A few severe thunderstorms occurred along a cold front as it swept southeast across western Kentucky.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A few severe thunderstorms occurred along a cold front as it swept southeast across western Kentucky.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 3:33 AM CST, 8 hours 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 333 AM CST WED NOV 14 2007 .DISCUSSION... CURRENT WIND SHIFT LINE ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING SURFACE FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR A SEDALIA MO...QUINCY IL TO JUST WEST OF ROCKFORD IL AT 08Z THIS MORNING. ALL OF THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF 21Z/03Z RUNS OF THE SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE FORECAST /SREF/ GUIDANCE...IS A LITTLE TO AGGRESSIVE WITH THE SURFACE FRONTAL MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA. WITH THIS PACKAGE...THE SPEED OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A LITTLE BETTER INFLUX OF HIGHER THETA-E AIR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. KEPT WITH THE RECENT TREND OF HIGHER POP CHANCES ALONG THE SOUTHERN 1/3 OF THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY DURING THE 12Z-18Z TIME FRAME TODAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 15Z-21Z /9 AM - 3 PM/ TIME FRAME WITH THE NORTHERN LIMIT ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF CRAWLEYS RIDGE...THEN WORK S/SEWD TOWARD THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY DURING THE 21-00Z /3-6 PM/ TIME FRAME TODAY. ANY LINGERING RAIN CHANCES SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE WFO PAH FORECAST BY 03Z THU /9 PM WED/...BUT LEFT A SMALL CHANCE IN THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY THROUGH MIDNIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...WHEN THE CURRENT CLOSED LOW OFF THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA OF CALIFORNIA MOVES ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME...PREFER THE ECMWF SOLUTION WHICH DEVELOPS AN INVERTED TROUGH INTO THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA. I ATTEMPTED TO BLEND THE CURRENT HPC SOLUTION WITH THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE OPERATIONAL 00Z WED RUN OF THE GFS. THE END RESULT IS A LOW POP EVENT...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY. CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES ...WINDS AND DEWPOINTS WERE ALSO ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE WARM ADVECTION ZONE WITH THE INVERTED TROUGH AXIS...WITH A GREATER EMPHASIS OF CLOUDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER WESTERN KY FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...UNTIL THE INVERTED TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA LATER MONDAY NIGHT. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A STRONG BLENDING OF NAM/SREF GUIDANCE VALUES AND TO A LESSER EXTENT GFS. && .AVIATION... EXPECT MAINLY MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. FRONT WILL BE ALONG THE OH RVR BY AROUND 18Z...THEN SOUTHEAST TO NEAR THE TN BORDER BY 21Z. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME GUSTY TO AROUND 20 KTS OR SO. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF SITES THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LIKELY BE MORE PREVALENT OVR KY SITES. COULD SEE SOME VSBYS FALL TEMPORARILY BELOW 3 MI IN RAIN AND MIST THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. CEILINGS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 1000 FT FOR THE MOST PART. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && SHORT/LONG TERM...SMITH AVIATION...GM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 412 AM CST WED NOV 14 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-151100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 412 AM CST WED NOV 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING...ALONG A LINE FROM PERRYVILLE MISSOURI...MARION ILLINOIS AND OWENSBORO KENTUCKY...EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO THE ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE BORDER. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WEST KENTUCKY...AND FROM NOON TO 6 PM ALONG AND EAST OF THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES IN WEST KENTUCKY. A FEW STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND EAST OF THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES...ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST KENTUCKY COUNTIES BORDERING WEST TENNESSEE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. SMITH
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Three six-by-eight foot metal structures were blown over a fence and onto a road. The wind damage occurred at a home improvement store on the south side of the city.
A large tree was blown down, along with some large tree limbs.
Several miles west of Murray, an 18-inch tree was broken off at the base and landed across a road. Six-inch limbs were off other nearby trees. A few other trees were down just north of Lynn Grove.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, November 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 64253, 64252, 64254, 64251.