Florida, 2007

Drought in Florida, November 27 to 30, 2007

November 27 to 30, 2007 · NWS MFL · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Drought conditions worsened across portions of Collier County during November as the onset of the South Florida dry season is compounding long-term rainfall deficits across the region.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Drought conditions worsened across portions of Collier County during November as the onset of the South Florida dry season is compounding long-term rainfall deficits across the region.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 27, 1:53 AM EST, 5 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 1:53 AM EST, 5 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
153 AM EST TUE NOV 27 2007

CURRENTLY A PREFRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GULF NW ACROSS
THE LAKE OKEE REGION WITH A COLD FRONT NEARING THE BIG BEND AREA.
SOME WITHERING SHOWERS NOTED ALONG THE PREFRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH
SOME ACTIVITY OVER THE SE GULF MOVING NNE TOWARD THE SW FLA COAST.

.DISCUSSION...PREFRONTAL TROUGH STALLS AND FRONT CATCHES UP WITH
THE FORMER LATE TODAY. TOTAL SYSTEM STALLS AND DISSIPATES OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT ROUGHLY IN THE SAME AREA. HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE SE U.S.
AND THE FLA PENINSULA WED. ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES S FLA THU
WEAKENS AND POSSIBLY OOZES THROUGH S FLA FRI WITH HIGH PRES BUILD
-ING OVER THE SE U.S. AND THE FLA PENINSULA OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOR THE SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WED NIGHT...MOIST LOW LEVELS BUT
SOME DRIER AIR MID LEVELS INHIBITS DEEP CONVECTION. MINIMAL SHOWERS/
POPS ALL AREAS ALL PERIODS THOUGH INTERIOR AREAS MAY SEE A RESPITE
OVERNIGHT. MAX/MIN TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE NORMS.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...THU THROUGH MON
LITTLE CHANGE THU AND FRI IN POPS. THE NEXT FRONT MAY MOVE THROUGH
FRI BUT CURRENT THINKING THIS SYSTEM STALLS/DISSIPATES AS WELL. HIGH
PRES BUILDS OVER THE SE U.S. AND THE FLA PENINSULA PULLING DRIER AIR
OVER S FLA AND THE CHANCES OF RAIN BECOME NIL SAT THROUGH MON. MAX
/MIN TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE NORMS.

&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE OVR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
AT LEAST 15Z TUE. THE ONLY EXCEPTION COULD BE KAPF WHERE PATCHY FOG
COULD DEVELOP TOWARD 12Z THIS MORNING, HOWEVER VIS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE GT 5 SM. A LOWER CLOUD DECK COULD SPREAD NW ACROSS ERN TERMINAL
DURING LATE MORNING AND OVR KAPF EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUE BUT
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GT 6 KFT. ISOLD BRIEF AND LIGHT
SHWRS/RAIN WILL LIKELY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE CLOUDS, BUT WL NOT
EXPECT SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON FLIGHT CAT OR CONDITIONS.

&&
.MARINE...EASTERLY WINDS THOUGH THE PERIOD AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS OR LESS
...SHIFTING FROM AN ESE TO NE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT AND AGAIN SAT. NE FLOW OVER ATLC WATERS BRIEF ENOUGH TO KEEP
GULF STREAM SEAS FROM RISING TOO MUCH. SEAS SHOULD BE 4 FEET OR LESS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  82  72  82  70 / 20 20 20 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  82  74  83  72 / 20 20 20 20
MIAMI            83  74  83  72 / 20 20 20 20
NAPLES           84  67  83  67 / 20 20 20 20

&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FORECAST...15/JR
AVIATION...47/RGH
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 27, 4:40 AM EST, 2 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
440 AM EST TUE NOV 27 2007

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-272200-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
439 AM EST TUE NOV 27 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Coastal Collier County

When
November 27, 7:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Coastal Collier County forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
26.099, -81.381 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A dry November led to the reinstatement of severe drought conditions (D2) to northern Collier County. Naples has only received less than 70 percent of its normal annual rainfall, with similar values inland. Water levels are low, caused by the below normal rainfall and the record low level of Lake Okeechobee which was at just over 10 feet above sea level.

Drought, Inland Collier County

When
November 27, 7:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Inland Collier County forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
26.099, -81.381 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A dry November led to the reinstatement of severe drought conditions (D2) to northern Collier County. Naples has only received less than 70 percent of its normal annual rainfall, with similar values inland. Water levels are low, caused by the below normal rainfall and the record low level of Lake Okeechobee which was at just over 10 feet above sea level.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 66185, 66186.