An upper level disturbance produced a line of showers and thunderstorms over portions of East Arkansas. Some of the thunderstorms produced heavy rainfall and flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
An upper level disturbance produced a line of showers and thunderstorms over portions of East Arkansas. Some of the thunderstorms produced heavy rainfall and flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 4, 9:37 AM CST, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1037 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2007 .UPDATE... TODAY/S FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND WILL ONLY MAKE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO MOST ELEMENTS...MAINLY TO INCREASE SKY COVER. && .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN TODAY SOUTHWEST OF A CORNING AR TO IUKA MS LINE. AT 1030 AM CDT...CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING SOUTHWEST OF THE LINE MENTIONED ABOVE WHERE MOISTURE WAS DEEPER. SUNNY AND WARMER CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING NORTHEAST OF THE LINE. TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM THE UPPER 70S AT TUNICA MS TO NEAR 90 AT JACKSON TN. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE DISTURBANCE/SHORT WAVE WAS OVER SOUTHERN AR MOVING EAST. REST OF TODAY...THINK SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF THE LINE MENTIONED ABOVE. THE SHORT WAVE MAY ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT NEAR AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER...SO WILL KEEP HIGHER RAIN CHANCES A AROUND 50 PERCENT THERE WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPEST. DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. OTHERWISE...ONLY ISOLATED COVERAGE CAN BE EXPECTED EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 WITH MOST AREAS REMAINING DRY. WITH CLOUDS LIMITING HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION...DOUBT THAT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY. CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN TODAY IN MANY LOCATIONS. FORECAST HIGH OF 91 DEGREES AT MEMPHIS WOULD BE THE LOWEST IN 42 DAYS...SINCE JULY 24...INCREDIBLY. STILL...HIGHS CLOUD REACH THE 93 TO 97 DEGREE RANGE NORTHEAST OF THE LINE MENTIONED ABOVE INCLUDING JACKSON AND UNION CITY TN WHERE LESS CLOUDS AND MORE SUN CAN BE EXPECTED. UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2007/ DISCUSSION... ANOTHER QUIET EARLY MORNING OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES REMAIN MAINLY IN THE 70S. BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGE IS DETERMINING RAIN CHANCES ESPECIALLY IN THE SHORT TERM. WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS WEST TEXAS TONIGHT AND INTO OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY WITH SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION AHEAD OF THE LOW. MODELS SEEM TO BE A LITTLE TOO ENERGETIC WITH THEIR POPS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND CONSIDERING THAT WE ARE IN SERIOUS DROUGHT CONDITIONS DO NOT WANT TO COMPLETELY SIDE WITH GUIDANCE BUT WILL INCREASE POPS SOME OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WITH THE BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN SHOULD ALSO BE MORE CLOUDS AND ALSO SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES SO HAVE LOWERED FORECASTS HIGHS AND LOWS A LITTLE. BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE SHORT TERM APPEARS TO BE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS UPPER LOW APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES THROUGH REGION. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH INTO THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION BY SATURDAY AND THEN STALLS OUT OVER THE FORECAST AREA. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 91 74 88 73 / 30 30 40 30 MKL 94 68 89 68 / 20 30 30 30 JBR 90 70 86 70 / 40 50 60 40 TUP 93 70 90 70 / 20 20 30 30 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. && MBS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 114 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2007 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-052015- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 114 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 8 PM CDT WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF JONESBORO AR TO COFFEEVILLE MS LINE. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH 8 PM CDT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY BETWEEN NOON AND 8 PM CDT NORTHWEST OF A COFFEEVILLE MS TO UNION CITY TN LINE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN A FEW LOCATIONS WHERE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED THROUGH 8 PM CDT TODAY...AND THEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDSOUTH. MBS
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 127 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:49 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A letter carrier reported three to four inches of rainfall in the Watkins Corner area. A field was flooded as a result.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 58476.