High Wind, Anchorage Muni to Bird Creek
- When
- October 25, 4:30 PM AKST to 5:30 PM AKST
- Where
- Anchorage Muni to Bird Creek forecast zone
- Measured
- 73 kt (84 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
High Wind in Alaska, October 25, 2007
A 996MB Low was centered near the southern tip of the Kenai Peninsula. This storm generated gale force winds across the northern gulf of Alaska and warning level winds over portions of the northern gulf coast through Portage pass and along Turnagain Arm.
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.
A 996MB Low was centered near the southern tip of the Kenai Peninsula. This storm generated gale force winds across the northern gulf of Alaska and warning level winds over portions of the northern gulf coast through Portage pass and along Turnagain Arm.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 25, 8:00 AM AKST, 8 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 25, 8:00 AM AKST, 8 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 200 PM ADT THU OCT 25 2007 .MODEL DISCUSSION...NCEP/UKMET MODEL INITIALIZATIONS AND FORECAST THROUGH 60-72 HOURS REASONABLE. CONSISTENCY PROBLEMS ARISE BEYOND 72 HOURS WITH LOW COMPLEX MOVING NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN. THE GFS MODEL TENDS TO DEVELOP THIS CENTER TAKING IT JUST SOUTH OF ADAK IN THE 960S MON SUN MORNING. THIS IS A MAJOR SHIFT FROM THE PREVIOUS RUN WHICH HAS A 990 MB MUCH FURTHER TO THE SE. GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WOULD NOT SUPPORT A CENTER ANYWHERE NEAR 965 MB. THE 12Z EC CARRIES A 968 MB CENTER NEAR 51N 178E SUN AFTERNOON. THINKING THAT LOW CENTER WILL BE DEEPER THEN OLD GFS RUN BUT NOT AS DEEP AS CURRENT GFS/EC RUNS. SO FOR NOW WILL LEAN TOWARD GFS POSITIONS BEYOND 72 HOURS...BUT RAISE THE PRESSURE AND LOWER THE WIND MAGNITUDES. .EAST...MAIN CONCERN WITH WIND. STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SW ALASKA...KODIAK...TO A TRIPLE POINT IN THE SOUTHERN OFFSHORE FORECAST ZONE...MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA/NORTHERN GULF COAST EARLY FRI MORNING. STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND RESULTANT WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN FORECAST AREA WILL DIMINISH SOME AFTER THE FRONT MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. WIND WARNING CONDITIONS THROUGH ZONES 101 AND 125 SHOULD VERIFY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. WARMING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT MAY BE A LITTLE OVER DONE IN THE SUSITINA VALLEY. TEMPS PROBABLY WILL HOLD BELOW FREEZING IN THE NORTHERN VALLEY...SO WITH THE ONSET OF SW FLOW IN THE MID LEVELS SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE A CONCERN FOR TONIGHT. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE EAST AS FRONTAL PASSAGE FRI MORNING SO LOOK FOR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS TO BE THE GENERAL RULE. .WEST....THE ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON EXTENDS ACROSS SW ALASKA FROM PAHP...PASM...TO ALONG THE TAYLOR MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT WILL SOME BOUNDARY TO MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE COLD AIR WILL REMAIN TRAPPED IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT. THAT SAID...MAY SEE POCKETS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT MIXED IN WITH SNOW. OVER BRISTOL SHOULD DROP THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES NORTH AND EAST. LOW COMPLEX OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE SHOWERS IN THE REGION THROUGH SAT. OLD LOW CENTER OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO THE WESTERN AK PEN SAT MORNING. EXPECT NORTHERLY GALES ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS CENTER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS. CONFIDENCE LEVEL IS NOT VERY HIGH OVER THE ALEUTIANS/PEN BEYOND SAT NIGHT AS DISCUSSED IN MODEL ANALYSIS. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING ZONES 101 AND 111. MARINE...STORM 120 GALES 130 132 172 175 176 185. RMC OCT 07
Event by event
2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
High Wind, Wrn P.W. Snd & Kenai Mtns
- When
- October 25, 4:30 PM AKST to 5:30 PM AKST
- Where
- Wrn P.W. Snd & Kenai Mtns forecast zone
- Measured
- 73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
Rain and winds began across the area on the morning of October 25th. The Portage ASOS recorded periods of heavy rain and winds gusting in the upper teens to upper 20's during the morning hours...with gusts reaching into the upper 40's by afternoon. Winds and rain continued across the zone with gusts increasing through late afternoon. At 5:53 PM, a peak wind of 73KT registered on the ASOS. Winds gradually diminished thereafter.
What these are
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, October 25 to 28, 2007
- Coastal Flood in New Jersey, October 25 to 27, 2007
- Debris Flows and Flooding in Puerto Rico, October 25 to 28, 2007
- Funnel Cloud in North Carolina, October 25, 2007
- Flood in North Carolina, October 25, 2007
- High Wind in Alaska, October 25, 2007
More
Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, October 2007
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 57092, 57220.