Scattered thunderstorms developed across the area on July 17, 2007. These formed in moist, unstable air across the region, interacting with a stationary frontal boundary.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed across the area on July 17, 2007. These formed in moist, unstable air across the region, interacting with a stationary frontal boundary. Some of the storms became severe, with damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 17, 12:24 PM EST, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 124 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 .SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/ CHALLENGING FORECAST FOR TODAY...GENERALLY CONCERNING COVERAGE OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THE AREA. FOR OUR SOUTHERN ZONES EXPECT CONVECTION TO FIRE IN THE SOUTH SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. BOTH THE GFS AND WRF 0Z RUNS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT...BRINGING SHORT WAVE ENERGY NORTHWARD FROM THE TN VALLEY AREA...WARRANTING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POPS FOR THE SOUTH. FOR OUR NORTHERN ZONES...INCREASED POPS SOLELY ON LATEST TRENDS OF THE REMNANTS OF AN MCS CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH ILLINOIS AND INTO INDIANA. PROGRESS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN FAIRLY STEADY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE WRF APPEARED TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT...SO LEANED TOWARDS IT/S SOLUTION WHICH BRINGS ACTIVITY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO JUSTIFY AN INCREASE IN POPS FOR THAT AREA AS WELL. OTHERWISE INHERITED FORECAST LOOKED VERY GOOD...ESPECIALLY TEMPS. DID NUDGE DAYTIME HIGHS UP JUST A DEGREE OR TWO LATE IN THE PERIOD AS ETA MOS GUIDANCE HAS LENDED CREDENCE TO THE WARMER MAV MOS BY TRENDING CLOSER TO IT/S TEMPS. .LONG TERM.../THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/ CONFIDENCE IN THE LONGER TERM FORECAST IS BUILDING A LITTLE BIT COMPARED TO THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE GFS IS MORE CONSISTENT... BOTH RUN TO RUN AND IN THE ENSEMBLE...ADVERTISING A MORE AMPLIFIED SOLUTION WITH A FASTER COLD FROPA. COLD FROPA NOW APPEARS MOST LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT. BUILDING ON THE CONFIDENCE OF THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS SOLUTION....HAVE INCREASED POPS THURSDAY NIGHT TO THE LIKELY CATEGORY. TAPERED POPS OFF FROM NW TO SE ON FRIDAY. ALSO ALLOWED POPS TO EXIT THE AREA A BIT SOONER WITH FASTER GFS SOLUTION...AND WITH SUPPORT FROM LATEST HPC GUIDANCE. CONSEQUENTLY...COOLER AND DRIER AIR SHOULD ARRIVE FOR THE WEEKEND. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW COOL/DRY THE AIR WILL BE. BUT WOULD NOT RULE OUT A STRONGER PUSH THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED IN THE FORECAST...AND LATER MODEL RUNS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR TRENDS. && .AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FIRE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND WILL PLAY HIT AND MISS WITH TERMINALS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH BRIEF VLIFR CONDITIONS WHERE THE STORMS HIT. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO DIE OFF AFTER SUNSET... ALTHOUGH THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES TO RIDE SOUTHEAST AT LEAST CLIPPING EASTERN KENTUCKY AND THAT WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND THEN EXPECT A REPEAT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING WITH THE HEAT OF THE DAY TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD TOMORROW. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...RAY LONG TERM....RAY AVIATION...ABE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 519 AM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-181100- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 519 AM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS IS TYPICAL WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING EACH DAY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AS IS TYPICAL WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. RAY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 158 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ059-060-171830- MENIFEE-POWELL- 158 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN MENIFEE AND POWELL COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... AT 158 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VAUGHNS MILL...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR KNOWLTON AROUND 205 PM EDT...ROSSLYN AROUND 210 PM EDT...BOWEN AROUND 215 PM EDT...LOMBARD AROUND 220 PM EDT... SLADE AROUND 225 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. ABE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 236 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ044-052-171845- FLEMING-ROWAN- 236 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT EAST CENTRAL FLEMING AND NORTH CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... AT 236 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MUSES MILLS... MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. ABE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 241 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ060-106-171915- MENIFEE-MORGAN- 241 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT WESTERN MORGAN AND EASTERN MENIFEE COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... AT 241 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR POMEROYTON... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. ABE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 304 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ104-106-171930- ELLIOTT-MORGAN- 304 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT WESTERN ELLIOTT AND NORTHERN MORGAN COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... AT 304 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WRIGLEY... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR LENOX AROUND 310 PM EDT...STEELE AROUND 315 PM EDT...LYTTEN AROUND 320 PM EDT...LITTLE SANDY AROUND 325 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. ABE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 336 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ116-117-172000- CLAY-LESLIE- 336 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CLAY AND NORTHWESTERN LESLIE COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... AT 336 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TANKSLEY... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ENLINE AROUND 345 PM EDT...BEAR BRANCH AROUND 350 PM EDT...PANCO AROUND 355 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. ABE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 345 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 KYZ104-172000- ELLIOTT- 345 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT EASTERN ELLIOTT COUNTY THROUGH 400 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... AT 345 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BRUIN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE OVER RURAL EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ELLIOTT COUNTY AROUND 350 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. ABE
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 49 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:44 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees down on Highway 11 southwest of Oneida and near junction of Highways 421 and 11.
Four trees down blocking lanes of Highway 846 near mile marker 1.
Trees and limbs down near the Highway 52 and 498 intersection.
Trees down on Highway 1144 near Beattyville and trees down on Highway 52 West near Mt. Olive.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 46138, 46139, 46140, 46141.