Montana, 2007

Damaging Winds in Montana, July 17, 2007

July 17, 2007 · NWS MSO · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

On July 17, a strong short wave trough moved to the northeast across West Central Montana during the evening hours. Isolated severe thunderstorms were able to mix down upper level winds to create isolated wind damage in both Lake and Sanders Counties.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$30,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MSO wrote it up.

On July 17, a strong short wave trough moved to the northeast across West Central Montana during the evening hours. Isolated severe thunderstorms were able to mix down upper level winds to create isolated wind damage in both Lake and Sanders Counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 17, 2:29 AM MST, 4 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 2:29 AM MST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
329 AM MDT TUE JUL 17 2007

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTING CLOSER TO THE
OREGON COAST HAS BEGUN TO PUMP SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD
TOWARDS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION. SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEARLY
SHOWS A DISTURBANCE MAKING ITS WAY NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST
NEVADA/SOUTHERN IDAHO EARLY THIS MORNING. THE AIR MASS REMAINS
WARM AND UNSTABLE WITH THE BIGGEST CHANGE FOCUSED AROUND
INCREASED MOISTURE...EXPANDING THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
THROUGHOUT NORTH-CENTRAL IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA. INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS WILL HELP HOLD TEMPERATURES DOWN IN INTO
THE UPPER 80S AND 90S IN MOST LOCATIONS. NORTHWEST MONTANA WILL
SEE SOME OF THE WARMER TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE LATER ARRIVAL OF
CLOUDS AND SHOWERS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT
WILL THE STRENGTHENING OF THE UPPER RIDGE AND MIGRATION OF DRIER
AIR INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY
MORNING. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN VERY WARM AND QUITE UNSTABLE.
THUS...AFTERNOON BUILDUPS AND ISOLATED LATE-DAY THUNDERSTORMS
ARE STILL IN THE FORECAST PICTURE...MAINLY ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND NORTHWEST MONTANA.

THURSDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW SYSTEM OFF THE OREGON COAST WILL
KICK INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS AN OPEN TROUGH AND SWEEP
NORTHWARD BRUSHING BY OUR WESTERN ZONES. THIS WILL EFFECTIVELY
SHOVE THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN MONTANA LATER IN
THE DAY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS ALOFT MIXING THE SURFACE AND AN
INCREASED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN INCREASED
WINDS. WINDS COUPLED WITH EXISTING HOT DRY CONDITIONS WILL RAISE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS...ESPECIALLY AFTER A CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE
PERIOD.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY TO
THE NORTH INTO CANADA A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP
BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO THE EVENING HOURS THURSDAY. THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO PUSH BACK TO THE NORTH AND ALLOW FOR
ANOTHER WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE CENTURY MARK AGAIN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
FRIDAY SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY. ON SATURDAY A WAVE OF ENERGY
WILL PASS THROUGH AND COUPLED WITH A RELATIVE INCREASE IN MOISTURE
WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PARTICULARLY
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE DURING THE AFTERNOON. A SIMILAR SETUP
WILL FORM ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS AS WELL AND SLIGHT
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ALONG THE DIVIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE IN SOUTHWEST
MONTANA THIS MORNING BUT WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA SHORTLY
AFTER SUNRISE. AIRCRAFT FLYING THROUGH THIS AREA AND AROUND THE
KBTM TERMINAL SHOULD BE AWARE OF POTENTIAL GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE STORM CELLS THIS MORNING. THIS AFTERNOON ANOTHER STORM
SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH AND WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH
ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS AND TURBULENCE LATE MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING THROUGHOUT WESTERN MONTANA AND NORTH CENTRAL
IDAHO...SEE APPROPRIATE TAFS AND TWEBS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE TODAY AS WELL
EXPAND INTO NORTHWEST MONTANA. THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO DRY AND
WARM...THUS RETURNING TEMPERATURE READINGS BACK TOWARDS NEAR RECORD
LEVELS ON WEDNESDAY.

THURSDAY...THERE IS A GROWING CONCERN THAT A COMBINATION OF
INCREASED WINDS...HOT DRY CONDITIONS AND EVEN A POTENTIAL OF
ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROVIDE AN ACTIVE
BURNING PERIOD.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
ID...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MSJ
LONG TERM....FOSTER
AVIATION...FOSTER
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 17, 5:06 AM MST, 2 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
606 AM MDT TUE JUL 17 2007

IDZ005>010-MTZ001>007-043-180030-
NORTHERN CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS-
OROFINO/GRANGEVILLE REGION-LOWER HELLS CANYON/SALMON RIVER REGION-
WESTERN LEMHI COUNTY-EASTERN LEMHI COUNTY-KOOTENAI/CABINET REGION-
WEST GLACIER REGION-FLATHEAD/MISSION VALLEYS-
LOWER CLARK FORK REGION-MISSOULA/BITTERROOT VALLEYS-
BITTERROOT/SAPPHIRE MOUNTAINS-BUTTE/BLACKFOOT REGION-
POTOMAC/SEELEY LAKE REGION-
606 AM MDT TUE JUL 17 2007 /506 AM PDT TUE JUL 17 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
IDAHO...NORTHWEST MONTANA AND WEST CENTRAL MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH THROUGH NORTH-
CENTRAL IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME STRONG PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEDNESDAY...THE AIR MASS WILL HEAT UP AND DESTABILIZE ONCE AGAIN
WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE ACROSS WESTERN MONTANA.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH FEW
STORMS NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER.

THURSDAY...A COMBINATION OF INCREASED WINDS...HOT DRY CONDITIONS
AND EVEN A POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO
NEAR 100 CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT
EACH DAY AS THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS UNSTABLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 40 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:22 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Sanders

When
July 17, 7:24 AM MST to 7:34 AM MST
Where
Sanders County, Dixon
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$30,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.320, -114.320

Spotter report from Dixon School of fences, power poles and large spruce trees with 2 1/2 diameter trunks broken and blown over.

Thunderstorm Wind, Lake

When
July 17, 7:00 PM MST
Where
Lake County, Ravalli
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
47.270, -114.180

Severe thunderstorm winds blew down a large tree and several large branches in Ravalli.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, July 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 42334, 39361.