SMALL POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS MORNING ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...THEN EXPAND BOTH TO THE EAST AND WEST THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS SHOULD EXIT THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF A HARD FREEZE WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON VETERANS DAY. AT THIS TIME THERE IS A SMALL POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS SYSTEM. THIS POTENTIAL WILL BE REASSESSED AS VETERANS DAY DRAWS NEAR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON. PS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 844 AM CST MON NOV 5 2007 INZ087-088-KYZ018>020-051515- DAVIESS KY-HENDERSON KY-MCLEAN KY-SPENCER IN-WARRICK IN- 844 AM CST MON NOV 5 2007 ...A STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT OWENSBORO BY 900 AM... A STRONG STORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OWENSBORO AREA AROUND 900 AM. PEA TO HALF INCH HAIL MAY COVER THE GROUND IN PLACES. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STORM. KH
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 76 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:46 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Nickel-size hail was reported on the west side of Owensboro at the bypass and Highway 60 West. Dime-size hail fell downtown.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, November 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 64257.