Minor flooding occurred along stretches of the Ohio River. The flooding was due to several smaller rounds of rainfall during the first week of January, followed by a heavy rain event around mid-month.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Minor flooding occurred along stretches of the Ohio River. The flooding was due to several smaller rounds of rainfall during the first week of January, followed by a heavy rain event around mid-month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 13, 3:40 AM CST, 8 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 340 AM CST SAT JAN 13 2007 .DISCUSSION... HEAVY RAINFALL STILL LOOKS ON TRACK DURING THE COURSE OF THE WEEKEND. FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG COLD FRONT HAS NOW PUSHED THROUGH THE PAH AND EVV AREAS...BUT SHOULD NOT MAKE IT MUCH FURTHER SE BEFORE STALLING OUT LATER THIS MORNING OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF OUR EXTREME SE COUNTIES. SFC TEMPS HOVERING IN THE MID 30S OVER OUR FAR W AND NW COUNTIES...AND WILL NOT MOVE MUCH TODAY. MEANWHILE...TO THE SOUTH OF THE FRONT..TEMPS ARE IN THE LOWER 60S. TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY TODAY OVER SE AREAS...DEPENDING ON WHERE THE FRONT EVENTUALLY STALLS. BOTH THE 12Z NAM AND GFS HOLD THE FRONT UP OVER OUR FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE WEEKEND. PLENTY OF GULF MOISTURE WILL BE STREAMING NORTH OVER THE FRONT DURING THE PERIOD. IN ADDITION...A PIECE OF MID LEVEL ENERGY WILL EJECT OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW TONIGHT. THIS WILL ACT TO ENHANCE PRECIP ALONG THE FRONT...WITH HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE...ESP OVER THE MO BOOTHEEL AND INTO WRN KY. THEN...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL PROVOKE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE FRONT OVER SRN AR SUNDAY. THIS WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN TREK UP THE FRONT AND PRODUCE MORE HEAVY RAINS LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW IMMENSE SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM OF THE TROPOSPHERE...WHICH WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE WARM FRONT OVER OUR SE COUNTIES. SO IF ANY SHALLOW NEAR SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP IN THE WARM SECTOR...WHICH IS TYPICALLY UNDERFORECAST BY THE MODELS...COULD SEE A FINE LINE OR LEWP STRUCTURE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO. HOWEVER...WE ARE STILL NOT CURRENTLY IN ANY SPC SLIGHT RISK FOR DAY 2. THE MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SHOWALTER INDICES APPROACHING ZERO THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WITH K INDICES NEAR 30...SO WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE FORECAST IN THOSE AREAS. AS THE SURFACE LOW SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...SPREAD THE THUNDER CHANCES NORTH AND EAST OVER THE EASTERN 2/3 OF THE AREA. AS FOR WINTER POSSIBILITIES...NAM MODEL CONTINUES TO BE COOLER THAN THE GFS...AND SO FAR IS CLOSER TO REALITY. THUS...WILL LEAN HEAVILY ON MET TEMP PROFILES THROUGH THIS PACKAGE. ETA KEEPS OUR AREA ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...BEHIND MOST OF THE DEEP MOISTURE. STILL...WILL BE A WINDOW OF A FEW HOURS ON THE BACK SIDE OF PRECIP FOR IT TO GO OVER TO SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. WARM LAYER ALOFT REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...SO THINK THE CHCS OF LIGHT SNOW ARE MINIMAL UNTIL AFTER 12Z MON. WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A BRIEF MIX OR CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA MONDAY MORNING...BUT NOT ANTICIPATING ANY MAJOR PROBLEMS AT THIS TIME. SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL DROP SE INTO THE REGION MON NIGHT INTO TUE...BUT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED. NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING MORE THAN FLURRIES WITH ITS PASSAGE. HOWEVER...COLD AIR WILL COME IN ERNEST BEHIND THIS SYSTEM TUE NIGHT...WITH MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S EXPECTED BY WED MORNING. LEANED TOWARD THE COLDER MET MOS TEMPS IN THE NEAR TERM...AND KEPT TEMPS A BIT BELOW MEX MOST TEMPS IN THE EXTENDED. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ALL ZONES. MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ALL ZONES. IL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ALL ZONES. IN...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ALL ZONES. && MEFFERT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 449 AM CST SAT JAN 13 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-141100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 449 AM CST SAT JAN 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES LIKELY BY THE TIME THE RAIN ENDS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE INFORMATION. THERE IS A CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY ON SUNDAY AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE REGION. A SEVERE STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY FLOODING OR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
At Mt. Vernon, where flood stage is 35 feet, the Ohio River crested at 42.0 feet on the 23rd. This resulted in minor flooding of bottomland fields and woodlands. Farmland and some main roads were flooded south and southwest of Mt. Vernon.
At Newburgh, where flood stage is 38 feet, the Ohio River crested at 42.64 feet on the 20th. This resulted in minor flooding of bottomland fields and woodlands.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, January 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 7486, 7476.