California, 2007

High Wind in California, December 21, 2007

December 21, 2007 · NWS LOX · 5 events in 3 counties and zones

Another round of gusty north to northeast winds buffeted sections of Southern California. The strongest winds occurred across the mountains of Ventura and Los Angeles counties.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LOX wrote it up.

Another round of gusty north to northeast winds buffeted sections of Southern California. The strongest winds occurred across the mountains of Ventura and Los Angeles counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Los Angeles, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 20, 8:16 PM PST, 5 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 8:16 PM PST, 5 hours 37 minutes before
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
816 PM PST THU DEC 20 2007

.UPDATE...MAJORITY OF STORM SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE PUSHED OVER THE
AREA. MAIN FRONTAL BAND HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE AREA...BUT UPPER-
LEVEL COLD FRONT IS NOW PUSHING OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. A
BAND OF SHOWERS WAS SEEN DEVELOPING ON RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
FROM THE VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS THROUGH THE LOS ANGELES COUNTY
VALLEYS AND INTO THE LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS. THIS APPEARS TO
BE THE LAST HURRAH WITH THIS SYSTEM.

GRADIENTS ARE NOW STARTING TO TREND OFFSHORE NOW WITH KSBA-KBFL
AND KSBA-KSMX TRENDING OFFSHORE CURRENTLY. THE START OF OFFSHORE
FLOW IS COINCIDING FINE WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL COLD AIR
INTRUSION...SWITCHING THE PRESSURE AND THERMAL GRADIENTS.
SUBSIDENCE SHOULD BUILD IN ALOFT AND WITH NAM-WRF AND GFS THERMAL
AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH TONIGHT.
PRODUCTS SEEMS LOGICAL AT THE CURRENT TIME. NAM-WRF
SOLUTIONS...ALTHOUGH A TENDENCY TO BE STRONG WITH THE WINDS
INDICATE 50 KNOTS OF NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND AT
850 MB IN THE LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. WITH THERMAL
AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS NOT OVERLY STRONG...WIND PRODUCTS WILL
LIKELY BE CONTINUED EXCEPT FOR THE ANTELOPE VALLEY.

FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHEASTERLY ON FRIDAY NIGHT...KEEPING THE
POSSIBILITY OF NEEDING TO EXTEND THE WIND HEADLINES FOR THE
MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER AT THE CURRENT TIME...THE 850 MB WINDS SEEM ON
THE LIGHT SIDE IN BOTH MODELS WHICH COULD PRODUCE A MARGINAL EVENT
ON FRIDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER WEAK BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTH OVER THE STATE ON SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WITH A MORE NORTHERLY TRAJECTORY OF THE COLD
FRONT AND THE INTERIOR TRACK OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTER...IT
IS HARD TO GET EXCITED ABOUT ANY PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. BEST
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST AND
POSSIBLY THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS. FOR THIS STORM
SYSTEM...IT APPEARS THAT A BETTER CHANCE EXISTS FOR OFFSHORE WINDS
DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT.

ANOTHER INSIDE-SLIDER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED FOR MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK AS
A STRONGER SYSTEM DROPS SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. BOTH GFS
AND ECMWF AGREE REASONABLY WELL WITH THE SYSTEM TRACK AND
INTENSITY...BUT TIMING APPEARS TO BE A MAJOR DISAGREEMENT IN THE
CURRENT MODEL SOLUTIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM PST THU DEC 20 2007/

SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT-SUNDAY)
FORECAST ON TRACK AS SHOWERS HAVE REACHED VENTURA COUNTY AND SHOULD
AFFECT LA COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MOST
AREAS TO THE NORTH RECEIVED FROM BETWEEN A TENTH OF AN INCH TO A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL.

THE ANTELOPE VALLEY CONTINUES TO SEE SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS GUSTING
TO NEAR 50 MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO DIMINISH BELOW WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLDS LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE HIGH DESERT. AS THIS RELATIVELY WEAK FRONTAL BAND CONTINUES TO
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT. AT FIRST...THE CENTRAL COAST WILL EXPERIENCE GUSTY
NW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND SBA SOUTH COAST WILL SEE INCREASING NW TO N WINDS
BETWEEN 25 TO 40 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE NORTH ORIENTED
TONIGHT...THE FOCUS WILL BE ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR TONIGHT
WITH DANGEROUS GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH
LIKELY. ON TOP OF THAT...MODELS KEEP CLOUDS PILED UP ACROSS THE
NORTHERN SLOPES OF SBA...VENTURA AND WESTERN LOS ANGELES COUNTY
MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP LIKE A ROCK FROM 5500 FT
TO 3500 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...A
COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE LIKELY LOCALLY. WITH STRONG WINDS AND
LOCAL BLOWING SNOW...DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT TIMES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE GRAPEVINE. THEREFORE...A HIGH WIND WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS
OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY AS STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP
RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT. THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT SANTA
CLARITA...WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY INCLUDING VAN
NUYS AND CHATSWORTH. THE HOLLYWOOD HILLS AND MALIBU ARE ALSO
SUSCEPTIBLE TO NORTHERLY WINDS. SO WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS AS WELL BEGINNING FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

DID WANT TO MENTION THAT A RATHER STRONG VORT ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE
OF THE UPPER LOW WILL WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.
CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE NOT FAVORABLE SUCH AS THE LIFTED INDEX AND
K INDEX. HOWEVER...WITH 500 MB TEMPS AT -24 DEGREES CELSIUS...AND
THIS STRONG VORT MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN LA COUNTY...A VERY SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED THIS
EVENING.

