Thunderstorms developed in unstable air ahead of an approaching cold front on the afternoon of June 28. One of the storms became severe, causing downed trees in Morgan county.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed in unstable air ahead of an approaching cold front on the afternoon of June 28. One of the storms became severe, causing downed trees in Morgan county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 28, 12:34 PM EST, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 134 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2007 .SHORT TERM.../THE REST OF TODAY/ MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS TO THIS MORNINGS FORECAST. FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS WAS TO INCREASE HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON...BASED ON LATEST TRENDS OBSERVED IN MORNING SURFACE OBS. ALSO DECREASED CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR REST OF TODAY...PER LATEST TRENDS OBSERVED IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NEW MAVMOS POP DATA. RECALCULATED WEATHER AND QPF GRIDS PER CHANGES MADE TO POPS. LASTLY...MORNING AND AFTERNOON WORDING WERE REMOVED FROM ZONE FORECAST TEXT PRODUCT. THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/ A WEAK SHORT WAVE AND A COUPLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE KEEPING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION GOING EARLY THIS MORNING. ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE ON THE WANE...BUT STILL WILL NEED TO CARRY LOW POPS EARLY TODAY. BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON AS ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES AHEAD OF FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. MOISTURE WILL BE PLENTIFUL...CLOSE TO 2 INCH PWAT...AND WILL SEE DECENT LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. WIND FIELDS AND INSTABILITY LOOK TO BE ENOUGH FOR SOME STORM ORGANIZATION...BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE TODAY. I LIKE THE WARMER MAV TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH AT LEAST SOME SUN EXPECTED. WELL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE SLOWER GFS FRONTAL FORECAST GIVEN ONLY A LIMITED MID LEVEL PUSH. BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN AREA-WIDE WILL BE TONIGHT AS FRONT INTERACTS WITH DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET TO PROVIDE WHAT SHOULD BE A WIDESPREAD RAIN EVENT. STILL ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY WITH TIMING AND CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION TO KEEP POPS JUST BELOW CATEGORICAL. ON FRIDAY FRONT WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA. MOISTURE REMAINS PLENTIFUL...SO WE SHOULD SEE CONTINUED GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. POPS TAPER FROM THE NORTH BEGINNING FRIDAY AS FRONT AND DEEP MOISTURE EXIT...BUT HAD TO CONTINUE POPS INTO SATURDAY OVER THE FAR SOUTH. MAV TEMPERATURES LOOK BEST THROUGHOUT. .LONG TERM.../SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/ FOR THE EXTENDED...WHAT WAS SEEN AS A POTENTIAL OMEGA BLOCK YESTERDAY ...HAS COME IN MORE PROGRESSIVE AND FLATTER FOR NEXT WEEK. WITH THIS TREND TO MORE ZONAL CONDITIONS...OUR PROSPECTS FOR MORE TEMPERATE WEATHER IMPROVE...AS THE HEAT WILL NOT BE ABLE TO BUILD AS MUCH OVER THE PLAINS BEFORE COMING EAST. THIS TYPE OF PATTERN SHOULD ALLOW MORE SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO AFFECT EAST KENTUCKY...IN BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW... THAN THE PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED BLOCK. IN THE MIDST OF A DROUGHT... THIS IS A GOOD THING. THE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A PLEASANT START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEK WITH RELATIVELY LOW HUMIDITY AND TEMPERATURES JUST ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL. THE HIGH PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS RESPITE FROM THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL MODERATE QUICKLY...THOUGH SO THAT BY INDEPENDENCE DAY THE MERCURY WILL AGAIN BE PUSHING 90 AS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST. AT THIS POINT...IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE CONVECTION...MIDWEEK...WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN...BUT THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ORGANIZED SYSTEMS COMING OUT OF THE HIGH PLAINS...GIVEN THE UPPER PATTERN. && .AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BOARD...WITH SCT TO BKN CLOUD DECK AT 3 TO 4K. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING AND WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH 22 OR 23Z. COULD SEE MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT AFFECT THE TAF SITES AT JKL...LOZ...AND SME. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS AT THIS TIME...SO LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM...EXCEPT FOR LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE A THUNDERSTORM. COULD SEE SOME MVFR FOG AFTER 4Z TONIGHT...AFTER THE SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DISSIPATED AND OR MOVED OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED NEAR THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD ON FRIDAY. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...JOHNSTONE/AR LONG TERM....JOHNSTONE AVIATION...AR
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 411 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2007 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-291115- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 411 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. STORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS TONIGHT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AREA WIDE ON FRIDAY...AND MAINLY IN AREAS NEAR THE TENNESSEE AND VIRGINIA BORDERS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. JOHNSTONE
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:03 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Six trees down near intersection of Highways 976 and 519.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 37251.