Strong winds hit Doney Park during the day.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
Strong winds hit Doney Park during the day.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 10, 9:45 AM MST, 15 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 945 AM MST TUE APR 10 2007 .SYNOPSIS...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT STORM SYSTEM. ON THURSDAY...MUCH COLDER AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW...LINGERING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. && .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES IS BRUSHING NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. THIS IS CAUSING A DISTINCT WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS OVER EASTERN ARIZONA HAVE ALREADY REACHED ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS MORNING...AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN THIRD OF OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH 6 PM MST THIS EVENING. MUCH DRIER AIR IS ALSO MOVING IN...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS FALLING FROM NEAR 40 AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...TO THE TEENS OR EVEN SINGLE DIGITS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. THIS DRY AIR INTRUSION IS LEADING TO RH VALUES AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT OVER THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. THURSDAYS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE DISCUSSED IN MORE DETAIL WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. FORECAST UPDATES ALREADY SENT FOR TODAY. .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...(325 AM MST TUE APR 10)...ON WEDNESDAY...GUSTY SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF AZ DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE GFS AND NAM MODEL CROSS SECTIONS DIFFER IN THE MIXING HEIGHT AND WIND SPEEDS IN THE MIXED LAYER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE NAM IS SHOWING FASTER GUSTS ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF NRN AZ AND THIS IN USUALLY NOT THE CASE. WE WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR COCONINO COUNTY AND WESTERN YAVAPAI COUNTY WHERE BOTH MODELS SUGGEST GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY. WE WILL ALSO CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. ON THURSDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING A STRONG COLD FRONT INTO THE NORTHLAND...WITH GOOD LIFT AND INCREASING MOISTURE THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW LEVELS THURSDAY NIGHT ARE FCST TO DROP TO 5000 FEET. IMPROVING WEATHER IS EXPECTED STARTING NOONISH FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY. CURRENT MODEL RUNS ARE RATHER DRY WITH THE LOW FOR SUNDAY...BUT IT COULD BECOME WINDY AGAIN. DL && .AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM MST TODAY AZ ZONES 010-011-013-014-017-039-040. RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM MST TODAY AZ FIRE WX ZONES 112>114-140 WIND ADVISORY WEDNESDAY 11 AM MST TIL 7 PM MST AZ ZONES 004>009-012-015-016-037-038. FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY 10 AM MST UNTIL 6 PM MST FOR AZ FIRE WX ZONES 105-107-112>114-137-140. && JJ/BOHLIN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 646 AM MST TUE APR 10 2007 AZZ004>018-037>040-110700- BLACK MESA AREA-CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- COCONINO PLATEAU-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- KAIBAB PLATEAU-LITTLE COLORADO RVR VLY IN APACHE CO- LITTLE COLORADO RVR VLY IN COCONINO CO- LITTLE COLORADO RVR VLY IN NAVAJO CO-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF 264- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS 264 NORTH-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- 646 AM MST TUE APR 10 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR... .DAY ONE...TODAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ON WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS YAVAPAI AND COCONINO COUNTIES. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS VALID 11 AM MST TO 7 PM MST. ADDITIONAL AREAS MAY BE ADDED TO THIS ADVISORY. THESE WINDS ARE PART OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT THAT WILL SWEEP INTO OUT STATE THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY... THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR 5000 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. 41
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong winds hit Doney park during the day with gusts between 40 and 45 MPH common. The peak wind gust of 64 MPH hit at 4:10 PM. This was a localized event.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, April 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 19281.