OVERNIGHT TEMPS WILL BE NEAR FREEZING ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST WITH
SUBFREEZING TEMPS ACROSS THE INTERIOR SLO COUNTY. SINCE FROST
ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED ALREADY TWICE FOR THE CENTRAL COAST THIS
FALL...WILL NOT BE PUTTING OUT A FROST ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL
COAST. TEMPS WILL REMAIN QUITE COOL ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT FROM THE N TO  NE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL TRANSLATE INTO WIND ADVISORIES LIKELY FOR THE MUCH OF THE
LA/VTU COUNTIES FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL
REMAIN CLEAR BOTH FRI AND SAT AS OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREAS. ANOTHER STRONG NORTHERLY WIND GRADIENT DEVELOPS
EARLY SUNDAY WHICH WILL CAUSE NORTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN
ACROSS THE LOCAL MOUNTAINS. TEMPS WILL REMAIN COOLER THAN NORMAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

LONG TERM...(MON-THU)
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON MONDAY AS
WEAK UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION WITH WEAK OFFSHORE
FLOW. MODELS DIVERGE GREATLY ON TUESDAY THROUGH THU AS GFS CONTINUES
WEAK RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA...AND EURO DEVELOPS A CUTOFF LOW
THAT DROPS OUT OF NEVADA INTO WESTERN AZ. THIS CUTOFF LOW IS FARTHER
EAST THAN THE PREVIOUS RUNS...THEREFORE CHANCE OF RAIN TUE AND WED
LOOKS HIGHLY UNLIKELY...BUT GUSTY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IF
THE EURO SOLUTION IS CORRECT. TEMPS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...21/0415Z...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA SHOULD CLEAR OUT WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR
OR SO AS OFFSHORE FLOW ESTABLISHES. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP
OVER MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT KPRB AFTER 09Z. WIND SHEAR ISSUES
SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH THE MORE LIKELY
CANDIDATES BEING KSBA...KVNY...AND KBUR.

.KLAX...MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST ONLY FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 90
MINUTES...THEN VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD.

.KBUR...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD. WIND SHEAR ISSUES SHOULD START DEVELOPING SHORTLY...WITH
WINDS THAT COULD APPROACH 40 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTH JUST ABOUT
2000 FT OFF THE SURFACE.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
HIGH WIND WARNING (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX).
GALE WARNING (SEE LAXCWFLOX).

&&

HALL/KAPLAN

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 10:18 PM PST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1018 PM PST THU DEC 20 2007

CAZ034>041-044>047-051>054-059-087-088-211400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
1018 PM PST THU DEC 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... REST OF TONIGHT

GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BELOW PASSES
AND CANYONS TONIGHT...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND
FLYING DEBRIS. IN THE MOST WIND PRONE AREAS...WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS GALE FORCE WINDS WILL POSE
HAZARDS TO MARINERS ESPECIALLY THOSE IN SMALL CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGH AND BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE MOUNTAINS...COASTS...AND VALLEYS. DANGEROUS
WIND GUSTS OF 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AND COULD CREATE HAZARDOUS FLYING
DEBRIS AS WELL AS KNOCKING HIGHER PROFILE VEHICLES OVER. GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MORNING HOURS IN THE OUTER WATERS...
CREATING HAZARDS TO MARINERS ESPECIALLY THOSE IN SMALL CRAFT. NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS FORECAST FROM SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MEIER/KAPLAN

Event by event

5 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range

When
December 21, 1:53 AM PST to 2:53 AM PST
Where
Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

The Warm Springs RAWS sensor reported northerly wind gusts up to 58 mph.

High Wind, Ventura County Mountains

When
December 21, 1:53 AM PST to 6:53 AM PST
Where
Ventura County Mountains forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

North to northeast winds gusting to around 58 mph were reported across the mountains of Ventura county.

High Wind, Santa Monica Mountains Recreation Area

When
December 21, 2:36 AM PST to 6:36 AM PST
Where
Santa Monica Mountains Recreation Area forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

The Malibu Hills RAWS sensor reported northerly wind gusts up to 65 mph.

High Wind, Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range

When
December 21, 5:54 AM PST
Where
Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

The Clear Creek RAWS sensor reported northerly wind gusts up to 58 mph.

High Wind, Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range

When
December 21, 6:53 AM PST to 7:53 AM PST
Where
Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range forecast zone
Measured
63 kt (72 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

The Chilao RAWS sensor reported northerly wind gusts up to 73 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in California, December 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 65817, 65820, 65816, 65819, 65818.