After a few days of locally heavy rainfall across Ashley County, another round slowly moved across the county. Two to three inches of rain fell in a couple hours atop very wet soils.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
After a few days of locally heavy rainfall across Ashley County, another round slowly moved across the county. Two to three inches of rain fell in a couple hours atop very wet soils. This rain caused a portion of Highway 8 to flood.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 2:59 PM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 359 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. EVEN WITH EVERYONE RECEIVING RAIN TODAY...STILL UNCERTAIN ABOUT THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH...SO WONDER IF THE RAIN AXIS WILL SET UP A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THAN THE MODELS ARE SHOWING. WENT ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 FOR THE BETTER CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN/PONDING IN THE HWO. EXPECTING MORE CLOUDS ON SATURDAY...LIMITING INSTABILITY...SO WILL LEAVE OUT MENTION OF STRONG STORMS. WITH SO MUCH MOISTURE AVAILABLE AIRMASS SEEMS ALMOST TROPICAL. THE RAIN SEEMS TO BE TAPERING OFF FOR NOW...BUT EXPECT INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW RAIN DEVELOPING EARLY SATURDAY. LOOKING FOR THE DISTURBANCE TO ACTUALLY MOVE EAST...PUSHING ANOTHER RAIN SHIELD INTO THE CWA. DID NOT STRAY FROM GUIDANCE...STUCK WITH THE HIGH VALUES ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE A WHILE BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN MOVES IN. RAISED LOWS FOR BOTH NIGHTS...EXPECT THE AREA TO STAY IN THE LOWER 70S OVERNIGHT. LOWERED HIGHS FOR SATURDAY...LOOKING AT TODAY AND WHAT IS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY DO NOT EXPECT THE AREA TO GET MUCH HIGHER THAN THE LOWER 80S. MAYBE MID 80S FOR THE SOUTH WHERE THERE MAY BE A FEW BREAKS. FOR SATURDAY EVENING THE MODELS CAME WITH LOWER POPS...DECIDED TO GO A LITTLE ABOVE GUIDANCE. NOT SURE ABOUT THE TIMING...THE NAM REMAINS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE GFS WITH ENDING THE RAIN. OVERALL NO BIG CHANGES OR SURPRISE IN THE FORECAST...EXPECTING RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. .LONG TERM... IN THE LONGER TERM...ADJUSTED POPS UPWARD A LITTLE TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN AFTERNOON TEMPS. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. DEEP MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THE REMNANTS OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL DROP THROUGH THE AREA...DISSIPATING BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. FLAT RIDGING JUST DOWNSTREAM WILL DIMINISH FORCING FOR A MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION PATTERN AS THE UPPER TROUGH HANGS UPSTREAM. THE NEXT SURFACE BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY AND THE UPPER TROUGH DIGS FARTHER SEWD...SETTLING OVER THE ARKLAMISS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK DUE TO UPPER TROUGHING AND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT IS FORECAST TO DROP INTO NRN/CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY NEXT FRIDAY. FOLLOWED MOS TREND FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...COOLING THEM A BIT FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE CONSIDERING THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER AND POPS. 03 THE PREVIOUS LONGER TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS: OUR BEST RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE LONG TERM APPEAR TO BE DURING THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SEND A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY IS ALSO PROGGED TO SINK INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND AND BASICALLY WASH OUT. MODELS TRY TO BRING SOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR INTO MAINLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WITH THE BOUNDARY...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE ITLL BE LITTLE TO NO AVAIL AS THE DRIER AIRMASS MODIFIES PRETTY QUICKLY AND MOISTENS AS THE BOUNDARY WASHES OUT. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE PRECIPITABLE H2O AS VALUES REMAIN CLOSE TO 2 INCHES OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THESE TWO FEATURES...COUPLED WITH THIS MOIST AIRMASS AND AFTERNOON HEATING SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A DECENT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THROUGH MID-WEEK...A PRETTY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE...BUT RAIN CHANCES LESSEN A BIT AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS ALONG WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE THATS WEDGED INTO THE AREA FROM THE EAST. CONVECTION DURING THIS TIME WILL REMAIN DIURNAL...