Low pressure deepened across the Tennessee Valley during the evening of the 15th, creating high winds across Tazewell County.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
Low pressure deepened across the Tennessee Valley during the evening of the 15th, creating high winds across Tazewell County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 2:46 PM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
246 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE TO EARLIER UPDATE WITH HIGH WIND WARNING FOR A
FEW COUNTIES OVER THE WEST SURROUNDED BY WIND ADVISORY MOST OTHER
SPOTS ALONG/WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE OVERNIGHT. NEW MODEL QPF ALSO IN
LINE WITH EARLIER THINKING OF BETTER THAN 3 INCHES SW AND A GOOD 2
INCHES OR SO ELSEWHERE OVER THE MOUNTAINS. FFG SUGGESTS BEST FLOOD
POTENTIAL OVER THE SW WITH LESS OF A THREAT FROM THE ROA VALLEY EAST
FOR NOW.
OTRW VERY DYNAMIC SYSTEM NOW ACROSS THE MID MISS VALLEY WILL
TRACK NE REACHING THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY. INIT AREA OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT ON NORTH EDGE OF EARLIER CONVECTIVE BAND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING BEFORE MAIN AXIS WITH COLD FRONT
ALOFT PUSHES THRU FROM THE SW LATE THIS EVENING. MODELS SHOWING A
LITTLE MORE CONVECTIVE CUTOFF TO THE SOUTH EARLY ON WITH BEST
INSTABILITY ALONG THE GULF COAST AND DEVELOPING COOL POOL ACROSS
VA/NC. ONCE CORE OF UPPER LOW PUSHES MORE INTO THE TN VALLEY
OVERNIGHT...EXPECT RH TRANSPORT ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG S/SE FLOW
COMBO WITH UPSLOPE TO HELP ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES ESPCLY SW ZONES.
THUS STILL EXPECTING A GOOD 2-3 INCHES FAR SW MOUNTAINS THRU THU
WITH 1-2 ELSEWHERE. NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR ADDED MINOR FLOODING
FARTHER NORTH/EAST PENDING STRENGTH OF CONVECTIVE BAND AND QUICK
RUNOFF PER WET GROUND/LEAVES. HOWEVER NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH BASED ON
QPF TO EXPAND FFA SO KEEPING MENTION IN HWO. SE JET ALOFT STILL
STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT A HIGH WIND WARNING SW WITH ADVISORY SPEEDS
ELSEWHERE ON THE RIDGES IF MIXING/WAA CAN OVERCOME THE SHALLOW COOL
POOL. OTRW CAT POPS MOST SPOTS INTO EARLY THU WITH ADDED TSRA
INCLUSION SW WHERE GUIDANCE SHOW SOME WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY
LATER THIS EVENING. SOME TEMP FALLS LIKELY EARLY WITH PRECIP BEFORE
RISING SOME LATE AS DEPTH OF WARM ADVECTION ALOFT INCREASES.
DRY SLOT CRASHES INTO BACK OF DEPARTING DEEP RH AXIS TO THE EAST THU
AND 5H COLD POOL TO THE NW. THIS SHOULD ALLOW MOST SIG RAINFALL TO
TAPER OFF FROM SW TO NE IN THE MORNING WITH ONLY RESIDUAL -SHRA
AROUND IN THE AFTERNOON AS ACTUAL 85H BOUNDARY PUSHES IN FROM THE
SW. SOME BREAKS POSSIBLE ESPCLY EASTERN HALF IN THE AFTERNOON AS
MOISTURE SCOURS OUT OTRW THINKING MAINLY CLOUDY OVER THE MOUNTAINS.
HIGH TEMPS QUITE TRICKY PENDING AMOUNT OF SUN IF ANY SINCE
STILL RATHER WARM ALOFT GIVEN LAGGING CAA WEST OF THE RIDGES TIL
LATE. WILL PLAY A MOS COMPROMISE AT THIS POINT AND LEAN WARMER IN
THE EAST.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THURSDAY NIGHT...THE COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN UPPER LOW
WILL PASS ACROSS PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
REGION...AND NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE DEPARTING 850 MB LOW WILL
INITIATE. THIS WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGNIA SOUTH INTO THE NORTHWEST
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BECOME COLD ENOUGH THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE RAIN TO EITHER
MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME
TO AN END BY FRIDAY EVENING.
FROM SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO
BE THE RULE FOR MUCH OF THAT TIME PERIOD THANK TO A DOMINACE OF HIGH
PRESSURE EITHER OVER...OR NEAR THE REGION. THE EXCETPION TO THIS
RULE MAY BE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM
SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA. SOME ISOALTED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS MAY
ACCOMPANY IT.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY TREND COOLER FROM THE WEEKEND INTO THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. BY MID WEEK TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO
MODERATE AGAIN AS THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH STARTS SHIFTING
TOWARDS THE EAST OF THE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z-18Z/...
RAIN CONTINUING TO SPREAD NE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND THIS TREND
SHOULD CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE/HEAVY
RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR DETERIORATING
CEILINGS/VSBYS...WITH MVFR CONDITIONS AT MOST SITES AFTER
00Z...THEN IFR OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONTAL BAND OF PRECIP MOVES
ACROSS. STRONG SE/S WINDS ALSO TO INCREASE ESPCLY WESTERN SITES
WHERE GUSTS TO 30 OR 40 KTS POSSIBLE AT BLF BY TONIGHT. BAND OF
SHRA SHOULD PASS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS EARLY THU AND OUT EAST BY
MID MORNING. THUS EXPECTING SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
BY MIDDAY WITH WINDS VEERING MORE SW BUT STILL GUSTY AT 10-20 KTS
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT FOR VAZ010>017-032.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ010>017.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT FOR NCZ001>003-018>020.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001-002-018.
WV...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ043>045.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042.
&&
SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...DS
AVIATION...JHHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1236 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006 NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ010>017-032-161045- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE- PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK- 1236 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT. SHOWERS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES...AND MAY BRING RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST WINDS WHICH MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 50 MPH TONIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TONIGHT. VAZ007-009-WVZ042-161045- TAZEWELL-SMYTH-MERCER- 1236 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TONIGHT. WVZ043>045-161045- SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 1236 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR WIND SOUTHEAST WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES. SHOWERS MAY BECOME HEAVY LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SHOWERS ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MAY CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY THURSDAY MORNING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. NCZ004>006-VAZ018>020-022>024-033>035-043>047-058-059-161045- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE- BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA- CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 1236 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA... SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SHOWERS MAY BECOME HEAVY LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SHOWERS ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MAY CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY THURSDAY MORNING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tree downed along Highway 643 in Falls Mills, Virginia.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5276.