A storm system developed off the North Carolina coast prior to Thanksgiving. As it moved north along the coast, it produced a swath of heavy rainfall across the Virginia piedmont.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
A storm system developed off the North Carolina coast prior to Thanksgiving. As it moved north along the coast, it produced a swath of heavy rainfall across the Virginia piedmont. About 1 to 3 inches fell across the Dan River basin, which already had wet soil conditions. The runoff from this caused minor flooding of the Dan River at South Boston.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 22, 7:59 PM EST, 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 759 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 .SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/... WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION STILL FALLING FROM THE BLUE RIDGE EAST UNDER BAROCLINIC LEAF AROUND LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST NC COAST. 18Z NAM DID A NICE JOB SHOWING TWO DISTINCT DEFORMATION ZONES ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. THE FIRST ZONE ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES INTO DRIER AIR. MEANWHILE...BAND OF RAIN FALLING IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST PROGGED TO WEAKEN...BUT NOT UNTIL AFTER 06Z. AS A RESULT... PUSHED UP POPS IN THE EAST AND KEPT HIGH POPS LATER IN THE NIGHT AND INCREASED QPF FORECAST AS WELL. WE RECEIVED ONE REPORT OF MINOR ICING IN EXTREME NORTHERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY EARLIER THIS EVENING...BUT CALLS TO DISPATCH OFFICES IN THE ALLAGHANY HIGHLANDS INDICATE NO REPORTS OF ICING. HOWEVER...DID ADD FREEZING RAIN TO THE GRIDS THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR LOCATIONS ABOVE 2K FT IN THE NORTHEAST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S. WITH MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT...HUNG ON TO CLOUDS LONGER THAN INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND AS A RESULT...INCREASED TEMPS IN SOME LOCATIONS A COUPLE OF DEGREES. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006/ AVIATION /00Z-24Z/... DEFORMATION ZONE WITH RAIN AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT. LOW LEVEL JET SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING WHICH WILL HELP KEEP RAIN LIGHT...BUT WILL ALLOW VISIBILITIES TO REMAIN LOW AND MAINLY IN THE RANGE OF MVFR. AREAS OUTSIDE OF THIS DEFORMATION ZONE WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN VFR (LWB/BLF). WITH A HEALTHY JET OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING...WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IN THE TAFS. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE THURSDAY MORNING AS THE COASTAL LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTH. FYI...ISOLATED LOCATIONS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET IN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY VA. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006/ SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY SITUATED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD DRIFTING DEFORMATION ZONE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS LOW HAS PROGRESSED WESTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW THIS PROGRESSION HAS ALMOST COME TO AN END...SO LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL MOVEMENT WESTWARD IS EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WHAT THIS WILL MEAN IS THAT LOCATIONS CURRENTLY UNDER THIS BAND WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SEVERAL OF HOURS OF RAIN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE VERY EARLY EVENING. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS NORTHEAST ALONG THE COAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. AS IT DOES...THE DEFORMATION ZONE WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN...AND BY MORNING...ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA...AND THESE MAY LINGER INTO THE MORNING HOURS THANKSGIVING DAY. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE GOING TO BE CHALLENGING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION WHERE NO...OR LIMITED...RAIN HAS FALLEN. HERE DEW POINTS ARE VERY LOW...IN THE TEENS...AND THIS LOW OF VALUE IS NOT BEING REFLECTED IN THE LATEST MOS GUIDANCE. SO THE CONCERN IS LOWS TONIGHT MAY BE A BIT LOWER THAN EVEN THE COOLEST GUIDANCE AND HAVE TRENDED LOWS IN THE WEST LOWER BECAUSE OF THIS. BY THE AFTERNOON THANKSGIVING DAY...EXPECT THE PRECIPITATION TO HAVE ENDED AND THE SUN SHINING IN MOST LOCATIONS. FILLING UPR SYSTEM IN THE EARLY SHORT TERM WILL FINALLY GET BOOTED EAST AS UPSTREAM KICKER SHORTWAVE PUSHES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPR RIDGE TO FINALLY FOLD ACRS THE REGION BY FRIDAY...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS. HAVE PRETTY MUCH ZEROED OUT SKY COVER AND POPS THRU THE PERIOD AS UPR SYSTEM DRAGS ANY REMNANT CLOUDINESS WELL EAST OF THE AREA AND RH CROSS-SECTIONS REVEAL ALMOST NIL MOISTURE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR MAXIMUM HEATING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTNS AND HAVE RAISED HIGHS A TAD FOR BOTH DAYS GIVEN H85 TEMPS PROGGED TO RISE IN EXCESS OF 10C. ONLY THING THAT MAY HOLD DOWN HIGHS JUST A BIT IS LACK OF DEEP MIXING GIVEN SFC RIDGE AXIS DIRECTLY ACRS THE REGION. NEVERTHELESS...A NICE STRETCH OF WEATHER WITH WARM DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS...ESPECIALLY VALLEY LOCATIONS WHERE DRY AIR AXIS IN PLACE SHOULD ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING EACH NIGHT. LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VERY NICE STRETCH OF WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THRU MUCH OF THE PERIOD. