Thunderstorms along the coast produced strong wind across Rockledge and Cape Canaveral.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MLB wrote it up.
Thunderstorms along the coast produced strong wind across Rockledge and Cape Canaveral.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 18, 1:37 PM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 237 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 CORRECTED CLIMATE SECTION .DISCUSSION... TONIGHT...DEEP SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT A VERY HUMID AIR MASS INTO THE CWA. LACK OF ANY STRONG MID AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING MECHANISMS WILL PRECLUDE GOING VERY HIGH WITH RAIN CHANCE THEREFORE WILL KEEP A 20/30 POP FOR THE EVENING HOURS AND END PRECIP OVER LAND AROUND MIDNIGHT. IN A SOUTHWEST FLOW STRATUS AND FOG ARE A ALWAYS A CONCERN TOWARD SUNRISE AND THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS PAST SUNRISE. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG PRIMARILY AN AVIATION CONCERN. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PUSH OVERNIGHT LOWS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE THEIR NORMAL MID TO UPPER 60S. FRI...FRONTAL TROUGH FORECAST TO PUSH INTO THE PANHANDLE WHILE A POCKET OF DEEP MOISTURE ADVECTS NORTHWARD OVER THE PENINSULA. SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH TO INHIBIT A SEA BREEZE. MID LEVEL RIDGING IS NOT FORECAST TO WEAKEN MUCH...SO EVEN WITH THE HIGH MOISTURE...WILL STAY WITH CURRENT FORECAST WHICH HAS POPS AROUND 40 PERCENT...WHICH IS WHAT THE LATEST GFS MOS HAS. THE MOS POPS FOR FRI NIGHT ARE NOW IN THE LIKELY RANGE BUT WITH TAIL END OF FRONT WEAKENING/SLOWING...WILL STAY WITH SCATTERED 40-50 VALUES FOR NOW. SAT...FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDING INTO THE AREA WILL BE WEAKENING AND SLOWING...SO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES WILL CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH. LATEST MOST HAS LIKELY POPS THERE...BUT WILL KEEP SCATTERED POPS WITH HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE SOUTH. SOMETIMES WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARIES THIS TIME OF THE YEAR LEAD TO A HEAVY RAIN EVENT...BUT MID LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO BUILD QUICKLY BACK IN. THEREFORE DO NOT PLAN ON WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN BUT LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS WOULD STILL BE A POSSIBILITY. SUN...THE FRONT WILL NOT BRING ANY AIR MASS CHANGE AS HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND IT SCOOTS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...SO A HIGH MOISTURE BAND SHOULD LINGER ACROSS THE AREA...AND WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS. THE FLOW WILL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST/EAST AND THERE COULD BE A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX DEVELOPING SOMEWHERE ALONG THE COAST WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIGHER POPS AND HEAVIER RAINFALL. MON-THU...THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GREAT DISPARITY WITH RESPECT TO THE PROGRESS OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE MOST PROGRESSIVE OF THE MODELS HAS BEEN THE GFS...WHICH SHOWS THE TROUGH AXIS PASSING ON WED...WHILE THE SLOWEST OF THE MODELS ARE THE ECMWF AND NOGAPS WHICH DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND CUT IT OFF. NEEDLESS TO SAY...THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS PART OF THE FORECAST. WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST....WHICH FOLLOWS A SLOWER CONSENSUS SOLUTION SHOWING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE MID PART OF THE WEEK. IF THE GFS ENDS UP VERIFYING HOWEVER...WE WOULD BE IN FOR OUR COOLEST AIR MASS OF THE SEASON BY WED. && .AVIATION...SCATTERED IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS VICINITY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR LATE EVENING. MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW TYPICALLY LEADS TO LATE NIGHT STRATUS. TAF/S WILL INDICATE TEMPO LOW CIGS TOWARD SUNRISE FRI AND FRI MORNING PEAK FLIGHT OPS TIMEFRAME. && .MARINE...AREA BUOYS RECORDING MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW NEARSHORE WATERS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS WELL OFFSHORE. SEAS TO 4 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. MAIN CONCERN TO BOATERS WILL BE TSRA MOVING OFFSHORE IN LATE AFTN/EARLY EVENING...ESP NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL. AFTER DAYTIME AND EVENING STORMS END MOST OF THE STORMS SHOULD BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF STREAM. FRI...SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD NOT POSE ANY WIND/SEA CONCERNS WITH FLOW AROUND 10 KNOTS AND SEAS 1-3 FEET. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF 15-20 KNOT FLOW OVERNIGHT JUST AHEAD OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MAIN BOATING CONCERN WILL BE DODGING SHOWERS/STORMS WHICH WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15-20 MPH. WEEKEND...THE FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT SLIDES INTO THE AREA ON SAT THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND IT WILL SWING WINDS TO ONSHORE ACROSS ALL OF THE WATERS BY SUN...BUT SPEEDS DO NOT LOOK VERY STRONG AS GRADIENT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST WILL BE 3 MB...SUPPORTING AROUND 10 KNOTS. WITH HIGH MOISTURE VALUES AND A WEAK CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY...THERE SHOULD BE A HIGHER THAN NORMAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/STORMS. MON-TUE...NEXT FRONT IS FORECAST TO BE APPROACHING WHICH WILL SWING THE WINDS TO SOUTHERLY. DO NOT SEE THESE WINDS POSING MUCH PROBLEM BUT POST FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS LATE TUE MAY PROVIDE MORE OF A PUNCH THAN RECENT FRONTS. && .CLIMATE...ALREADY BROKE THE RECORD HIGH FOR TODAY AT MELBOURNE WITH 92 DEGREES (OLD RECORD OF 89 WAS SET LAST YEAR). VERO BEACH HAD ALSO BROKEN ITS RECORD WITH 92 DEGREES (OLD RECORD OF 91 WAS SET LAST YEAR). DAYTONA HAD TIED ITS RECORD OF 90 DEGREES AS OF 2 PM. RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE A LITTLE GREATER TOMORROW BUT MANY PLACES SHOULD REACH THE LOWER 90S. RECORD HIGHS FOR OCT 19: DAB 91 (2006) MCO 93 (2006) MLB 93 (1968) VRB 91 (2006) && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 75 88 71 85 / 30 50 50 30 MCO 73 90 73 87 / 20 40 40 40 MLB 77 89 74 84 / 20 40 40 50 VRB 75 89 76 85 / 20 40 40 50 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. && SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WIMMER LONG TERM....LASCODY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 440 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 182000- COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD- 440 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... DAYTIME TEMPERATURES REACHING AROUND 90 DEGREES AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. STORM CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER HEADING NORTH. THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF A THUNDERSTORM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THEN STORM CHANCES BEGIN TO DECREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. GLITTO
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 442 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 FLZ058-182130- OKEECHOBEE- 442 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING CENTRAL OKEECHOBEE COUNTY... AT 442 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG STORM 5 MILES EAST OF BASINGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...WHICH MAY CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING AND LEAVE SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES. JP
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 529 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 FLZ047-182215- SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 529 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY... AT 529 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG STORM OVER VIERA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STRONG STORM INCLUDE SUNTREE AND SATELLITE BEACH. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...WHICH MAY CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING AND LEAVE SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES. JP
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 25 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:36 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm wind gust to 59 mph was recorded at the Rockledge Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 61035.