A Hurricane Force Bering Sea Low generated a strong frontal system that moved into the Central Gulf on 10/26.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.
A Hurricane Force Bering Sea Low generated a strong frontal system that moved into the Central Gulf on 10/26.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 26, 5:00 AM AKST, 3 hours earlier.
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION 1100 AM ADT FRI OCT 26 2007 .SYNOPSIS... .SHORT RANGE...EVERYTHING SEEMS TO BE ON TRACK YET THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE. FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEGINNING TO PUSH THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA PANHANDLE REGION ON FRIDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF IT. THERE IS A SMALL WAVE DEVELOPMENT ON IT THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CAPE SPENCER REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN INLAND TO CANADA. FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE PANHANDLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. WIND ADVISORIES DUE THE GUSTY WIND WILL BE DIMINISHING THROUGH AFTERNOON AND EVENING... GENERALLY IN THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION. MODELS HINTING AT A LARGE PORTION OF THE PARENT LOW FROM THE BERING BEING KICK EAST TO SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING. UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS SOUTHWEST OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA SATURDAY SO EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND OVER THE LAND ZONES. .LONG RANGE...THE MODELS THIS MORNING ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUN NIGHT BUT THEN THERE LARGE DIFFERENCES WITH A STRONG LOW MOVING MOVING INTO THE GULF THROUGH NEXT WEEK. SO WITH THAT SAID WILL REFRESH THE GRIDS THROUGH SUN NIGHT WITH THE 12Z GFS40 BUT WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES THROUGH NEXT WEEK. SE AK WILL REMAIN WET THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN TO BE OUT OF THE SW WITH VERY STRONG ONSHORE FLOW TO ENHANCE THE OROGRAPHIC LIFT. A UPPER LOW SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SAT AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL FORM OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AS A WAVE MOVES OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND OVER THE SOUTHERN SAT NIGHT. THIS WAVE IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL INCREASE THE PRCIP RATES OVER THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF SE AK. WINDS WILL WITH THIS WAVE WILL NOT BE THAT SIGNIFICANT BUT AREAS MAY SEE 25 MPH OF WIND BY SAT NIGHT. A STRONG AND DEEP 970MB LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MOVE SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA BY MON. AFTER MON MORNING THERE IS LARGE SPREADS IN THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AS THERE IS THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN HOW THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL PHASE WITH THE SYSTEM. ATTM THERE IS SOME AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET...ECMWF AND THE ENSEMBLE MEAN AS THEY ALL TAKE THE LOW INTO THE NW GULF WHILE THE GFS PULLS THE LOW FURTHER INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY TUE NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS NOT A BAD COMPROMISE SO WILL SEE NOT CHANGE THE FORECAST AND JUST KEEP AN CLOSE EYE ON THE NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS TO SEE IF THE DIFFERENCES GET SMALLER. .AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY AKZ018-021>029 MARINE...GALE PKZ036-041>043-051-052 ...SMALL CRAFT PKZ011>013-021-022-031>035-053
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The NWS CO-OP Observer in Craig, Alaska estimated wind gusts 65 MPH between 0800 AKST 10/26 and 0000 AKST 10/27.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 59516.