Low pressure in Bristol Bay pushed warm moist air over the Chugach Mountains and into the Copper River Basin.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.
Low pressure in Bristol Bay pushed warm moist air over the Chugach Mountains and into the Copper River Basin.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 9:00 AM AKST, 1 hour earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 200 PM AST WED NOV 14 2007 .MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS MODEL STILL OVERALL THE MOST REASONABLE AND CONSISTENT MODEL SOLUTION. 700-500MB LAYERED RH WITH MOIST SW FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND EAST COPPER RIVER BASIN IS HANDLED A LITTLE BETTER WITH THE NAM IN THE SHORT TERM. .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... BROAD MOIST SW JET ACROSS THE SOUTH/EAST GULF TO OVER THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN IS HANDLED FAIRLY WELL BY THE MODELS. THE BAND MOVES WEST TONIGHT AND DEEP MOISTURE FEED WEAKENS AS THE BERING SEA TROUGH DIGS SE OVER THE NE PACIFIC. REMNANT OF BAND MOVE OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA EARLY THU MORNING. THIS BAND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT BRUSHES EASTERN BRISTOL BAY THU NIGHT. GENERAL DRYING BEHIND BAND LIKELY WITH ONSET OF EASTERLY FLOW IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. STORM CENTER DEVELOPING UNDER DIGGING UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE SE GULF IN THE 950S FRI MORNING. THIS CENTER WEAKENS IN THE LOWER 980S AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF SAT AFTERNOON. STACKED BRISTOL BAY LOW MOVES SOUTH OF THE AK PEN THU. WILL SEE GENERAL DRYING OVER THE SW MAINLAND TONIGHT WITH ONSET OF OFFSHORE FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS/WEST BERING SEA MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA/SW MAINLAND COAST SAT. MODERATE FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES TO THE WESTERN BERING SEA/WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS FRI MORNING. FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SAT AFTERNOON. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... .EAST...SNOW IS THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE OVER THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. MOIST SW JET WEAKENS AS IT SHIFTS WEST TONIGHT. EXPECT HEAVY SNOW CONDITIONS TO SLOWLY TAPER OFF OVER THE COPPER RIVER TONIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS LIKELY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW...BUT SHOULD HAVE MUCH LOWER AMOUNTS IN THE LOWER LEVELS WITH SE FLOW AT 850. FAIR SNOW AMOUNTS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN KENAI PEN TONIGHT/EARLY THU. GENERAL DRYING WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE BAND. MOISTURE INTRUDES AGAIN FROM THE EAST AHEAD OF STORM MOVING N INTO THE GULF FRI. GUSTY GAP WINDS LIKELY TO BE THE RULE OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH GULF AND CENTRAL ALASKA FRI AS STORM CENTER MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. .WEST...EXPECT SHOWERS OVER THE SW MAINLAND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT/THU WITH INCREASING OFFSHORE FLOW AND BRISTOL BAY LOW SHIFTING SOUTH. SNOW SHOWERS WITH BRISK NLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN BERING SEA THRU THU NIGHT. NLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH FRI OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN/CENTRAL BERING SEA WITH APPROACH OF THE RIDGE. HOWEVER...WINDS NLY WILL LINGER OVER BRISTOL BAY INTO SAT MORNING. STRONG SLY WINDS WITH RAIN/SNOW WILL SPREAD TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRI WITH APPROACH OF FRONTAL TROUGH. EXPECT RAIN/SNOW TO SPREAD TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SAT AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH WILL DIMINISH SOME AS ASSOCIATED LOW TRACKS N. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...HEAVY SNOW WARNING ZONE 141. MARINE...GALES 132 150 155 160 165 170 176 AND 180. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. RMC NOV 07
1 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.
Eight inches of snow fell during the early morning hours of the 14th through 0730L. A total of 17.1 inches of snow was received, with the bulk of the snow falling between 0800L and 2000L on the 14th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, November 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 60750.