Massive flooding due to snow melt is rare for western Kansas but this year was an exception.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.
Massive flooding due to snow melt is rare for western Kansas but this year was an exception.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 19, 3:05 PM CST, 8 hours 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 305 PM CST MON FEB 19 2007 .DAYS 1-2... FORECAST CHALLENGES TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY CENTER PRIMARILY ON TEMPERATURES...WITH VERY LIGHT PRECIP CHANCES LATE TONIGHT AS WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL RAOB ANALYSIS REVEALED UPPER LOW CENTER OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN BRANCH WESTERLIES. NORTHERN BRANCH WAS ALSO SOMEWHAT ACTIVE WITH A DISTURBANCE SWEEPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CANADIAN PRAIRIES. THIS HAS PUSHED A COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...THIS FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM CENTRAL IOWA SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...ALTHOUGH MODIFIED A BIT BY DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SUBSTANTIAL DOWNSLOPE PLUME OF VERY WARM AIR SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA WITH AFTERNOON TEMPS IN THE LOWER 70S JUST SOUTH OF THE DDC CWA. TONIGHT...A WEAK WAVE IS SHOWN IN THE NAM, GFS, AND UKMET TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE IN RESPONSE TO THE EJECTING SOUTHWEST LOW. THIS MID LEVEL LOW WILL SHEAR OUT AND WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...THUS LOWER TROPOSPHERIC DEVELOPMENT WILL BE VERY LIMITED. A SIGNIFICANT DEFICIENCY IN MOISTURE IS ALSO A BIG NEGATIVE FOR ANY NOTEWORTHY ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION. FROM 06-12Z SHOULD STILL SEE SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES PRIMARILY OVER THE NORTHERN CWA AS THE H8-7 BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHES SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. WILL HOLD ON TO THE 20 POPS IN THE NORTH THROUGH 12Z TUES. TUESDAY...SYSTEM WILL BE PUSHING SOUTHEAST OF DDC CWA DURING THE DAY WITH A VERY WEAK SURFACE ANTICYCLONE KEEPING WINDS PRETTY MUCH LIGHT AND VARIABLE. THE AFOREMENTIONED ACTIVE NORTHERN BRANCH WILL ALLOW FOR LEESIDE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG CANADA BORDER WHICH WILL HELP ALLOW LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. H85 TEMPS RANGING FROM +3 TO +5C BY LATE AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT HIGHS NEAR 50 AS A RULE...WITH LOWER 40S OVER THE DEEP SNOWPACK AREAS IN HAMILTON COUNTY. TUES NIGHT-WED...THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE POLAR WESTERLIES WILL BEGIN TO UNDERGO SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WHICH WILL PROMOTE MODEST HEIGHT RISES OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW LEVEL LEE TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN H85 TEMPS TO THE +10 TO +12C RANGE SUPPORTING HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S OVER MUCH OF THE CWA. WILL MAINTAIN A TEMPERATURE GRADIENT OVER THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CWA OVER THE SNOWPACK. -UMSCHEID .DAYS 3-7... ONLY REAL WEATHER STORY EARLY ON IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE TEMPERATURES. LEE TROF SETS UP BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY, TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S ACROSS NON SNOW-COVERED LOCATIONS (MID TO UPPER 40S OVER THE SNOWPACK). H85 TEMPERATURES OF +8C TO +11C BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. CONTINUE TO SEE THE H85 TEMPERATURES INCREASE ON THURSDAY AS 15 TO 25 KT LLJ USHERS IN H85 TEMPERATURES OF +10C TO +14C ACROSS THE CWA. WOULD EXPECT TO SEE SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE BY THURSDAY. THE WARMEST AIR APPEARS TO NOSE INTO FA BY FRIDAY. LLJ INCREASES TO NEAR +45KTS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS ON THE HEALS OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. H85 TEMPERATURES OF +12C TO +16C WILL GIVE US OUR WARMEST DAY OF THE YEAR THUS FAR. MODELS ARE STILL DEPICTING A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND. CONTINUE TO SEE A LOT OF FLIP FLOPS ON EXACT PLACEMENT OF SURFACE LOW (AS ONE WOULD EXPECT THIS FAR OUT) BUT MODELS STILL HOLDING ON TO SYSTEM. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE DEEP TROF WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS WESTERN CONUS BY 00Z FRI. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH UPPER LOW ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS BY 00Z SUN. AT SURFACE, GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN HAVE SIMILAR PLACEMENT OF LOW ACROSS EASTERN KS/EASTERN NE. BEST MOISTURE REMAINS JUST EAST OF CWA AT PRESENT BUT WRAP AROUND APPEARS LIKELY. SINCE THIS IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT AND EXACT PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH OF SYSTEM WILL PLAY A HUGE ROLE IN WHETHER OR NOT ANY PRECIPITATION FALLS ACROSS THE FA, WILL ONLY ADD CHANCE POPS FOR NOW. WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO INDICATE LOWER TEMPERATURES BEHIND SYSTEM SATURDAY. THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON AS NEW MODELS RUNS COME INTO PLAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS CWA DURING THE 8 TO 10 DAY TIME PERIOD. ONCE AGAIN, PLACEMENT OF SYSTEM AND STRENGTH WILL BE KEY TO WHETHER OR NOT PRECIPITATION OCCURS AND WHAT TYPE FALLS ACROSS CWA. AGAIN, THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP WATCH ON OVER THE COMING DAYS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 31 50 28 65 / 10 10 0 0 GCK 28 45 25 64 / 10 10 0 0 EHA 30 51 31 64 / 10 10 0 0 LBL 33 51 30 65 / 10 10 0 0 HYS 27 47 27 63 / 20 20 0 0 P28 36 54 31 65 / 10 10 0 0 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && FN25/30
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 350 PM CST MON FEB 19 2007 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-201100- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 350 PM CST MON FEB 19 2007 /250 PM MST MON FEB 19 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT STRENGTH AND TRACK. HOWEVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN KANSAS CAN EXPECT SNOW AND STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE STORM AS IT MOVES EAST. STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES TO THE FORECAST REGARDING THIS EVOLVING SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Snow melt produced widespread flooding, especially near and west of Johnson. Many roads were covered with water and many county roads were destroyed by the flooding.
Snow melt produced widespread flooding across the county. Many roads were covered with water and many county roads were destroyed by the flooding.
Snow melt produced widespread flooding across the county. Many roads were covered with water and many county roads were destroyed by the flooding.
Snow melt produced widespread flooding across the county. Many roads were covered with water and many county roads were destroyed by the flooding.
Snow melt produced widespread flooding across the county. Many roads were covered with water and many county roads were destroyed by the flooding.
Snow melt produced widespread flooding across the county. Many roads were covered with water and many county roads were destroyed by the flooding.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 18432, 18433, 18435, 18436, 18437, 18438.