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE LESS THAN THAT OF PREVIOUS DAYS. BY LATE NEXT WEEK...THE LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW US RETURNING TO ALMOST THE SAME EXACT PATTERN WERE CURRENTLY SEEING OVER THE COUNTRY. THE MONSTROUS UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AMPLIFIES WHILE TROUGHING SETS UP ACROSS THE COUNTRY EAST OF THE GREAT PLAINS...AND THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS WEDGED IN FROM THE EAST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AND DIURNAL...BUT MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO SHOW ANOTHER BOUNDARY TRYING TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED...AS EXPECTED GUIDANCE IS UP FROM YESTERDAYS NUMBERS. I THINK MUCH OF THE REASONING FOR THIS HAS TO DO WITH A LITTLE LESS CLOUD COVER. HIGHS THROUGH MUCH OF TERM SHOULD BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH LOWS HANGING IN THE LOWER 70S. CLOUD COVER HOWEVER LOOKS TO INCREASE LATE NEXT WEEK ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL BACK A COUPLE DEGREES TO AROUND THE 90 DEGREE MARK AS THE BEFORE MENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY DROPS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. /19/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... JACKSON 72 81 73 91 / 91 67 33 28 MERIDIAN 72 80 72 90 / 92 70 36 31 VICKSBURG 72 81 72 92 / 88 65 28 26 HATTIESBURG 73 84 74 91 / 67 56 34 45 NATCHEZ 73 82 73 90 / 66 56 30 36 GREENVILLE 71 82 72 93 / 81 67 21 20 GREENWOOD 70 82 72 92 / 81 67 24 20 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. && 07/03/99
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 302 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 072015- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER- LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW- OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER- CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 302 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY HEAVY RAINFALL AND PONDING WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR FREQUENT DOWNPOURS. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION REMAINS SATURATED. A SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER EAST TEXAS FINALLY DRIFTS EAST. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...A BOUNDARY WILL DEVELOP ALONG INTERSTATE 20...MAKING AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM RAYVILLE TO JACKSON TO MERIDIAN MORE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS WILL BE LIKELY. OVERFLOWING DITCHES AND CULVERTS MAY ALSO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AT THIS TIME...THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. 99
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
338 PM CDT FRI JUL 06 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 32.32N 90.21W
07/06/2007 HINDS MS AMATEUR RADIO
LKOKIOJK
1215 PM FLASH FLOOD SE JACKSON 32.32N 90.21W
07/06/2007 HINDS MS EMERGENCY MNGR
AT 1215, STREET FLOODING OCCURED IN BYRAM. THIS EVENT WAS
REPORTED BY THE EMA.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
340 PM CDT FRI JUL 06 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 32.32N 90.21W
07/06/2007 HINDS MS EMERGENCY MNGR
AT 1230, STREET FLOODING OCCURED IN DOWNTOWN JACKSON.
WATER COVERED SEVERAL ROADS. THIS OCCURENCE WAS REPORTED
BY THE EMA.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
343 PM CDT FRI JUL 06 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1215 PM FLASH FLOOD SE JACKSON 32.32N 90.21W
07/06/2007 HINDS MS EMERGENCY MNGR
AT 1215, STREET FLOODING OCCURED IN BYRAM. THIS EVENT WAS
REPORTED BY THE EMA.
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 32.32N 90.21W
07/06/2007 HINDS MS EMERGENCY MNGR
AT 1230, STREET FLOODING OCCURED IN DOWNTOWN JACKSON.
WATER COVERED SEVERAL ROADS. THIS OCCURENCE WAS REPORTED
BY THE EMA.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
452 PM CDT FRI JUL 06 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW ELLISVILLE 31.55N 89.27W
07/06/2007 JONES MS EMERGENCY MNGR
A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 590
AND HWY 84.
&&
TARVERThe Little Rock radar (KLZK), 186 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:15 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Locally heavy rain fell over saturated soils and produced localized flash flooding. A portion of Highway 8 was under 3 feet of water. The highway had to be closed for a period of time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 48690.