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING BROAD UPR RIDGING WINNING OUT IN THE WAKE OF SHORT TERM CUTOFF LOW. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH EXPANSIVE SFC RIDGING OVR THE EASTERN CONUS WILL PROVIDE A LONG STRETCH OF DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS THRU MIDWEEK. HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED EXTENDED GUIDANCE ALTHOUGH WITH SOME TWEAKS UPWARD IN TEMPERATURES AS CLIMO OBVIOUSLY WINNING OUT WITH 22/00Z MEX GUIDANCE. ONLY POTENTIAL PROBLEM MAY BE PASSAGE OF BACKDOOR FRONT TOWARD THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...AS WELL DEPICTED BY BOTH OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. MAJOR CHANGES BEGIN TO APPEAR BY THE START OF THE WEEK AS UPR RIDGING BUILDS ACRS ALASKA WHICH WILL WILL ALLOW DEEP TROUGH TO CARVE OUT OVR THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS IN TURN SHOULD REINFORCE THE UPR RIDGE OVR THE EAST WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPS. WHILE TIMING OF FEATURES ACRS THE COUNTRY CERTAINLY AN ISSUE...SOLUTION IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT RESURGENCE OF MJO CURRENTLY HEADING INTO PHASES 3 AND 4 IMPLYING LOWER PRESSURES DEVELOPING INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS...IN LINE WITH CYCLOGENESIS DOWNSTREAM OF DEVELOPING UPR TROUGH IN THAT REGION. ALL THAT SAID...WILL MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST THRU TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO WIN OUT...BEFORE APPROACHING STRONG FRONT BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIP TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. AVIATION /20Z-18Z/... RAIN SHIELD NOW ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WITH A TREND TOWARDS SLOWER PROGRESSION WESTWARD. CEILINGS IN MOST AREAS WITH THE RAIN HAVE FALLEN TO MVFR LEVELS AND EXPECT THESE LEVELS TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. AS THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END THROUGH THE EVENING AN INCREASE TO LOW END VFR IS PROBABLE. WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE PATCHY WITH CEILINGS STAYING VFR IN MOST LOCATIONS. COULD BE A NEAR SURFACE ICING LAYER THAT DEVELOPS AROUND THE 900 MB LEVEL AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT COOL TO THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE WHICH AT THAT LEVEL THIS MORNING WAS AROUND 0 C. STRONG WINDS NOT TOO FAR OFF THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...SO WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE NOT GUSTY...ANTICIPATE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. BY THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS IN ALL AREAS SHOULD COME AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST WITH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && 03
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 411 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-045>047- WVZ042>045-230915- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH- BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-SUMMERS- MONROE-GREENBRIER- 411 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA... SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NCZ004>006-VAZ043-044-058-059-230915- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 411 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT LEFT SATURATED CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. AS A RESULT NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AT TIMES TODAY COULD BE ENOUGH TO TOPPLE WEAKER TREES. SOME OF THESE TREES COULD FALL ACROSS ROADWAYS OR POWER LINES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 510 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 VAZ019-020-023-024-230015- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 510 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...LIGHT ICING EXPECTED IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS... AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN HAVE CREATED A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON TREES...MAINLY ABOVE 2000 FEET. WITH GROUND TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING...WIDESPREAD ICE ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON THE GROUND...BUT MOTORISTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF SLICK SPOTS ON EXPOSED AND ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. THE LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 702 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 VAZ019-020-023-024-230500- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON 702 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...LIGHT ICING EXPECTED IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS... AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN HAVE CREATED A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON SOME TREES AND EXPOSED SURFACES...MAINLY ABOVE 2000 FEET. WITH GROUND TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING...WIDESPREAD ICE ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON THE GROUND...BUT MOTORISTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF SLICK SPOTS ON EXPOSED AND ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. THE LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred along the Dan River at South Boston. The river rose above the 19 foot flood stage during the evening of the 22nd, cresting at 23.99 feet during the evening of the 23rd, and falling below flood stage, the evening of the 24th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5338.