Plenty of sunshine through the early afternoon of June 5th allowed for heating of the atmosphere. This heating caused unstable conditions to develop across Eastern Kentucky.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Plenty of sunshine through the early afternoon of June 5th allowed for heating of the atmosphere. This heating caused unstable conditions to develop across Eastern Kentucky. A cold front approached the area from the lower Great Lakes region during the afternoon hours. The instability, combined with the cold front, created numerous thunderstorms across Kentucky. Some of these storms were severe, producing large hail, up to half dollar size, and damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 5, 1:05 PM EST, 6 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 205 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007 .SHORT TERM.../THE REST OF TODAY/...UPDATED WILL BE ISSUING A QUICK UPDATE TO ADD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 349 UNTIL 9 PM FOR MUCH OF OUR CWA. INSTAB HAS INCREASED...AND WITH HEATING AND DYNAMICS...SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. LI/S HAVE DECREASED TO AROUND -3...WITH CAPES 750-1200 J/KG. THIS SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE EVENING...ALONG WITH A SURFACE FRONT AND H5 VORT MAX SWINGING THROUGH. THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... /THE REST OF TODAY/ 14Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM NEAR BUF SOUTHWEST TO JUST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOWS UP WELL IN THE WATER VAPOR LOOP...UP TO 12Z...AS IT DROPS SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHWEST INDIANA. AHEAD OF THIS...A BAND OF SHOWERS ARE PUSHING EAST INTO SOUTHWEST OHIO. MEANWHILE...ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY...SKIES ARE PARTIALLY COVERED WITH CU...WITH SOME FAIRLY LOW CLOUD BASES AT 2K FEET OR LESS...QUITE A CHANGE FROM JUST A FEW DAYS AGO. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE AREA ARE ON TRACK WITH THE FORECAST...BUT CAN ALWAYS USE A LITTLE TWEAKING TOWARD CURRENT CONDITIONS. DO EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THAT SHORTWAVE AND ITS SFC COLD FRONT. THE FORECAST HAS THIS IN HAND...BUT WILL MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TOWARD CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RADAR TRENDS. UPDATES OUT SHORTLY. THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/ ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THERE IS STILL ENOUGH COLD AIR ALOFT TO BE ABLE TO GENERATE SOME LIFTED INDEX VALUES TO AROUND -2 THIS AFTERNOON. THE SHEAR WILL BE MARGINAL AND THE CAPE MAY GET IN THE 500 TO 600 RANGE. ALL IN ALL...THE CHANCES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS PRETTY LOW...HOWEVER ONE OR TWO MAY DEVELOP WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERSECTIONS OR CELL MERGERS. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE DIEING SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG WILL BE FORMING AND MAY BECOME DENSE IN PATCHES...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED RIVER VALLEYS AND IN LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE THE MOST RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WARM AND DRY. THE MODELS DID BACK OFF SOME OF THE HIGH TEMPERATURES AND I TRENDED THE TEMPS DOWN A LITTLE TO REFLECT THE MODEL TRENDS. .LONG TERM.../FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/ THE 18Z AND 00Z MODELS RUNS REALLY BACKED OFF THE WARMING TREND. DID A QUICK UPDATE TO THE LONG TERM TO REFLECT THE CURRENT MODEL TRENDS. A FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY. IT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN ON SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN. THEN ON SUNDAY...ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THE ONE CONCERN I HAVE IS THAT THIS WAS SUCH A BIG SWING IN THE PREVIOUS MODELS...THAT THE SWINGING IS NOT DONE YET. AS SUCH...MY CONFIDENCE LEVEL IS LOW FOR THE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY TIME FRAME. && .AVIATION.../12Z TO 12Z/ SOME VALLEY FOG AND STRATUS IS QUICKLY BURNING OFF THIS MORNING. MAY STILL BE A FEW SPOTS WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS...BUT WILL BE ALL VFR BY 8:30 AM. AFTER 16Z TODAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. CONDITIONS WILL BE GENERALLY MVFR IN THE SHOWERS...HOWEVER WILL DROP DOWN TO IFR IN THE VERY HEAVIEST SHOWER CORES. AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE CONVECTION WILL BE DROPPING OFF JUST IN TIME FOR SOME PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. THE PATCHY FOG WILL BE MOSTLY MVFR...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE SOME PATCHES OF IFR AS WELL...MOSTLY IN RIVER VALLEYS AND IN LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE THE MOST RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...JJ/WJM LONG TERM....JJ AVIATION...JJ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 120 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-062030- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 120 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN CROSS EAST KENTUCKY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT ONE OR TWO OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FROM THE STRONGER STORMS. SOME PATCHES OF DENSE FOG ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN RIVER VALLEYS AND AREAS THAT RECEIVE A LOT OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. JJ/GREIF
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 138 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007 KYZ050-051-051830- BATH-MONTGOMERY- 138 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT BATH AND NORTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... AT 138 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SIDEVIEW...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR SIDEVIEW AROUND 145 PM EDT...GRASSY LICK AROUND 150 PM EDT...JUDY AROUND 155 PM EDT...MOUNT STERLING AROUND 200 PM EDT...AND STOOPS AROUND 205 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. GREIF
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 76 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:12 UTC.
11 hail, 9 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Power pole a tree and power lines blown down on Bunker Hill Road.
Several trees down in the Lacy Creek area.
Numerous trees down near Route 1004.
Numerous trees down on Route 460 at Millard High School.
Hail fell on Powell St in Millard near Fishtrap Dam.
Nickel size hail fell for over minutes in downtown Manchester.
Numerous trees down near Route 1004.
Numerous trees down countywide.
Large limbs down on Christopher Road.
Trees down along parkway.
Public report via dispatcher.
Multiple large limbs blocking the roadway.
Hail fell on Mt. Carmel area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 41989, 41990, 41991, 41992, 41993, 44919, 44920, 44923, 44925, 44932, 44934, 44936, 44937, 44938, 44940, 44941, 44943, 44944, 44946, 44948.