Strong winds associated with the remnants of tropical storm Ernesto, coupled with heavy rainfall, allowed for multiple trees to fall in Eagle Peak Campground, Millcreek Township, in Lebanon County. One of these trees struck a camper, killing one individual.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CTP wrote it up.
Strong winds associated with the remnants of tropical storm Ernesto, coupled with heavy rainfall, allowed for multiple trees to fall in Eagle Peak Campground, Millcreek Township, in Lebanon County. One of these trees struck a camper, killing one individual.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 1, 9:36 PM EST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1036 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006 .SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/... MADE JUST MINOR CHANGES TO THE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ERNESTO HAS ACTUALLY MOVED VERY LITTLE SINCE 18Z WHICH COULD PROVE PROBLEMATIC AS FAR AS THE DURATION OF THE BEST RAINS...BUT STILL AM THINKING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO WILL BE WHEN THE HEAVIEST RAINS OCCUR. ENSEMBLES STILL CONFINE THE HIGHEST PRECIP WATER PLUME TO THE COASTAL AREA WITH A SLIGHT POS ANOMALY SLIDING OVER PA OVERNIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF OF SAT. RADAR MOSAICS AND WATER VAPOR SHOTS SHOW DRY AIR WRAPPING TOTALLY AROUND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM WITH BANDED PRECIP ROTATING THRU PA DOWN THRU NRN VA/WV. WITH MODELS SHOWING A HUGE EASTERLY WIND ANOMALY SLIDING NORTH OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SAT...LOOKS LIKE WHAT WE ARE DEALING WITH IS MORE OF A FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED HEAVY PRECIP EVENT RATHER THAN A TRADITIONAL TROPICAL SYSTEM. ITS ACTUALLY A CHILLY RAIN AT THIS HOUR WITH TEMPS IN THE 50S SO ITS HARDLY THE SOUPY HUMID AIRMASS WE HAD AHEAD OF THE BIG TROPICAL RAINERS WE HAD BACK IN THE SUMMER OF 2004. KEPT THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE LAURELS SINCE THE BEST LLJ IS FCST TO TRAVERSE OVERNIGHT...HITTING THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS HARDEST. IT SHUD ALSO GET GUSTY OVER SERN AREAS...BUT THINKING AS OF THIS HOUR IS TO KEEP GUSTS UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA. WHILE THE STORM ISNT MOVING MUCH...IT IS CONTINUING TO FILL STEADILY. THINK THAT ERNESTO WILL STILL EVENTUALLY TRACK THRU THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH STEADY HEAVY RAINS BECOMING MORE LIKE SCATTERED SHOWERS BY THE LAST HALF OF THE DAY. LA CORTE && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006/ SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/... AN AREA OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES THIS EVENING. AIRMASS IS DRY AT LOW LEVELS...BUT EDGE OF RADAR ECHOES LINE UP GOOD WITH GROUND TRUTH. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT...AS GRADIENT PICKS UP. IT IS ALREADY ON THE BREEZY SIDE ACROSS THE HIGHLANDS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. WILL ISSUE ADVISORY FOR HIGHLANDS TONIGHT. NOT REALLY ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE STORM FOR SEVERE WEATHER...BUT A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE. HPC TRACK TAKES STORM A LITTLE FURTHER WEST NOW...UP ACROSS C PA ON SAT...TO NEAR N PA...S NY BY SUNDAY. LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... AS STORM TRACKS NORTHWARD ON SAT...WINDS COULD PICK UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY...BUT SYSTEM WILL BE WEAKENING BY THEN. LATER SHIFTS CAN ISSUE WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS AREA IF NEEDED. DID CUT TEMPS BACK ON SAT...GIVEN CLDS. DID EXTEND HIGH POPS OUT TO ABOUT 15Z. WHILE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATER IN THE DAY...MAV POPS ARE HIGH...NEAR 100. ALSO WHILE THERE COULD BE SOME PARTIAL CLEARING LATE ACROSS THE S...TEMPS WILL NOT CLIMB MUCH. FOR THE LONGER TERM...LEFT LOW CHC POPS IN FOR SUNDAY...BUT TOOK OUT FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUE. THIS PERIOD MAY NOT BE BAD. MREFS SHOW ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMING IN THE OH VLY BY MID WEEK...ALONG WITH A WARM FRONT DEVELOPING ALONG THE SE COAST. MID WEEK COULD BE WET. WENT FOR DRY CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY. HYDRO... IN THE HYDRO DEPARTMENT...LOOKING AT QPF SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. IN GENERAL...2 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE EVENT...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST...AND 3 TO 4 INCHES IN THE WEST BRANCH AND JUNIATA. LIGHTEST AMOUNTS IN THE NORTH. IF THESE VALUES MATERIALIZE...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT WIDESPREAD SMALL STREAM AND TRIBUTARY FLOODING...WITH THE MAINSTEM JUNIATA AND SUSQUEHANNA REMAINING JUST BELOW FS. THESE AMOUNTS MAY ALSO CAUSE PORTIONS OF THE LOWER WEST BRANCH TO APPROACH FS SUNDAY. REGION IS FORTUNATE IN THAT SOUTHERN THIRD OF CENTRAL PA MISSED THE TWO MODERATE RAIN EVENTS OF THE LAST WEEK. AVIATION... FLYING CONDITIONS /MAINLY VFR ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF PENN LATE THIS AFTERNOON/ WILL STEADILY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING...AND DROP INTO WIDESPREAD IFR WITH AREAS OF LIFR ACROSS THE MTNS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO HEAD NNW AND CROSS CENTRAL PENN. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO BE WIDESPREAD LATE TODAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING...WITH GREATER THAN 40KT EASTERLY WINDS AT OR ABOVE 1.5 KFT AGL. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE LATE SATURDAY...BUT STILL AREAS OF IFR WILL BE FOUND WITHIN THE VERY MOIST...BUT DECREASING LLVL EASTERLY FLOW. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PAZ024>028-033>036-049>053-056>059- 063>066 UNTIL 8 PM SATURDAY. WIND ADVISORY FOR PAZ017-024-033 UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-037-041-042- 045-046 FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 8 AM SUNDAY. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 453 AM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-037-041-042-045-046-020900- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING- 453 AM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL AFFECT THE REGION LATER TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. IF THIS MUCH RAIN OCCURS... FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...THUS FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FOR LATER TODAY INTO SATURDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL EXIT THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. PAZ024>028-033>036-049>053-056>059-063>066-020900- CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON- FRANKLIN-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY- DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 453 AM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. IF THIS MUCH RAIN OCCURS... FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...THUS FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FOR LATER TODAY INTO SATURDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL EXIT THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. DEVOIR
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Wind, Lebanon | 2006-09-02 | 7 | Male | Camping | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, September 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5532489.